Woeful-Period — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved

Trades

180

lifetime

Volume

$5.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-08 09:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

43% 33% $-1

Other

35% — —

Tech

17% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes		-200	$-11	5¢	$-9	+$2	06-20 22:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	5	$780	400	400	+0	open	—	04-08 07:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$586	300	300	+0	open	—	04-15 05:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	15	$380	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-03 12:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$355	180	180	+0	No	$-0	05-03 17:19
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$315	200	200	+0	open	—	03-22 17:37
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	3	$206	200	200	+0	open	—	04-24 05:30
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	3	$205	200	200	+0	Yes	$-1	04-24 05:30
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	4	$205	197	197	+0	open	—	05-22 11:02
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	4	$192	127	127	+0	open	—	04-24 05:53
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 23:57
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$179	90	90	+0	open	—	05-11 13:45
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	2	$137	100	100	+0	open	—	05-15 06:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$134	152	152	+0	open	—	05-07 04:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	5	$115	62	62	+0	open	—	05-12 13:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	5	$112	57	57	+0	open	—	05-13 03:15
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in June?	5	$108	100	100	+0	open	—	06-01 04:50
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	6	$100	251	251	+0	open	—	05-15 06:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	3	$97	31	67	-36	open	—	05-12 09:11
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	2	$82	50	50	+0	open	—	06-16 10:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	05-12 14:24
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	6	$77	101	101	+0	open	—	06-16 10:30
grok 4pt4 released by july 10	4	$74	40	40	+0	open	—	07-08 08:54
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	2	$70	40	40	+0	open	—	05-15 06:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$66	35	35	+0	open	—	05-22 10:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	05-12 13:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$63	32	32	+0	open	—	05-12 14:10
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	6	$57	47	47	+0	open	—	06-01 05:26
will king abdullah ii sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950084	4	$57	77	77	+0	open	—	06-16 10:17
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	05-12 11:42
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	05-15 06:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 09:02:44	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xfeb6d8…
07-08 08:54:13	grok 4pt4 released by july 10	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xaf06f6…
07-08 08:52:46	grok 4pt4 released by july 10	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xa140d7…
07-08 08:50:52	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1450 by december 31 2026 20260708011851339	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x6117b5…
07-08 08:48:29	grok 4pt4 released by july 10	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x0b1242…
07-08 08:47:29	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x80adf9…
07-08 08:46:44	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1450 by december 31 2026 20260708011851339	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xb7e809…
07-08 08:46:43	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x30ea79…
07-08 08:45:11	grok 4pt4 released by july 10	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0aedb9…
07-08 08:45:02	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xdec07f…
07-08 08:37:59	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x74ec09…
07-08 08:37:49	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x5f6ec3…
07-08 08:37:13	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xd80299…
07-08 08:36:34	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0x644dea…
07-08 08:36:20	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf2d2f5…
07-08 08:33:01	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x00d44c…
07-08 08:32:38	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x323125…
07-02 05:46:56	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644167	No	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0x0d78f6…
07-02 05:46:16	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644167	No	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0xb64986…
07-02 05:36:13	will the announcers say free kick 10 times during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xb27e37…
07-02 05:35:46	will the announcers say free kick 10 times during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x073ca5…
06-23 03:01:16	ebola pandemic in 2026	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x0e82b4…
06-20 22:38:32	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$11	0xbf63b6…
06-16 10:32:58	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	Yes	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0xeef1d9…
06-16 10:32:25	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xebcc8b…
06-16 10:30:48	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0x902163…
06-16 10:30:22	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0xd65aa6…
06-16 10:29:15	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0xe7ee59…
06-16 10:28:54	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xcae60c…
06-16 10:21:52	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x5ab3e4…
06-16 10:21:30	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x5e4519…
06-16 10:17:18	will king abdullah ii sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950084	No	SELL	27	83¢	$22	0x21e181…
06-16 10:16:49	will king abdullah ii sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950084	No	BUY	27	83¢	$22	0x6b1019…
06-16 10:13:57	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x7f2c18…
06-16 10:13:30	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x29cc4a…
06-16 10:13:16	will king abdullah ii sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950084	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x47d849…
06-16 10:12:46	will king abdullah ii sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950084	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x3de2eb…
06-05 11:21:46	will apple announce a touchscreen macbook during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xa23cf4…
06-05 11:20:45	will apple announce a touchscreen macbook during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x24e057…
06-05 09:23:03	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$8	0xdace51…
06-05 09:22:30	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$15	0x65f8fa…
06-05 09:22:09	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	7¢	$18	0x5670ad…
06-01 17:29:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x67f5db…
06-01 13:32:37	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$16	0xd0a5b1…
06-01 13:30:49	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$19	0x5e1d03…
06-01 13:24:43	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0xdaab88…
06-01 13:03:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	68	37¢	$25	0x5269c4…
06-01 12:56:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	29¢	$20	0x9199ee…
06-01 05:32:08	Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?	No	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x18a6fc…
06-01 05:26:49	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0x4e0dcf…
06-01 05:25:11	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xd63253…
06-01 05:10:40	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xb08e1e…
06-01 05:08:58	Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x85c869…
06-01 05:08:53	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xb7cf07…
06-01 05:05:23	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	27¢	$8	0xb20cad…
06-01 05:05:09	Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31?	No	SELL	40	78¢	$31	0x789157…
06-01 04:54:46	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	SELL	12	61¢	$8	0x2830a1…
06-01 04:53:38	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	12	61¢	$8	0x0eaac2…
06-01 04:50:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in June?	Yes	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0xad0b17…
06-01 04:50:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in June?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xccd8fd…
06-01 04:50:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in June?	Yes	BUY	43	54¢	$23	0x54617a…
06-01 04:41:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in June?	Yes	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x8376ce…
06-01 04:39:34	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xd12d09…
05-28 17:40:32	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$14	0xa60852…
05-28 15:11:31	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0xc50932…
05-28 14:55:20	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	56	22¢	$12	0x4b18ef…
05-28 06:47:26	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xd72c69…
05-28 06:44:41	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x472606…
05-28 06:15:17	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x223438…
05-28 05:46:28	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x646a11…
05-27 19:25:59	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x7b275a…
05-22 11:36:36	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x403406…
05-22 11:34:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x8bce4a…
05-22 11:26:00	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xa802ae…
05-22 11:02:51	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	No	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x5bb86f…
05-22 10:59:59	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x4c265d…
05-22 10:47:01	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xe8a62e…
05-22 10:46:47	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2f063d…
05-22 10:46:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xfe84ca…
05-18 15:15:10	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf2329f…
05-18 14:01:19	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3bcff3…
05-17 15:46:00	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x5617c2…
05-17 07:57:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x1ec36e…
05-17 07:44:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x22da81…
05-17 06:06:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x19f907…
05-15 06:46:46	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x1962fd…
05-15 06:46:23	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xaad577…
05-15 06:42:01	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x74ed11…
05-15 06:40:35	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x3a3017…
05-15 06:35:57	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	No	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0xe1809d…
05-15 06:35:18	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$35	0x05fff3…
05-15 06:32:53	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xdc97e3…
05-15 06:32:11	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	No	SELL	97	46¢	$45	0xd1cd2a…
05-15 06:31:48	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	No	BUY	97	50¢	$48	0xd92835…
05-15 06:25:46	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xed353b…
05-15 06:25:16	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	SELL	75	20¢	$15	0xbe7b2c…
05-15 06:24:53	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x0c4b4a…
05-15 06:24:27	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	SELL	146	20¢	$29	0xb8c52c…
05-15 06:19:52	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	251	20¢	$50	0xd348ba…
05-13 03:15:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x1122ad…