Realized P&L
-$117
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
53.8%
Resolved
840
Trades
2,000
lifetime
Volume
$12.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$14
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 10-25 19:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 112 days
Categories
Other
45% 50% +$8
Politics
28% 40% -$196
Sports
22% 43% +$70
Crypto
5% 77% -$8
Tech
1% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +156 $5 3¢ $5 +$0 10-23 10:15
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +132 $5 3¢ $5 $0 10-23 10:13
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +21 $13 12¢ $2 -$11 09-27 06:59
european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31 Yes +14 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 06-23 06:45
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +28 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 09-09 13:46
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 40¢ $0 $0 05-26 22:52
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 6¢ $0 $0 05-27 04:44
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 $0 05-27 01:19