Embarrassed-Reparation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.1%

Resolved

Trades

335

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-15 14:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

48% 75% +$6

Crypto

27% 67% $-11

Politics

25% 0% $-4

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.3K	802	802	+0	open	—	05-04 00:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$1.1K	711	711	+0	open	—	05-04 10:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	6	$1.0K	610	610	+0	No	$-2	05-03 21:42
LoL: BIG vs Team Orange Gaming (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A	4	$835	500	500	+0	open	—	04-30 14:41
Counter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	5	$790	537	399	+137	Monte	+$26	05-12 07:30
LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions - Game 2 Winner	4	$773	656	656	+0	open	—	04-30 14:37
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$722	523	523	+0	open	—	05-05 07:14
LoL: GTZ Esports vs Dream Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	14	$617	973	973	+0	open	—	04-30 18:02
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$508	541	541	+0	MOUZ	$-11	05-11 19:58
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	2	$506	693	693	+0	paiN	$-7	05-11 09:36
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	2	$445	500	500	+0	open	—	04-29 19:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$388	240	239	+1	open	—	05-06 03:21
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner	2	$345	500	500	+0	open	—	04-30 06:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$331	0	345	-345	open	—	06-15 14:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$288	356	356	+0	open	—	05-06 05:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$270	200	200	+0	Yes	$-2	05-05 06:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	3	$186	240	240	+0	open	—	04-21 14:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$176	240	240	+0	open	—	04-21 14:39
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$174	120	120	+0	open	—	05-06 04:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	2	$166	100	100	+0	open	—	04-29 19:52
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	2	$142	100	100	+0	open	—	04-29 10:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$139	240	240	+0	open	—	04-17 18:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$137	240	240	+0	open	—	04-18 11:54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$92	100	100	+0	open	—	04-21 15:35
xrp updown 5m 1776737700	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-21 02:20
sol updown 5m 1776721200	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-20 21:45
btc updown 5m 1776689700	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-20 13:00
btc updown 5m 1776646800	2	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-20 01:05
btc updown 5m 1776702900	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-20 16:40
btc updown 5m 1776745500	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-21 04:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 14:55:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	173	97¢	$167	0xc37b09…
06-14 22:58:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	173	95¢	$164	0x995457…
05-18 10:05:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0x013462…
05-18 06:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x28db27…
05-18 06:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xbe385f…
05-18 02:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xfb003b…
05-18 00:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x596834…
05-17 23:40:33	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9484c5…
05-17 22:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0b38cd…
05-17 21:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xce6118…
05-17 21:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x94ee43…
05-17 21:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x7e5dba…
05-17 14:15:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa0bb24…
05-16 15:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa73316…
05-16 14:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x7c3e64…
05-16 14:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x94c045…
05-16 14:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x491629…
05-16 13:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xba8541…
05-16 13:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa5decf…
05-16 13:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xfbe0b2…
05-16 12:05:01	BNB Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x7fa287…
05-16 05:30:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x0227c4…
05-16 02:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x0edb3b…
05-16 00:50:03	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x24ea1d…
05-15 23:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa551bd…
05-15 23:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x21fb65…
05-15 23:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3b055f…
05-15 23:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xbcb5a1…
05-15 23:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x5890ee…
05-15 22:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xbdadb2…
05-15 22:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x6f5b09…
05-15 22:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x1ec0b4…
05-15 14:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x29d2d1…
05-15 14:25:02	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x10dc59…
05-15 08:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x39ffa8…
05-14 18:55:15	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb4d408…
05-14 18:24:13	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xef5fa2…
05-14 18:24:13	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x774654…
05-14 17:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x692714…
05-14 17:03:27	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x53e0dc…
05-14 16:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe2db89…
05-14 16:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xace426…
05-14 05:52:26	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa4b8f8…
05-13 15:49:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x90bf82…
05-13 14:20:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xeb6a46…
05-13 11:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xcc25bb…
05-12 16:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8fa780…
05-12 12:20:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd7203f…
05-12 12:20:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1c4ad3…
05-12 08:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xbdbca9…
05-12 07:43:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xda41df…
05-12 07:30:03	Counter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Monte	SELL	10	84¢	$9	0xd39ebd…
05-12 07:29:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x2b0214…
05-12 02:42:32	Counter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Monte	SELL	59	85¢	$50	0x366278…
05-12 02:12:28	Counter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Monte	SELL	17	85¢	$14	0x9d62e6…
05-12 02:04:16	Counter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Monte	SELL	313	85¢	$266	0x39a5b2…
05-12 01:00:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0x75adc1…
05-12 00:49:53	Counter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Monte	BUY	537	84¢	$451	0x257b81…
05-11 22:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3f3c82…
05-11 19:58:20	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	SELL	541	46¢	$249	0x7b9252…
05-11 19:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa174da…
05-11 18:53:23	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	541	48¢	$260	0x1e3509…
05-11 17:25:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0xd514c7…
05-11 15:45:02	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0x06d66f…
05-11 12:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x225efc…
05-11 09:36:11	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	paiN	SELL	693	36¢	$249	0x92c1d4…
05-11 05:38:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xc7e12c…
05-11 05:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x5b0c2d…
05-11 04:45:01	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0x63aebd…
05-11 03:20:12	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	paiN	BUY	693	37¢	$256	0x05c40f…
05-09 08:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x319a6a…
05-09 08:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x92c9e4…
05-09 08:28:47	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x72ff65…
05-09 08:01:57	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x9ac17e…
05-09 04:10:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x004126…
05-09 04:10:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x058dc6…
05-09 00:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0d31ee…
05-09 00:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xf3f4d4…
05-08 20:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xfec3a0…
05-08 20:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xe57502…
05-08 09:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x48cfe9…
05-08 04:30:01	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x47b010…
05-08 04:20:02	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8e55d2…
05-08 04:20:02	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x484adf…
05-08 04:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x54a412…
05-07 21:45:02	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe8b9cb…
05-07 16:05:01	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x008df3…
05-07 09:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xcb5d29…
05-07 09:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xbc83dd…
05-07 09:00:01	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x667f43…
05-07 06:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4586a1…
05-07 01:25:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x94c2e2…
05-06 20:45:03	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x25b3ab…
05-06 20:25:03	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3953ce…
05-06 19:05:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x5abb28…
05-06 18:20:00	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf9f8b4…
05-06 14:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	55	34¢	$19	0xa9bd85…
05-06 13:40:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x5124c6…
05-06 10:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xd9db47…
05-06 05:50:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	161	55¢	$88	0xd6e540…