Woeful-Period — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved

Trades

235

lifetime

Volume

$6.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-15 05:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

44% 33% $-1

Other

33% — —

Tech

18% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	5	$780	400	400	+0	open	—	04-08 07:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$586	300	300	+0	open	—	04-15 05:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	15	$380	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-03 12:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$355	180	180	+0	No	$-0	05-03 17:19
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$315	200	200	+0	open	—	03-22 17:37
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	3	$206	200	200	+0	open	—	04-24 05:30
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	3	$205	200	200	+0	Yes	$-1	04-24 05:30
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	4	$205	197	197	+0	open	—	05-22 11:02
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	4	$192	127	127	+0	open	—	04-24 05:53
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 23:57
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$179	90	90	+0	open	—	05-11 13:45
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	2	$137	100	100	+0	open	—	05-15 06:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$134	152	152	+0	open	—	05-07 04:28
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	13	$117	109	109	+0	open	—	07-12 08:58
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	5	$115	62	62	+0	open	—	05-12 13:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	5	$112	57	57	+0	open	—	05-13 03:15
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in June?	5	$108	100	100	+0	open	—	06-01 04:50
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	6	$100	251	251	+0	open	—	05-15 06:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	3	$97	31	67	-36	open	—	05-12 09:11
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	6	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	07-15 05:18
iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	6	$89	49	49	+0	open	—	07-15 05:45
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	2	$82	50	50	+0	open	—	06-16 10:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	05-12 14:24
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	6	$77	101	101	+0	open	—	06-16 10:30
grok 4pt4 released by july 10	4	$74	40	40	+0	open	—	07-08 08:54
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	2	$70	40	40	+0	open	—	05-15 06:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$66	35	35	+0	open	—	05-22 10:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	05-12 13:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$63	32	32	+0	open	—	05-12 14:10
israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	6	$57	46	46	+0	open	—	07-12 08:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 05:45:23	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xfd46e0…
07-15 05:45:16	will the announcers say shot 15 times during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905965	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xad10ef…
07-15 05:41:05	will the announcers say shot 15 times during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905965	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xb28cd1…
07-15 05:40:14	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x68715d…
07-15 05:26:34	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xa68dfd…
07-15 05:26:26	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xaf34b4…
07-15 05:26:10	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	No	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0xc61e14…
07-15 05:26:04	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x278ac3…
07-15 05:25:56	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x986b80…
07-15 05:25:44	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x648bbc…
07-15 05:24:44	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x01af35…
07-15 05:24:28	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	No	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x2ee009…
07-15 05:23:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x245b9d…
07-15 05:23:32	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x5f54cb…
07-15 05:19:07	will the announcers say var during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905973	No	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xb1dc27…
07-15 05:18:05	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x44e9cc…
07-15 05:17:25	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xb55030…
07-15 05:17:07	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x42fb1c…
07-15 05:16:47	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x3fe9b5…
07-15 05:16:19	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x260d9b…
07-15 05:14:11	will the announcers say var during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905973	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x37fc94…
07-15 05:12:34	will the announcers say var during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905973	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x49db36…
07-15 05:12:05	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xd4bad6…
07-15 05:11:34	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x8a1d23…
07-15 05:10:02	will the announcers say var during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905973	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xc5b170…
07-15 05:09:52	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905974	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x973fee…
07-15 05:09:26	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905974	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xb92fd5…
07-15 05:09:10	will the announcers say var during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905973	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x232843…
07-15 05:06:04	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xb4887b…
07-15 05:04:37	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x660f1d…
07-15 05:03:35	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x3d964f…
07-15 05:02:26	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x102f31…
07-15 05:00:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x96dff1…
07-15 04:59:50	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x5fe885…
07-15 04:59:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xb35b5c…
07-15 04:58:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x765bd6…
07-15 04:58:38	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x0c458a…
07-15 04:58:25	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xb1e83e…
07-15 04:57:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x72b09b…
07-15 04:55:13	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x5b1f49…
07-15 04:54:25	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xdf3426…
07-12 08:58:04	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x611159…
07-12 08:55:53	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xf9fdbb…
07-12 08:39:59	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x8dd387…
07-12 08:39:23	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xe6ade6…
07-12 08:38:02	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x444a06…
07-12 08:36:37	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xbc50b0…
07-12 08:32:35	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xe759ce…
07-12 08:31:11	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xd2eeff…
07-12 08:06:52	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xaf62ba…
07-12 08:04:38	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x28a9a3…
07-12 07:47:32	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x464a60…
07-12 07:47:14	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x70dfa9…
07-12 07:47:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xbcb718…
07-12 07:37:38	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xdff778…
07-08 09:02:44	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xfeb6d8…
07-08 08:54:13	grok 4pt4 released by july 10	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xaf06f6…
07-08 08:52:46	grok 4pt4 released by july 10	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xa140d7…
07-08 08:50:52	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1450 by december 31 2026 20260708011851339	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x6117b5…
07-08 08:48:29	grok 4pt4 released by july 10	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x0b1242…
07-08 08:47:29	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x80adf9…
07-08 08:46:44	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1450 by december 31 2026 20260708011851339	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xb7e809…
07-08 08:46:43	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x30ea79…
07-08 08:45:11	grok 4pt4 released by july 10	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0aedb9…
07-08 08:45:02	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xdec07f…
07-08 08:37:59	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x74ec09…
07-08 08:37:49	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x5f6ec3…
07-08 08:37:13	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xd80299…
07-08 08:36:34	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0x644dea…
07-08 08:36:20	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf2d2f5…
07-08 08:33:01	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x00d44c…
07-08 08:32:38	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x323125…
07-02 05:46:56	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644167	No	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0x0d78f6…
07-02 05:46:16	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644167	No	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0xb64986…
07-02 05:36:13	will the announcers say free kick 10 times during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xb27e37…
07-02 05:35:46	will the announcers say free kick 10 times during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x073ca5…
06-23 03:01:16	ebola pandemic in 2026	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x0e82b4…
06-20 22:38:32	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$11	0xbf63b6…
06-16 10:32:58	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	Yes	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0xeef1d9…
06-16 10:32:25	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xebcc8b…
06-16 10:30:48	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0x902163…
06-16 10:30:22	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0xd65aa6…
06-16 10:29:15	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0xe7ee59…
06-16 10:28:54	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xcae60c…
06-16 10:21:52	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x5ab3e4…
06-16 10:21:30	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x5e4519…
06-16 10:17:18	will king abdullah ii sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950084	No	SELL	27	83¢	$22	0x21e181…
06-16 10:16:49	will king abdullah ii sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950084	No	BUY	27	83¢	$22	0x6b1019…
06-16 10:13:57	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x7f2c18…
06-16 10:13:30	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x29cc4a…
06-16 10:13:16	will king abdullah ii sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950084	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x47d849…
06-16 10:12:46	will king abdullah ii sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950084	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x3de2eb…
06-05 11:21:46	will apple announce a touchscreen macbook during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xa23cf4…
06-05 11:20:45	will apple announce a touchscreen macbook during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x24e057…
06-05 09:23:03	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$8	0xdace51…
06-05 09:22:30	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$15	0x65f8fa…
06-05 09:22:09	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	7¢	$18	0x5670ad…
06-01 17:29:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x67f5db…
06-01 13:32:37	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$16	0xd0a5b1…
06-01 13:30:49	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$19	0x5e1d03…