Lawful-Afterthought — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

374

lifetime

Volume

$373

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-24 06:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

51% — —

Politics

30% 0% $-0

Crypto

14% 0% $-0

Sports

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	16	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	06-26 06:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	13	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-25 02:37
nothing ever happens microstrategy	10	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-06 09:23
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 08:23
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	06-13 01:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 09:22
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-22 08:23
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-24 06:52
us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-10 07:36
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-11 07:33
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-03 07:15
GTA VI released before June 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-19 09:07
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-17 06:25
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 06:33
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-17 03:11
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-16 03:43
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-20 09:09
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-15 08:23
dario amodei arrested by december 31 20260702002059924	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-11 08:23
gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-12 03:21
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-25 03:09
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 06:25
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 06:25
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-11 00:09
will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-15 08:23
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-13 01:56
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	05-30 01:09
will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	06-13 01:53
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-26 02:20
Critical Discord Incident by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 00:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 03:09:15	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x30ef3e…
07-25 02:57:43	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd258ab…
07-24 06:57:10	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xbeec4b…
07-24 06:56:33	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcbf518…
07-24 06:37:51	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0a35dd…
07-24 06:36:42	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xef1146…
07-22 08:24:33	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf7464e…
07-22 08:23:25	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1a4e42…
07-22 08:00:57	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0ec819…
07-22 08:00:10	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8b8fe9…
07-21 07:53:46	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6ddceb…
07-21 07:50:25	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf49def…
07-20 09:09:58	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7920e5…
07-20 09:03:36	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x90e30d…
07-18 08:45:39	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9921af…
07-18 08:44:58	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0a4b50…
07-18 08:15:34	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0faae6…
07-18 08:14:55	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8da5a8…
07-17 06:29:45	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdc954e…
07-17 06:25:30	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x92ffe6…
07-17 04:52:40	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf962e9…
07-17 04:51:39	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf5a5fe…
07-16 03:43:29	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x22c493…
07-16 03:12:26	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1e6ffa…
07-15 08:23:40	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xec2a5e…
07-15 08:23:08	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x93a36b…
07-15 08:06:46	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x01ae05…
07-15 08:05:55	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5c2d15…
07-14 06:49:11	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6a7dd0…
07-14 06:16:50	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5213c8…
07-13 09:18:05	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x546634…
07-13 09:17:35	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x80ec58…
07-13 09:06:02	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9a4ee0…
07-13 09:05:23	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x87e4b3…
07-11 08:23:34	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6e83f7…
07-11 08:23:08	dario amodei arrested by december 31 20260702002059924	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb6efc6…
07-11 08:18:08	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc66f78…
07-11 08:17:29	dario amodei arrested by december 31 20260702002059924	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcec4be…
07-10 07:36:22	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1e2df1…
07-10 07:35:59	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5aee68…
07-10 07:23:28	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x588a43…
07-10 07:22:47	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x98ffb8…
07-09 03:34:49	dario amodei arrested by december 31 20260702002059924	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6c0ac8…
07-09 03:34:08	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x679ce3…
07-09 03:20:14	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x65134f…
07-09 03:19:47	dario amodei arrested by december 31 20260702002059924	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc48164…
07-08 06:46:44	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x730317…
07-08 06:46:13	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x244f18…
07-08 06:36:19	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x889c2f…
07-08 06:35:14	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7fbf95…
07-07 06:20:10	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x36d03e…
07-07 04:56:47	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1edd93…
07-06 07:58:34	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x787c96…
07-06 07:58:01	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9a9cf7…
07-06 07:45:32	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8ff4ef…
07-06 07:44:55	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcc0775…
07-04 06:09:28	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9c8209…
07-04 06:06:25	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa109e0…
07-04 04:41:43	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x648857…
07-04 04:39:52	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa1111b…
07-03 07:04:14	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb35bd7…
07-03 06:54:35	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa118e6…
07-02 07:11:01	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1201ef…
07-02 07:03:13	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0ba189…
07-01 03:44:25	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x40b352…
07-01 03:43:37	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5083be…
07-01 03:38:22	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xab8a13…
07-01 03:37:44	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x29cceb…
06-30 07:21:20	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbe6a33…
06-30 07:20:16	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9a9928…
06-30 07:12:55	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6bcf34…
06-30 07:11:47	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x94d76a…
06-29 08:12:32	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x87f2f9…
06-29 08:11:43	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2d9f64…
06-29 08:03:16	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x014eb7…
06-29 08:01:38	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x78dd8d…
06-27 04:42:01	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x82af57…
06-27 04:33:29	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe9525d…
06-26 06:18:56	will solana reach 150 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x565424…
06-26 06:18:23	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x79d569…
06-26 04:11:38	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x99e62e…
06-26 03:41:34	will solana reach 150 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe60485…
06-24 02:00:28	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x60ba12…
06-24 01:58:05	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x117b11…
06-23 03:12:23	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa3c6db…
06-23 02:46:59	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb80b8…
06-22 01:41:05	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x236228…
06-22 01:33:23	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x16abee…
06-21 03:40:55	will the announcers say verizon during the netherlands vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260618175419627	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x09a06f…
06-21 03:27:55	will the announcers say verizon during the netherlands vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260618175419627	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa8b151…
06-18 03:47:56	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb68484…
06-18 03:47:22	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc9cd78…
06-18 03:36:35	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xde0118…
06-18 03:31:56	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4336ad…
06-17 03:12:52	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5c7184…
06-17 03:11:58	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0fd098…
06-17 03:06:00	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7d5ce7…
06-17 03:05:03	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfd16e3…
06-16 02:04:19	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe366ec…
06-16 02:03:15	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe86c6a…