Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$183

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

126

1,508 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.10K

$13.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 10-13 09:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Other

61% 59% -$226

Politics

31% 63% -$70

Crypto

4% 59% +$21

Sports

3% 57% -$90

Tech

1% 67% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No		+0	-$8	88¢	$0	+$8	08-15 07:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	42	$591	565	565	+0	No	+$64	07-07 13:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	39	$415	244	244	+0	No	+$8	05-06 12:05
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	17	$308	220	210	+10	No	-$1	07-20 12:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	47	$308	567	564	+2	No	+$33	06-29 11:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	16	$274	143	143	+0	No	+$8	06-24 11:29
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	12	$218	270	270	+0	No	-$39	07-07 23:50
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	56	$216	438	438	+0	open	—	09-30 20:02
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	3	$210	215	0	+215	Yes	+$5	06-30 22:32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	13	$205	114	114	+0	No	+$15	09-30 20:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	10	$200	127	88	+39	No	+$11	05-23 22:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	38	$199	204	204	+0	Yes	$0	06-20 14:03
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	18	$195	187	187	+0	Yes	-$3	07-17 16:01
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	8	$163	98	98	+0	open	—	09-30 19:59
will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	16	$160	222	222	+0	No	-$14	07-14 12:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	10	$160	166	166	+0	Yes	+$30	06-14 23:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	8	$158	197	197	+0	Yes	+$2	06-11 18:49
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	20	$145	492	58	+434	Yes	-$81	06-05 07:28
Roland Garros ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	5	$142	72	72	+0	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	+$2	05-26 18:54
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	12	$140	83	83	+0	No	-$10	06-30 16:56
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	16	$127	73	72	+1	No	+$2	05-27 19:29
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	2	$115	118	0	+118	No	+$3	06-20 17:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	12	$110	63	63	+0	No	+$6	05-13 21:13
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	5	$108	80	80	+0	open	—	08-15 07:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$106	80	80	+0	No	+$18	05-27 16:43
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	4	$105	58	58	+0	No	+$5	08-23 20:39
will hyperliquid reach 76 in july	5	$103	210	0	+210	No	-$103	07-04 04:28
Paraguay vs. France: Neither team to score first?	2	$102	52	52	+0	No	+$2	07-04 22:56
will xauusd dip to 3850 by june 22 2026	6	$101	54	53	+2	No	$0	06-26 01:05
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	1	$100	102	0	+102	Brazil	+$2	06-24 23:37
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	3	$98	62	62	+0	open	—	06-16 22:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 09:48:22	Wuhan Tennis Open: Daria Snigur vs Elise Mertens	Elise Mertens	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x79fdfd…
09-30 22:57:35	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x40e699…
09-30 22:57:27	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x2a92f0…
09-30 22:57:21	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x10bf23…
09-30 22:57:20	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 30	No	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0xd9ed4d…
09-30 22:57:15	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xab3f6e…
09-30 22:57:12	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xab1ddd…
09-30 22:57:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	29	71¢	$20	0x03e0df…
09-30 21:56:36	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xc80b70…
09-30 21:30:23	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0xaf9786…
09-30 21:01:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x3def24…
09-30 21:01:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x2ea299…
09-30 20:02:47	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x250c47…
09-30 20:02:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	29¢	$10	0xaecdb6…
09-30 20:02:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$63	0x8c6656…
09-30 20:02:45	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x459cd7…
09-30 20:00:00	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	29¢	$9	0x58bccc…
09-30 19:59:09	Will USD/JPY hit 190 (High) in 2026?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xe950eb…
09-30 19:59:09	Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xc025d2…
09-30 19:59:09	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x8d8bfd…
09-30 19:59:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	14¢	$3	0x7dbe6e…
09-30 19:59:09	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x6640ba…
09-30 19:59:09	Will USD/BRL hit 3.75 (Low) in 2026?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x5b7676…
09-30 19:59:08	Will USD/CAD hit 1.20 (Low) in 2026?	No	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x7163de…
09-30 19:59:08	Will USD/BRL hit 7.25 (High) in 2026?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x705fd7…
09-30 19:59:08	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x25dc04…
09-30 19:59:06	Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0xf1433e…
09-30 19:59:06	Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0xa4da89…
09-30 19:59:06	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	82	8¢	$7	0x84c4d4…
09-30 19:59:06	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	91¢	$41	0x34e5b7…
09-30 19:59:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	29¢	$9	0x18e2e5…
09-30 19:59:06	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	3¢	$3	0x1532ff…
09-30 19:59:05	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	53	13¢	$7	0xc98892…
09-30 19:59:05	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xc7169f…
09-30 19:59:05	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	528	2¢	$13	0xae49c8…
09-30 19:59:05	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	98	89¢	$87	0x9cd8e9…
09-30 19:59:05	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	32	93¢	$29	0x672819…
09-30 19:59:05	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?	Yes	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x2d3ee5…
09-30 19:57:39	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 30	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4bd1ae…
09-07 11:43:07	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x073c15…
08-25 21:03:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	Yes	BUY	224	4¢	$9	0x45098b…
08-23 21:20:39	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$4	0x36945e…
08-23 21:20:37	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x393b5e…
08-23 20:39:55	Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0xb2b43f…
08-23 20:39:55	Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x9f14d3…
08-23 20:39:55	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x82a572…
08-23 20:39:52	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xd25565…
08-23 20:39:51	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	90	20¢	$18	0xead1f1…
08-23 20:39:51	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x62c8ad…
08-20 18:14:10	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xc21d27…
08-20 18:13:31	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	68	31¢	$21	0x2e3d2c…
08-19 15:07:36	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x226d59…
08-19 15:03:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0xc4bf8b…
08-19 13:33:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	Yes	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xe6f6e9…
08-19 13:22:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xeb51c4…
08-19 12:38:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x924df2…
08-19 03:28:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	Yes	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xbc0cc3…
08-19 03:15:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	Yes	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xb02246…
08-19 02:44:31	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0xfebbd0…
08-15 07:40:54	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	SELL	126	2¢	$2	0x375a8d…
08-15 07:40:52	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xec4c14…
08-15 07:40:52	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0xe95baa…
08-15 07:40:52	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0x707b0f…
08-15 07:40:52	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x585db9…
08-15 07:40:52	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	SELL	34	81¢	$27	0x4f1181…
08-15 07:40:52	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x3af948…
08-15 07:40:51	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0xe82415…
08-15 07:40:51	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xe208ac…
08-15 07:40:51	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xc2902e…
08-15 07:40:51	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0xad8938…
08-15 07:40:51	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xab50e2…
08-15 07:40:51	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	21	23¢	$5	0x6f0c2a…
08-15 07:40:51	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x45da56…
08-15 07:40:51	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0x160768…
08-15 07:40:49	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0xf8eb27…
08-15 07:40:49	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0xe5f244…
08-15 07:40:49	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0xd07e85…
08-15 07:40:49	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0xc2bb58…
08-15 07:40:49	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x6d2fe0…
08-15 07:40:49	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x641a8b…
08-15 07:40:49	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0x45db54…
08-15 07:40:49	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x1c584a…
08-15 07:40:48	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xe95168…
08-15 07:40:48	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0xa4888a…
08-15 07:40:48	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x8ed854…
08-15 07:40:48	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	90	23¢	$21	0x6c80ac…
08-15 07:40:48	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x597697…
08-08 20:27:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x96ed0c…
08-08 20:02:21	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0xd39037…
08-08 16:53:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0x44c028…
08-08 15:14:01	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xee933b…
08-08 14:05:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	105	10¢	$11	0x546859…
08-08 14:00:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0xb86ffb…
08-08 11:58:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0xcb1d69…
08-07 12:49:42	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x572cf9…
08-06 00:31:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xccdf9a…
08-01 21:42:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x4456f2…
08-01 19:40:06	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x3b26d0…
08-01 19:40:05	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0a3943…
08-01 19:35:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xa0ffdf…