Realized P&L
-$16
Unrealized P&L
-$43
Hit rate
79.1%
Resolved
22
Trades
32
lifetime
Volume
$593
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$268
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-20 00:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
69%
17%
-$65
Sports
30%
100%
+$47
Politics
1%
100%
+$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-20).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | -270 | -$218 | 97¢ | $-262 | -$44 | 07-14 18:52 | |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | -20 | -$3 | 18¢ | $-4 | $0 | 07-14 20:42 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | -33 | -$2 | 3¢ | $-1 | +$1 | 07-14 20:42 | |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | -1 | -$1 | 71¢ | $-1 | +$0 | 07-14 20:47 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | -14 | $0 | 2¢ | $-0 | +$0 | 07-14 20:48 | |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | Yes | -12 | $0 | 2¢ | $-0 | +$0 | 07-14 20:49 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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