Realized P&L
-$62
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
84.5%
Resolved
382
Trades
547
lifetime
Volume
$7.48K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$316
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-12 12:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Other
64% 84% +$26
Politics
21% 50% -$90
Crypto
11% 97% -$13
Sports
4% 75% +$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -200 -$193 98¢ $-196 -$3 09-06 08:57
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -94 -$84 84¢ $-78 +$5 08-24 22:05
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -15 -$13 100¢ $-15 -$2 08-23 16:51
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$18 98¢ $-10 +$8 09-12 12:40
Will US annex any territory in 2026? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 $0 06-03 22:54
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -10 -$4 32¢ $-3 +$1 08-10 08:18
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -10 -$2 20¢ $-2 +$0 05-02 23:56
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes -20 -$4 10¢ $-2 +$2 08-22 19:19
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? Yes -36 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-28 14:13