(anonymous) 0x250c59…01e86f Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$503
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
49.2%
Resolved
78
Trades
850
lifetime
Volume
$3.03K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$154
12 positions
First seen
2026-08-25
last 11-06 01:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Crypto
69% 37% -$291
Politics
27% 12% -$207
Other
3% 0% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 281 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,000 -$14 2¢ $45 +$59 11-04 09:44
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +28,555 $44 0¢ $43 -$1 10-30 19:33
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +19,939 $20 0¢ $20 $0 10-31 00:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +500 $28 3¢ $17 -$11 11-05 22:19
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,000 $5 0¢ $7 +$2 10-27 22:32
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,994 $5 0¢ $7 +$3 11-03 19:12
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $4 1¢ $4 +$0 11-05 19:21
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,427 $2 0¢ $4 +$1 11-06 02:44
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +359 $6 1¢ $3 -$3 10-27 21:17
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes +920 $6 0¢ $2 -$4 10-25 11:38
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026? No +180 $6 1¢ $1 -$5 11-04 12:13
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? Yes +707 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-28 14:36