Wet-Ceramics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$158

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

49.8%

Resolved

202

Trades

258

lifetime

Volume

$1.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 07-11 04:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 44% -$121

Other

15% 53% -$13

Sports

13% 29% -$34

Politics

9% 86% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-86	-$4	1¢	$-1	+$3	05-20 03:01
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes		-32	$0	1¢	$-0	+$0	05-20 03:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$56	189	60	+129	No	-$27	05-29 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$25	28	0	+28	Up	+$3	05-19 03:06
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	1	$25	0	28	-28	Yes	-$4	05-19 01:01
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$20	30	30	+0	No	+$14	04-20 19:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 03:40 UTC	1	$20	41	0	+41	Down	+$21	04-15 03:39
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 06:05 UTC	2	$18	14	14	+0	Up	+$8	03-27 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	3	$17	16	9	+7	Up	+$5	05-20 03:08
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$16	15	15	+0	Yes	+$6	03-27 20:28
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	2	$16	33	33	+0	No	+$10	04-15 04:01
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	2	$15	48	48	+0	No	+$9	05-13 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 04:00 UTC	1	$15	34	0	+34	Up	+$19	03-24 04:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	06-17 02:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 06:30 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	03-27 06:36
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-03 03:28
will south carolina win the 2026 womens ncaa tournament	2	$13	30	30	+0	No	+$7	04-04 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$13	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	05-19 02:56
highest temperature in miami on april 1 2026 80 81f	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$3	04-02 02:11
highest temperature in seattle on april 1 2026 50 51f	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$3	04-02 02:11
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 06:10 UTC	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	03-27 06:16
will the toronto maple leafs make the nhl playoffs	4	$12	198	0	+198	No	-$12	03-21 03:06
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	3	$12	58	58	+0	No	+$0	05-20 03:02
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	3	$12	102	102	+0	No	+$0	03-22 02:56
will bryson dechambeau win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$12	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-24 05:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 14:35 UTC	3	$12	47	0	+47	Down	-$12	03-27 14:38
nba 2025 26 rpg leader nikola jokic	3	$11	200	0	+200	Yes	-$11	03-21 02:38
nba 2025 26 southeast division winner charlotte hornets	3	$11	81	81	+0	No	-$1	03-22 02:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 04:30 UTC	2	$11	63	0	+63	Down	-$11	03-24 04:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	-$10	05-19 03:11
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 03:00 UTC	1	$10	15	0	+15	Down	-$10	03-27 03:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 02:45 UTC	2	$10	17	0	+17	Up	+$7	03-27 02:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 04:27:05	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x597533…
07-11 04:26:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc9f48b…
06-17 02:01:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xadef56…
06-17 02:00:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9c758a…
05-29 03:30:40	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	189	22¢	$42	0x5e01d9…
05-28 02:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe33c90…
05-28 02:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xfdbb15…
05-28 02:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0xdf99e7…
05-28 02:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x52dada…
05-28 02:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x244d7f…
05-28 02:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xaa291b…
05-24 03:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8e9fde…
05-24 03:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x0cc45e…
05-24 03:43:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x175dc3…
05-24 03:41:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0xee3ce4…
05-24 03:41:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1bf504…
05-24 03:39:43	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1b428c…
05-24 03:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x197f06…
05-20 03:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3b03e5…
05-20 03:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xf60565…
05-20 03:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe472d7…
05-20 03:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0x94482a…
05-20 03:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x460ccb…
05-20 03:05:44	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0xc4132c…
05-20 03:05:00	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0x6e31a1…
05-20 03:04:53	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x7e0cec…
05-20 03:04:41	Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x1f645a…
05-20 03:04:27	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0xce164f…
05-20 03:04:20	Theo James announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x9b0f88…
05-20 03:04:10	Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x1f1b05…
05-20 03:03:57	Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x49d7bf…
05-20 03:03:45	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	1¢	$1	0xa911bf…
05-20 03:03:38	Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0x174919…
05-20 03:03:21	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	33	7¢	$2	0xb60425…
05-20 03:02:53	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	58	11¢	$6	0x0b869a…
05-20 03:02:35	Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	53	4¢	$2	0x6c2d85…
05-20 03:02:25	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0xc6df8f…
05-20 03:02:12	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	3¢	$3	0xfaebf8…
05-20 03:01:48	Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	7¢	$5	0x0e91b1…
05-20 03:01:41	Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	4¢	$3	0xdf8dce…
05-20 03:01:27	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	5¢	$4	0x535848…
05-20 03:01:16	Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	69	8¢	$6	0x785e90…
05-20 03:01:04	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	8¢	$7	0xe2c17f…
05-20 03:00:36	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	60	24¢	$14	0xf04fb4…
05-20 00:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc00d0d…
05-20 00:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xb6fcbf…
05-19 23:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1403b8…
05-19 23:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xe3567d…
05-19 23:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xebbf92…
05-19 23:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xea7834…
05-19 23:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfba65d…
05-19 23:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb69f89…
05-19 03:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x779841…
05-19 03:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xc838dd…
05-19 03:01:15	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa46aed…
05-19 03:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x374ae0…
05-19 02:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	13	62¢	$8	0x602c0d…
05-19 02:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xdabc7f…
05-19 02:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2b8804…
05-19 01:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x39c5ff…
05-19 01:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdec612…
05-19 01:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4c94d9…
05-19 01:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8cf76a…
05-19 01:01:04	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	28	86¢	$25	0x910ddc…
05-19 01:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xbab9c9…
05-19 00:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xde2a65…
05-13 18:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x46f65f…
05-13 18:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x3d3f4d…
05-13 18:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xff9d41…
05-13 18:19:21	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	76	8¢	$6	0xfa355d…
05-13 18:19:05	Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	SELL	48	25¢	$12	0x48f263…
05-13 05:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xf899cc…
05-12 23:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0debab…
05-03 03:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0b396c…
05-03 03:51:22	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc25fca…
05-03 03:31:18	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x817cc0…
05-03 03:28:58	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xeb3a2b…
05-03 03:25:38	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4d9041…
05-03 03:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x537a24…
05-03 03:06:12	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe778da…
04-23 04:31:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	47	10¢	$5	0x493660…
04-23 04:29:32	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 04:25 UTC	Down	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0xe29e34…
04-23 04:29:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf1b57e…
04-23 04:22:08	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfaff86…
04-23 04:19:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa392b2…
04-23 04:18:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5e93b9…
04-23 03:55:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x509178…
04-20 20:09:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xbd7145…
04-20 20:00:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc1632c…
04-20 19:57:58	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x56ebae…
04-15 04:04:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xea65df…
04-15 04:01:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd63e2a…
04-15 04:01:02	Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	33	38¢	$13	0xf254ca…
04-15 03:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x72c658…
04-15 03:46:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb4a836…
04-15 03:39:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x0828f1…
04-15 03:32:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xe4c639…
04-15 03:15:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x88270c…
04-15 03:11:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6524f5…
04-15 03:09:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1ba047…