Horrible-Fruit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-06 05:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

42% 0% $-2

Sports

32% 100% +$1

Crypto

15% — —

Politics

10% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	22	$1.7K	902	902	+0	No	+$1	03-28 12:13
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	17	$1.2K	633	633	+0	Yes	$-2	03-30 22:45
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	4	$703	360	360	+0	open	—	03-25 20:47
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$693	364	364	+0	open	—	03-22 04:49
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	4	$683	353	353	+0	open	—	03-25 09:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$655	338	338	+0	open	—	03-30 06:36
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	4	$608	322	321	+1	open	—	04-27 02:17
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$579	299	299	+0	open	—	04-15 12:36
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	4	$479	248	248	+0	open	—	03-31 14:04
2026 the players championship winner ludvig aberg win	3	$373	200	200	+0	open	—	03-13 09:13
2026 the players championship winner hideki matsuyama win	5	$365	187	187	+0	open	—	03-11 23:32
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$360	186	186	+0	open	—	03-18 09:42
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$356	182	182	+0	open	—	03-13 04:07
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$354	182	182	+0	open	—	03-15 15:06
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$347	181	181	+0	open	—	03-20 00:42
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$346	185	185	+0	open	—	03-27 08:18
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$344	177	177	+0	open	—	03-18 14:32
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	4	$342	176	176	+0	open	—	03-24 15:38
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$340	177	177	+0	open	—	03-22 10:16
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$336	180	180	+0	open	—	03-24 23:25
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	4	$335	173	173	+0	open	—	03-22 20:06
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$332	171	171	+0	open	—	03-26 04:11
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	3	$326	172	172	+0	open	—	03-29 10:39
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$320	165	165	+0	open	—	04-24 15:31
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$288	154	154	+0	open	—	04-27 10:41
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$127	66	66	+0	open	—	06-06 05:44
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$126	66	66	+0	open	—	04-08 12:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$123	66	66	+0	open	—	06-02 14:07
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$113	62	62	+0	open	—	04-12 10:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$108	58	58	+0	open	—	05-21 12:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 05:44:48	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	66	95¢	$63	0x35d268…
06-06 00:43:58	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0x02b07b…
06-03 16:05:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$49	0x910686…
06-03 08:38:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x4ca8bb…
06-02 14:07:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	66	94¢	$61	0x0029d0…
06-02 08:02:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	66	94¢	$62	0x0157b1…
05-22 22:34:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	54	88¢	$48	0xfa69a5…
05-22 14:28:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xd21ed5…
05-22 07:01:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0x14b4c9…
05-22 01:53:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x646df0…
05-21 12:46:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	58	93¢	$54	0x57cb53…
05-21 05:43:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	58	94¢	$54	0x42164a…
05-18 18:04:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0x6ca60f…
05-18 09:57:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$52	0xfdb99c…
05-15 22:02:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	88¢	$43	0x77e30d…
05-15 17:01:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	91¢	$44	0x96e2df…
04-27 10:41:44	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	154	95¢	$146	0x6b71b5…
04-27 03:40:54	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	154	92¢	$141	0x85a185…
04-27 02:17:16	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	159	91¢	$145	0xbc78f2…
04-25 07:16:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	160	96¢	$153	0xfd783a…
04-25 06:53:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	162	95¢	$154	0x8298ab…
04-24 23:40:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	162	96¢	$156	0x67c2eb…
04-24 15:31:24	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	165	97¢	$160	0xc7c6f2…
04-24 11:46:02	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	125	97¢	$121	0x367d23…
04-24 11:32:32	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x1b222e…
04-24 11:26:22	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xd5e6bf…
04-24 11:25:32	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3c95c2…
04-22 15:58:10	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	47	95¢	$44	0x578a91…
04-22 09:08:50	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$44	0xcbd00f…
04-21 09:13:10	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	56	93¢	$52	0x27d99f…
04-21 04:19:58	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x6319cc…
04-21 04:16:24	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xbdd161…
04-21 04:09:44	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0xc4d9b8…
04-21 03:18:32	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	24	94¢	$22	0x265bb7…
04-15 12:36:38	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0xe5c8c6…
04-15 06:05:22	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xb04665…
04-12 10:55:17	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	62	92¢	$57	0xd27bf3…
04-12 04:07:03	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	62	91¢	$56	0x4551a7…
04-12 03:20:53	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x251510…
04-11 19:09:33	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x3bf978…
04-10 00:52:39	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0xf55729…
04-09 18:28:21	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0xa8ed28…
04-08 12:48:31	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	66	95¢	$63	0x6dbf86…
04-08 06:21:37	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	66	96¢	$63	0x596420…
03-31 14:04:31	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	69	98¢	$67	0x6899df…
03-31 05:50:11	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	69	98¢	$67	0x971df3…
03-30 22:45:31	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0x55faaf…
03-30 17:37:49	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x644b32…
03-30 17:36:13	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x942bd3…
03-30 17:33:55	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xf6e56e…
03-30 06:36:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	171	97¢	$166	0x6889eb…
03-29 21:28:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	171	97¢	$166	0xfe9c11…
03-29 10:39:52	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	172	94¢	$162	0x891fbd…
03-29 06:22:18	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	140	96¢	$134	0x88cab9…
03-29 06:22:18	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x040c71…
03-29 04:55:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	167	97¢	$162	0xaa6100…
03-28 22:58:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	97¢	$162	0x32952e…
03-28 12:13:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	167	97¢	$162	0xbd44eb…
03-28 04:47:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	167	97¢	$162	0x72b131…
03-27 14:40:23	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	179	96¢	$172	0x193605…
03-27 09:10:01	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	179	96¢	$173	0xa0720b…
03-27 08:18:37	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	185	93¢	$173	0x634362…
03-27 01:24:51	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	185	94¢	$174	0x3a5a26…
03-26 19:28:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	185	95¢	$176	0x798f84…
03-26 11:17:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x575559…
03-26 11:16:49	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	149	96¢	$143	0xe9a86d…
03-26 11:16:25	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xf5a4a7…
03-26 11:16:25	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcd3641…
03-26 11:16:23	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x8a232e…
03-26 04:11:03	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	171	97¢	$166	0xff1883…
03-25 21:01:15	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	171	97¢	$166	0x6151ee…
03-25 20:47:49	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	178	98¢	$173	0x57f209…
03-25 15:57:31	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	178	98¢	$174	0xfc5b61…
03-25 09:31:37	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	168	98¢	$165	0xcf8a88…
03-25 00:21:15	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	168	98¢	$165	0x66e358…
03-24 23:25:25	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	180	93¢	$168	0x8cd907…
03-24 17:43:25	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	180	94¢	$168	0x1b2abb…
03-24 15:38:33	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	159	97¢	$155	0xf2cbbf…
03-24 14:55:11	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	159	97¢	$155	0x26e604…
03-24 14:32:45	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xca0074…
03-24 09:26:49	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0xaffedb…
03-22 20:06:49	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	173	97¢	$168	0xdf3a68…
03-22 11:13:07	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	133	96¢	$128	0x275ed0…
03-22 11:12:37	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xf668ce…
03-22 11:12:31	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xb8da25…
03-22 10:16:37	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	177	96¢	$169	0x824fc0…
03-22 06:12:49	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	177	96¢	$171	0xc81b4c…
03-22 04:49:05	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	180	95¢	$172	0x3dacda…
03-21 19:25:09	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	180	95¢	$172	0x6de35c…
03-21 18:07:13	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	184	95¢	$175	0x9b1394…
03-21 11:02:25	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	184	96¢	$175	0x1e4faa…
03-20 00:42:31	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	181	96¢	$173	0xf415dd…
03-19 16:02:09	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0xe1a4a6…
03-19 15:56:45	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	153	96¢	$148	0x90873b…
03-19 15:30:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	174	96¢	$167	0x62b151…
03-19 09:54:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	174	96¢	$167	0xbf9eab…
03-19 07:52:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	174	96¢	$167	0x7347d0…
03-18 22:25:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	174	95¢	$166	0x015b8a…
03-18 14:32:09	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	177	97¢	$171	0x18634f…
03-18 10:14:41	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	177	98¢	$173	0xa98580…