Icky-Glider — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.98K

Unrealized P&L

-$151

Hit rate

96.5%

Resolved

Trades

205

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

$406

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-30 02:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

77% 63% +$6,878

Politics

14% 73% +$137

Crypto

8% 0% -$74

Sports

1% 43% +$40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+801	$245	18¢	$148	-$97	10-30 02:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	-69	-$64	97¢	$-67	-$4	07-18 22:52
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	-57	-$55	98¢	$-56	-$1	10-14 19:30
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+161	$100	32¢	$52	-$48	10-21 22:19
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	-47	-$46	98¢	$-46	$0	09-29 05:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-25	-$24	96¢	$-24	$0	10-14 19:29
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-60	-$9	16¢	$-9	+$0	10-19 05:06
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-144	-$1	1¢	$-2	-$1	10-19 05:06
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-121	-$1	1¢	$-2	$0	10-19 05:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	15	$3.2K	5,320	0	+5,320	No	+$2,127	05-19 02:55
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	9	$2.9K	4,885	0	+4,885	Yes	+$1,945	05-18 20:32
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	12	$2.0K	3,336	0	+3,336	No	+$1,306	05-12 03:02
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	4	$803	1,560	0	+1,560	No	+$757	05-10 18:35
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	6	$573	1,041	0	+1,041	No	+$467	05-08 15:03
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	3	$565	839	0	+839	Yes	+$274	04-24 20:36
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$292	164	164	+0	No	+$26	03-28 06:55
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$279	205	205	+0	open	—	10-14 19:29
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$245	801	0	+801	open	—	10-30 02:20
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	2	$222	133	133	+0	Yes	+$22	04-07 22:48
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	2	$211	112	112	+0	No	+$11	03-31 03:39
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30, 2027?	4	$175	816	0	+816	open	—	10-24 05:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$154	91	91	+0	No	+$24	04-24 03:51
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$150	280	0	+280	No	+$130	04-25 03:59
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?	2	$130	514	0	+514	open	—	10-15 02:28
will trump say bibi or netanyahu during address to the nation	2	$115	66	66	+0	No	+$15	04-02 01:21
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	6	$111	97	97	+0	Yes	+$11	04-07 22:45
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	4	$111	89	89	+0	No	+$5	03-11 04:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	7	$110	107	107	+0	Yes	+$38	04-07 22:53
Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?	3	$110	406	0	+406	open	—	10-25 20:54
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	161	0	+161	open	—	10-21 22:19
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$89	50	50	+0	No	+$9	03-24 02:14
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$83	44	44	+0	No	+$3	03-28 06:55
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$81	43	43	+0	No	+$1	03-11 14:43
ufc tai1 tal2 2026 01 31	1	$75	101	0	+101	Teixeira	+$26	01-30 21:35
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	6	$73	89	89	+0	No	+$3	03-13 02:51
will trump say maga or make america great again during address to the nation	2	$70	41	41	+0	No	+$10	04-02 01:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$66	37	37	+0	No	+$6	04-08 00:52
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	1	$64	0	69	-69	open	—	07-18 22:52
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$63	41	41	+0	No	+$3	03-24 03:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 02:20:01	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0xa48e2a…
10-27 16:54:53	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0xb8b5bd…
10-25 20:55:15	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0xf2d555…
10-25 20:54:53	Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	221	23¢	$50	0x78681e…
10-24 05:45:17	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xfcc514…
10-24 05:32:32	Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x9b4d12…
10-24 05:30:14	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	218	14¢	$30	0xa928ab…
10-24 05:29:51	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	108	18¢	$20	0xb6ea95…
10-21 22:20:30	Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0x673420…
10-21 22:19:57	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x27c741…
10-21 22:19:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x19dd9e…
10-19 05:07:17	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0xb59fa2…
10-19 05:07:02	Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	1¢	$1	0x9e92bc…
10-19 05:06:56	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	1¢	$1	0x32a81d…
10-19 05:06:36	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	60	16¢	$9	0x712dea…
10-15 02:29:49	Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	SELL	167	5¢	$9	0x570ac3…
10-15 02:28:58	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x6237ea…
10-15 02:28:43	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0x27409e…
10-14 19:34:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x6e9e17…
10-14 19:33:58	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x86918d…
10-14 19:33:48	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	446	22¢	$100	0x52e906…
10-14 19:30:06	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x72481e…
10-14 19:29:55	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0xcbf7a1…
10-14 19:29:33	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	205	75¢	$154	0xf5f810…
09-29 05:06:47	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$46	0xebb443…
09-29 05:06:09	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xb81d2f…
09-23 01:53:22	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	129	58¢	$75	0x6de855…
09-13 16:34:21	Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	BUY	167	9¢	$15	0xdbf860…
07-18 22:52:10	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	69	92¢	$64	0xc48fb8…
05-19 02:55:13	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1,391	58¢	$800	0xb5eff6…
05-19 01:37:14	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	461	65¢	$300	0x93bd76…
05-18 20:32:51	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	458	65¢	$300	0x13a031…
05-18 02:09:33	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0x1df6db…
05-18 02:00:19	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	436	57¢	$250	0x0548a2…
05-18 00:23:23	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0x01862b…
05-16 21:51:25	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	529	57¢	$300	0xf95644…
05-16 18:40:08	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1,627	61¢	$1,000	0xba0d4b…
05-16 04:05:15	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1,064	60¢	$640	0x803f1e…
05-15 13:33:40	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0x420ba1…
05-15 03:30:06	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	240	62¢	$150	0x930e29…
05-14 15:10:38	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xae5082…
05-14 15:01:55	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	155	64¢	$100	0xd92a4f…
05-12 03:02:11	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	917	65¢	$600	0xd7f236…
05-11 18:39:09	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	542	54¢	$294	0x9bcba9…
05-11 03:17:52	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	839	61¢	$514	0x310136…
05-11 02:08:57	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	133	60¢	$80	0x5b9cef…
05-11 02:07:48	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	390	59¢	$231	0x90a57b…
05-10 18:36:31	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	171	58¢	$99	0xcf282c…
05-10 18:35:36	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	208	58¢	$120	0x808516…
05-08 15:16:12	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0x682136…
05-08 15:03:46	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	415	54¢	$225	0xc0a300…
05-08 03:08:26	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	57	57¢	$32	0x989e5b…
05-08 03:00:46	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	75	58¢	$43	0x448d4c…
05-07 15:43:24	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	170	66¢	$112	0x151e03…
05-07 15:42:54	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	181	61¢	$111	0x33f681…
05-07 01:05:48	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	515	68¢	$350	0xc0d342…
05-06 23:01:09	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	584	68¢	$396	0xce8d93…
05-06 17:00:26	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	143	65¢	$93	0x9779e6…
05-03 16:51:46	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x59fb23…
05-03 16:50:32	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	354	48¢	$170	0x4b0640…
05-01 18:19:18	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x48d27d…
04-29 14:21:40	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	229	59¢	$136	0x38ead6…
04-28 20:57:42	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xcc7f29…
04-28 20:56:26	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	58	53¢	$31	0xa4c4c3…
04-28 19:44:28	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x2a0c02…
04-28 19:42:28	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	848	53¢	$450	0xefe34b…
04-27 18:00:30	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	159	59¢	$93	0x712e99…
04-25 04:00:52	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	59	55¢	$33	0x36095a…
04-25 04:00:26	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	92	59¢	$54	0xf32a4d…
04-25 03:59:16	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xb462c5…
04-24 20:36:44	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	242	62¢	$150	0x734d4b…
04-24 17:10:16	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x18eb21…
04-24 03:51:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	91	97¢	$89	0xf3d899…
04-22 16:01:18	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	452	70¢	$315	0x5a9f33…
04-21 16:50:54	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	445	45¢	$200	0xc075cc…
04-20 22:13:36	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	180	56¢	$100	0xc6d780…
04-19 00:19:56	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	108	58¢	$62	0xb2f751…
04-17 20:20:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xdb0487…
04-17 20:16:42	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	230	54¢	$125	0x2c9f9b…
04-16 03:50:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xc10fcf…
04-16 03:14:48	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	143	52¢	$74	0x3e2050…
04-16 03:10:30	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	138	54¢	$74	0x42f6f3…
04-16 03:10:00	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0x333a13…
04-13 03:27:25	dota2 ave ngx 2026 04 13	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x2396fb…
04-13 03:25:57	lol nsea hle 2026 04 13	Nongshim Esports Academy	BUY	37	75¢	$28	0xb2b9d6…
04-13 03:25:25	lol blg jdg 2026 04 14	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xd14f85…
04-13 03:24:55	lol bro1 ktc 2026 04 13	KT Rolster Challengers	BUY	53	77¢	$41	0xa7df2c…
04-13 03:21:27	lol genga drxc 2026 04 13	Kiwoom DRX Challengers	BUY	44	80¢	$35	0x89f920…
04-13 03:19:43	dota2 glyph yg 2026 04 13	GLYPH	BUY	46	88¢	$40	0xe73750…
04-12 01:40:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x755470…
04-08 04:33:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x41fd42…
04-08 04:32:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x6961fa…
04-08 04:32:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x7ab010…
04-08 00:52:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0xdce4f1…
04-07 22:53:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	21	93¢	$19	0x984352…
04-07 22:48:01	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	133	92¢	$122	0xe7a758…
04-07 22:47:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	51	73¢	$37	0x815f9d…
04-07 22:45:55	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	21	87¢	$19	0x47447c…
04-07 22:45:37	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	23	85¢	$19	0xff4ca2…
04-07 01:28:45	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0xba75b5…