Realized P&L
-$110
Unrealized P&L
-$39
Hit rate
2.7%
Resolved
7
Trades
736
lifetime
Volume
$27.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$676
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-22 08:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
44% 0% $-1
Politics
42% 0% $-1
Tech
7%
Sports
4% 40% $-108
Crypto
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +270 $202 86¢ $231 +$28 06-15 23:55
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +233 $150 60¢ $138 $-12 07-21 15:21
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +131 $85 76¢ $100 +$16 06-18 01:06
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +233 $122 40¢ $94 $-28 07-22 08:51
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -100 $-44 66¢ $-66 $-22 06-15 23:18
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +131 $54 24¢ $31 $-23 06-06 15:07
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -20 $-10 38¢ $-8 +$3 05-28 01:37
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +39 $9 15¢ $6 $-3 06-16 00:21
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes -40 $-3 $-1 +$2 06-02 22:29