Untimely-Hammer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$304

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$19.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$268

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-08 06:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

95% 67% -$693

Politics

5% 67% +$390

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?	3	$834	439	439	+0	No	$0	06-07 06:27
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	2	$809	442	442	+0	No	-$5	06-08 06:36
russia coup attempt in 2026	2	$777	427	427	+0	open	—	06-04 06:00
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	2	$768	390	390	+0	No	+$0	05-05 05:10
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	2	$755	400	400	+0	No	+$5	06-02 05:58
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	2	$733	398	398	+0	open	—	06-03 08:03
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	2	$727	381	381	+0	No	+$0	08-13 07:22
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$721	367	367	+0	No	+$8	05-10 07:08
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?	3	$720	387	387	+0	No	-$28	05-09 06:54
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	2	$719	383	383	+0	open	—	08-13 09:24
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$715	362	362	+0	No	+$2	04-25 06:50
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	2	$714	362	362	+0	No	$0	05-06 07:43
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	2	$711	391	391	+0	open	—	05-30 07:09
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	2	$647	346	346	+0	No	+$3	05-29 05:42
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$628	320	320	+0	No	+$0	05-07 05:42
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	3	$627	330	330	+0	open	—	05-11 11:28
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 0.5	1	$417	442	0	+442	Over	+$25	06-07 06:30
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	1	$417	463	0	+463	Yes	-$417	06-02 06:50
dota2 z10 sb5 2026 06 08 game2 any player rampage	1	$415	437	0	+437	No	+$22	06-08 06:43
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	1	$401	422	0	+422	No	+$21	05-28 06:08
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)	1	$400	430	0	+430	Shandong Taishan FC	-$400	05-05 06:55
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5	1	$395	417	0	+417	Over	+$22	06-06 06:54
Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)	1	$388	413	0	+413	CD Castellón	+$25	05-31 05:24
Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)	1	$387	394	0	+394	Slovenia	+$7	06-04 06:02
Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)	1	$384	400	0	+400	Beşiktaş JK	+$16	04-27 08:48
Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)	1	$380	385	0	+385	ACF Fiorentina	+$5	04-26 06:29
Spread: Albania (-2.5)	1	$366	390	0	+390	Israel	+$23	06-03 08:09
Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)	1	$364	388	0	+388	Liaoning Tieren FC	+$23	05-10 08:21
Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	1	$360	375	0	+375	National Bank of Egypt Club	+$15	05-07 06:02
Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5)	1	$358	381	0	+381	Eyüpspor	+$23	04-25 06:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 06:37:30	Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd6cd0d…
09-29 03:41:03	Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x51f89a…
08-13 09:24:40	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	SELL	383	94¢	$359	0x655681…
08-13 07:26:42	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	BUY	383	94¢	$359	0xef1959…
08-13 07:22:54	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	No	SELL	381	95¢	$363	0x12827c…
08-13 06:25:52	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	No	BUY	381	95¢	$363	0xbc9af1…
06-30 05:41:13	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	360	6¢	$23	0xf0e5c1…
06-30 05:41:13	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x4b4509…
06-30 05:41:10	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	357	6¢	$22	0xd2b27d…
06-30 02:33:05	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	364	9¢	$31	0x13e34c…
06-30 02:33:04	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	357	9¢	$31	0xb89c82…
06-08 06:43:07	dota2 z10 sb5 2026 06 08 game2 any player rampage	No	BUY	437	95¢	$415	0x1a5629…
06-08 06:36:15	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	442	91¢	$402	0xde406a…
06-08 04:16:31	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	442	92¢	$407	0xc2c726…
06-07 06:30:16	Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	442	94¢	$417	0x962435…
06-07 06:27:13	Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?	No	SELL	117	95¢	$111	0xd8198c…
06-07 06:27:12	Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?	No	SELL	322	95¢	$306	0x99fd89…
06-07 04:25:09	Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?	No	BUY	439	95¢	$417	0xd4faa6…
06-06 06:54:34	Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	417	95¢	$395	0xc0b838…
06-04 06:02:55	Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)	Slovenia	BUY	394	98¢	$387	0x2815cc…
06-04 06:00:22	russia coup attempt in 2026	No	SELL	427	91¢	$389	0xe227bc…
06-04 02:45:43	russia coup attempt in 2026	No	BUY	427	91¢	$389	0x7a5397…
06-03 08:09:14	Spread: Albania (-2.5)	Israel	BUY	390	94¢	$366	0x99a057…
06-03 08:03:41	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	398	92¢	$367	0x6e61c0…
06-03 06:21:17	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	398	92¢	$367	0x6178b9…
06-02 06:50:15	Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	No	BUY	463	90¢	$417	0xac0a9c…
06-02 05:58:08	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	400	95¢	$380	0x1cf8b0…
06-02 03:14:15	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	No	BUY	400	94¢	$375	0xbb8db2…
05-31 05:24:53	Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)	CD Castellón	BUY	413	94¢	$388	0xc70fec…
05-30 07:11:53	Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC	BUY	388	91¢	$353	0x0d801f…
05-30 07:09:22	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	391	91¢	$354	0x2ca661…
05-30 05:54:16	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	391	91¢	$357	0xef31a6…
05-29 05:46:01	Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	No	BUY	357	91¢	$325	0x44596a…
05-29 05:42:24	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	346	94¢	$325	0x050547…
05-29 03:11:23	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	346	93¢	$322	0xc366a5…
05-28 06:08:05	Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	No	BUY	422	95¢	$401	0x306f58…
05-11 11:30:40	Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Taawoun Saudi Club	BUY	361	2¢	$8	0xce6b64…
05-11 11:30:36	Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Taawoun Saudi Club	BUY	366	2¢	$8	0xdb5dd5…
05-11 11:28:53	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	No	SELL	136	95¢	$129	0x2bcb2e…
05-11 09:47:14	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	No	SELL	194	95¢	$184	0xf2e6f1…
05-11 08:01:48	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	No	BUY	330	95¢	$313	0xe0f49e…
05-10 08:21:32	Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)	Liaoning Tieren FC	BUY	388	94¢	$364	0x043050…
05-10 07:08:53	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	367	99¢	$364	0x4151c2…
05-10 05:06:49	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	367	97¢	$356	0xc17e30…
05-09 07:46:55	Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	RB Leipzig	BUY	356	97¢	$346	0x298ab5…
05-09 06:54:36	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	377	89¢	$337	0x8fe4b6…
05-09 05:23:34	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	387	97¢	$374	0xf3b2fd…
05-07 06:02:10	Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	National Bank of Egypt Club	BUY	375	96¢	$360	0x948cb9…
05-07 05:42:02	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	320	98¢	$314	0x24a13d…
05-07 03:01:29	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	320	98¢	$314	0x347de5…
05-06 08:55:20	Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)	Beijing Guoan FC	BUY	361	99¢	$357	0xa8529a…
05-06 07:43:54	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	SELL	362	99¢	$357	0xa71bb5…
05-06 06:19:18	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	BUY	362	99¢	$357	0x001f05…
05-05 06:55:16	Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)	Shanghai Shenhua FC	BUY	430	93¢	$400	0xacae2d…
05-05 05:10:14	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	390	98¢	$384	0xa42ba8…
05-05 02:48:10	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	390	98¢	$384	0xa6417b…
04-27 08:48:40	Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)	Beşiktaş JK	BUY	400	96¢	$384	0x1d0dbb…
04-26 06:29:08	Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	385	99¢	$380	0xb50bc4…
04-25 06:54:36	Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5)	Eyüpspor	BUY	381	94¢	$358	0x5fc42d…
04-25 06:50:50	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x0acc34…
04-25 06:50:26	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	350	99¢	$346	0xa4fb9e…
04-25 02:03:38	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	362	98¢	$357	0x7dd604…
03-16 05:56:19	dota2 l1ga nemiga 2026 03 16	L1ga Team	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x3fba7a…
03-13 07:17:23	khl akb hcs 2026 03 12	HC Sochi	BUY	250	14¢	$35	0xcae2e4…
03-13 07:17:23	khl akb hcs 2026 03 12	HC Sochi	BUY	240	14¢	$34	0x62d20b…
03-12 12:22:25	atp blanc harris 2026 03 12	Billy Harris	SELL	24	40¢	$10	0x59981f…
03-12 12:22:15	atp blanc harris 2026 03 12	Billy Harris	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xb4515e…
03-12 12:21:41	atp blanc harris 2026 03 12	Billy Harris	BUY	410	41¢	$168	0xf62993…
03-12 12:21:41	atp blanc harris 2026 03 12	Billy Harris	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x8d8397…
03-12 12:21:41	atp blanc harris 2026 03 12	Billy Harris	BUY	226	41¢	$92	0x7022f0…
03-11 06:41:39	crint arg mex 2026 03 11	Argentina	BUY	290	70¢	$203	0x8eb517…