Realized P&L
-$208
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
41.6%
Resolved
446
Trades
1,743
lifetime
Volume
$4.94K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$44
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 06-19 19:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Other
41%
39%
+$43
Crypto
34%
37%
-$241
Politics
20%
49%
+$13
Sports
4%
25%
-$19
Tech
1%
57%
-$4
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-19).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | -17 | -$13 | 97¢ | $-16 | -$3 | 06-11 08:40 | |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | -10 | -$7 | 95¢ | $-10 | -$2 | 06-11 08:40 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | -8 | -$7 | 96¢ | $-8 | -$1 | 06-11 08:40 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | -7 | -$6 | 97¢ | $-7 | -$1 | 06-11 08:40 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | -12 | -$4 | 32¢ | $-4 | +$1 | 06-11 08:41 | |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | -8 | -$2 | 1¢ | $-0 | +$2 | 06-11 08:41 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | 41 | $202 | 213 | 213 | +0 | Yes | -$2 | 06-12 07:21 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | 15 | $91 | 93 | 93 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-12 07:21 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | 5 | $79 | 75 | 75 | +0 | Yes | -$1 | 06-12 07:21 |
| fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 team total home 0pt5 | 8 | $78 | 65 | 65 | +0 | Over | -$3 | 06-12 07:21 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 23:55 UTC | 1 | $75 | 100 | 0 | +100 | Up | -$75 | 03-12 23:58 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:20 UTC | 17 | $69 | 117 | 0 | +117 | Up | -$69 | 03-12 14:22 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | 7 | $61 | 67 | 67 | +0 | No | +$1 | 03-27 06:10 |
| fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 4pt5 | 6 | $60 | 56 | 56 | +0 | Over | +$51 | 06-13 03:20 |
| mlb sea wsh 2026 06 12 | 4 | $59 | 70 | 70 | +0 | Seattle Mariners | -$1 | 06-12 07:21 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | 7 | $59 | 61 | 61 | +0 | Yes | -$1 | 06-12 07:21 |
| fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 1pt5 | 4 | $58 | 43 | 43 | +0 | Over | $0 | 06-12 07:21 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 4 | $55 | 31 | 26 | +5 | No | +$0 | 03-25 10:02 |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | 7 | $48 | 42 | 42 | +0 | Yes | +$36 | 06-12 21:06 |
| cs2 vit 9z 2026 06 12 | 6 | $47 | 26 | 26 | +0 | 9z | $0 | 06-12 07:21 |
| mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026 | 3 | $43 | 23 | 23 | +0 | No | +$0 | 03-16 02:47 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 06:55 UTC | 20 | $42 | 50 | 40 | +10 | Up | +$14 | 03-10 06:59 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | 9 | $41 | 24 | 24 | +0 | No | +$1 | 06-13 19:33 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 06:35 UTC | 30 | $41 | 80 | 54 | +26 | Up | +$24 | 03-10 06:40 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 11:10 UTC | 25 | $40 | 60 | 55 | +5 | Down | -$3 | 03-10 11:14 |
| SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026? | 2 | $39 | 21 | 21 | +0 | No | +$0 | 03-16 02:47 |
| fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 team total home 2pt5 | 8 | $39 | 97 | 97 | +0 | Under | -$2 | 06-12 07:21 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 2 | $38 | 22 | 22 | +0 | No | -$1 | 03-16 02:47 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | 13 | $38 | 31 | 31 | +0 | open | — | 06-16 14:33 |
| ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:20 UTC | 15 | $36 | 148 | 0 | +148 | Down | -$14 | 03-12 14:23 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 8 | $36 | 53 | 53 | +0 | No | $0 | 03-16 02:52 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:20 UTC | 21 | $36 | 46 | 45 | +1 | Up | +$1 | 03-11 00:24 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 06:45 UTC | 16 | $35 | 45 | 30 | +15 | Up | +$15 | 03-10 06:49 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 06:30 UTC | 28 | $34 | 100 | 22 | +78 | Down | -$17 | 03-10 06:34 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 05:55 UTC | 7 | $34 | 30 | 20 | +10 | Up | +$6 | 03-09 06:00 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | 19 | $33 | 87 | 0 | +87 | Yes | +$54 | 06-12 01:10 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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