Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
55
lifetime
Volume
$109
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$52
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 06-08 09:25
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
59%
Other
33%
Tech
7%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? No +9 $9 99¢ $9 +$0 06-02 14:31
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +11 $8 82¢ $9 +$1 06-08 09:25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +7 $7 93¢ $7 $-0 06-01 00:14
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-07 06:42
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +5 $4 70¢ $4 $-0 06-06 08:50
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 $-0 06-01 14:28
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 $-0 06-02 14:31
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-01 00:19
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-01 00:23
Will Alberta join the US? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-01 14:27
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 $-0 06-01 14:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes +2 $2 95¢ $2 $-0 05-31 23:46
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 05-29 20:48
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 05-29 20:47
SBF released from custody in 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $-0 06-02 14:30