Superior-Parsley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$110

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.7%

Resolved

Trades

788

lifetime

Volume

$32.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-12 05:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-1

Politics

37% 0% $-1

Tech

6% — —

Sports

3% 40% $-108

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	38	$2.6K	3,378	2,913	+465	open	—	07-29 20:31
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	77	$2.5K	2,392	2,392	+0	open	—	05-12 03:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	58	$1.9K	2,395	2,395	+0	open	—	05-11 01:02
Fed rate hike in 2026?	14	$1.6K	1,681	1,681	+0	open	—	08-07 16:20
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	17	$1.4K	1,472	1,209	+262	open	—	06-18 01:06
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	10	$1.2K	4,712	262	+4,450	open	—	01-30 03:31
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	8	$1.2K	1,224	1,224	+0	open	—	07-16 15:15
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	17	$933	887	987	-100	open	—	06-15 23:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	30	$854	1,330	1,330	+0	open	—	05-18 23:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	33	$837	2,082	2,082	+0	open	—	05-19 18:00
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	7	$695	566	566	+0	open	—	01-30 03:28
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	21	$635	925	925	+0	open	—	05-22 21:28
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	20	$551	852	852	+0	open	—	05-19 17:41
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	5	$530	952	152	+800	open	—	06-05 09:20
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	6	$524	523	523	+0	open	—	07-07 23:50
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	28	$505	1,688	1,688	+0	Yes	$-100	05-08 22:43
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	6	$502	361	361	+0	open	—	05-16 01:06
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	6	$486	389	389	+0	open	—	07-18 04:15
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	7	$472	453	453	+0	open	—	07-08 15:49
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	15	$470	343	343	+0	open	—	05-11 21:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	12	$456	655	655	+0	open	—	05-21 14:00
will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	6	$437	434	434	+0	open	—	07-30 22:11
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	7	$415	307	307	+0	open	—	05-15 00:27
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?	6	$401	400	400	+0	open	—	06-02 22:29
tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	9	$397	652	72	+580	open	—	07-06 11:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	22	$376	1,191	1,191	+0	open	—	05-10 19:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	8	$371	352	340	+12	open	—	05-28 06:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	4	$356	269	269	+0	open	—	05-11 14:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	6	$350	275	275	+0	open	—	05-11 22:31
will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	2	$333	216	216	+0	open	—	07-30 08:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 05:34:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	264	70¢	$185	0x8d2de0…
08-11 23:10:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	211	21¢	$44	0x2d8fd1…
08-11 23:10:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	211	22¢	$46	0xa7bb58…
08-11 17:46:22	Christopher Luxon out by September 30?	Yes	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0x9a8464…
08-11 17:46:19	Christopher Luxon out by September 30?	Yes	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x9bc75f…
08-10 15:50:03	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0xafb78d…
08-10 15:48:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x57d260…
08-07 16:48:36	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0xb528da…
08-07 16:48:34	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xd1d5bf…
08-07 16:20:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	750	51¢	$382	0xa141d9…
08-07 16:20:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	750	54¢	$405	0x04daaa…
08-02 13:44:21	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0xfa8d1f…
08-02 11:56:54	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0xd662db…
08-01 02:46:59	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x68ca8d…
07-31 22:46:32	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	200	26¢	$52	0x2230e1…
07-31 22:46:27	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	201	28¢	$56	0x634285…
07-30 22:11:30	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	SELL	202	40¢	$81	0xc69e44…
07-30 22:11:26	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xeb54af…
07-30 22:06:38	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	212	51¢	$108	0x4f69f4…
07-30 20:24:14	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	SELL	201	47¢	$95	0x678569…
07-30 20:22:42	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	SELL	22	53¢	$11	0x0e6ec8…
07-30 20:22:39	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	223	62¢	$138	0xce2d73…
07-30 15:16:53	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	SELL	147	31¢	$45	0x027e51…
07-30 15:16:50	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	147	35¢	$51	0xf43b6b…
07-30 08:01:23	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	SELL	216	77¢	$166	0x9c25e9…
07-30 08:01:21	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	216	77¢	$166	0xcc4ee5…
07-29 20:31:42	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	645	27¢	$174	0x0669a6…
07-29 20:31:36	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	645	28¢	$181	0x317669…
07-29 12:21:38	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	SELL	104	34¢	$35	0xf8712f…
07-29 12:21:33	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	104	34¢	$35	0x8301ec…
07-26 23:09:22	flut quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt52	No	SELL	149	20¢	$30	0x8b94bc…
07-26 23:09:18	celh quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt39	Yes	SELL	201	40¢	$80	0x2b800f…
07-26 21:20:18	celh quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt39	Yes	BUY	201	54¢	$108	0x30a2b3…
07-26 10:29:18	flut quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt52	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x2646e6…
07-26 10:29:15	flut quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt52	No	BUY	155	38¢	$59	0xeac509…
07-25 17:40:45	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	161	37¢	$60	0xbf45ad…
07-25 17:06:40	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	38¢	$1	0xd78e75…
07-25 15:57:33	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	163	58¢	$94	0x322dbd…
07-25 14:55:27	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	62¢	$71	0xaa85b2…
07-25 14:10:09	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xccd65e…
07-25 14:00:57	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	67¢	$90	0xb97931…
07-24 15:44:27	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	320	30¢	$96	0xa0b4d3…
07-24 15:42:40	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xfda585…
07-24 15:42:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xe5338b…
07-24 15:42:06	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x416d02…
07-24 15:34:54	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	33¢	$9	0xf74527…
07-24 15:33:42	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xef36f3…
07-24 15:33:27	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	33¢	$8	0x1c8cd0…
07-24 15:33:03	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0xe50380…
07-24 15:08:06	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	396	36¢	$142	0xc743f0…
07-23 15:56:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	242	37¢	$89	0xf97a36…
07-23 15:56:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	242	39¢	$94	0x85cee7…
07-22 08:51:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	266	40¢	$107	0x77c66a…
07-22 08:49:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	266	45¢	$120	0x39b43c…
07-22 08:43:21	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	No	SELL	250	16¢	$40	0x8bf7ed…
07-22 08:42:33	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	No	SELL	2	29¢	$0	0xd0ec3e…
07-22 08:42:30	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	No	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0xe8d1a9…
07-22 08:42:28	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	No	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x5e21dc…
07-22 08:42:19	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	Yes	BUY	54	80¢	$43	0xacd26c…
07-22 08:42:18	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	Yes	BUY	69	80¢	$55	0x4e0017…
07-22 08:42:15	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	No	BUY	375	34¢	$128	0x93f055…
07-21 21:58:22	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	272	45¢	$123	0x361758…
07-21 21:57:42	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	272	47¢	$128	0xd25233…
07-21 15:21:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0xbee06e…
07-21 15:12:12	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xda28d0…
07-18 04:15:10	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	58	64¢	$37	0xc16ac2…
07-18 04:15:10	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	180	64¢	$115	0x21614d…
07-17 16:03:33	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	238	66¢	$157	0xfc585e…
07-17 04:56:13	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x946ec5…
07-17 04:56:09	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	216	18¢	$39	0xcb7600…
07-17 03:59:03	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	92	21¢	$19	0x5016f0…
07-17 03:57:27	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	313	24¢	$75	0x8812fe…
07-16 15:15:46	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0x670a5c…
07-16 04:20:53	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x4b06ee…
07-15 14:19:22	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	368	31¢	$114	0x5d0c1a…
07-15 14:18:19	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	368	38¢	$140	0x2c1650…
07-13 18:55:38	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	63	53¢	$34	0xa5ff24…
07-13 18:55:37	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	88	53¢	$47	0x4236e0…
07-13 18:54:26	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	151	64¢	$97	0xb48fca…
07-13 15:24:20	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	375	62¢	$232	0x892e91…
07-13 15:23:58	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	375	66¢	$248	0x4c5e76…
07-12 07:58:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0x0d88bd…
07-12 07:37:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0x1306b7…
07-12 06:53:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	61	36¢	$22	0x574351…
07-08 17:57:43	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	281	35¢	$98	0xd0b668…
07-08 17:56:56	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	281	38¢	$107	0x8ae0a3…
07-08 15:49:07	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0x6c4800…
07-08 15:46:02	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x9ed944…
07-08 15:46:02	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x4bac96…
07-07 23:50:32	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	109	41¢	$45	0xabb977…
07-07 23:48:49	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	91	42¢	$38	0xbec246…
07-07 23:48:07	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x9f89c6…
07-06 21:30:50	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	279	53¢	$148	0xa87b79…
07-06 21:28:55	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	44	49¢	$21	0x67f10a…
07-06 21:28:10	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	323	56¢	$181	0xb4d9f7…
07-06 11:40:19	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x722821…
07-06 10:05:35	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	BUY	131	19¢	$25	0x526015…
07-06 10:05:35	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	129	81¢	$104	0x0df2d3…
07-06 02:53:23	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0x60b4a0…
07-06 01:40:01	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	SELL	56	90¢	$50	0xaa3cf1…