Realized P&L
-$110
Unrealized P&L
-$46
Hit rate
2.7%
Resolved
7
Trades
632
lifetime
Volume
$20.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$621
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 06-12 08:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
48% 0% $-1
Other
35% 0% $-1
Tech
8%
Sports
5% 40% $-108
Crypto
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +400 $254 83¢ $332 +$78 06-05 07:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +131 $87 72¢ $95 +$8 06-04 23:31
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Yes +400 $170 17¢ $68 $-102 06-05 09:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -100 $-55 62¢ $-61 $-6 06-04 01:26
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +131 $54 28¢ $36 $-18 06-06 15:07
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes -40 $-9 34¢ $-14 $-5 06-08 20:54
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -20 $-10 54¢ $-11 $-1 05-28 01:37
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes -40 $-3 $-4 $-1 06-02 22:29