Realized P&L
-$98
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
72.9%
Resolved
678
Trades
1,614
lifetime
Volume
$3.37K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$750
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-27
last 10-24 18:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Crypto
72% 64% -$59
Other
20% 71% -$16
Politics
7% 50% -$6
Sports
1% 40% -$18
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +300 $280 98¢ $294 +$13 05-27 18:42
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +234 $218 96¢ $226 +$8 05-27 18:52
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +167 $150 94¢ $157 +$8 07-22 14:06
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +54 $48 98¢ $53 +$4 10-21 04:20
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +50 $10 19¢ $10 $0 07-08 05:28
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +2 $2 80¢ $2 $0 10-03 17:00
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +2 $2 84¢ $2 $0 10-03 16:59
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? No +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$0 10-18 05:42
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +2 $2 62¢ $2 $0 10-03 17:00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 09-20 13:29
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992 No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 07-31 21:47
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223 No +1 $1 84¢ $1 $0 07-27 07:14
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 $0 09-17 03:13