(anonymous) 0x2a712d…4f7d55 Create alert
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Realized P&L (24h)
-$117
Unrealized P&L
+$1.17K
Hit rate
45.4%
Resolved (24h)
7
Trades (24h)
57
538 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$4.80K
$53.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$99
Open exposure
$10.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-25
last 11-12 16:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
55% 71% +$283
Other
40% 68% +$351
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
2% 100% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,509 $1,283 92¢ $1.4K +$113 11-06 17:13
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +1,004 $951 95¢ $950 -$1 11-05 12:22
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +600 $519 93¢ $560 +$42 11-12 15:39
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +600 $534 92¢ $549 +$16 11-04 16:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +600 $504 88¢ $531 +$27 11-09 13:41
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +600 $520 83¢ $498 -$22 11-12 11:24
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +597 $497 82¢ $493 -$4 11-12 16:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +500 $446 98¢ $490 +$43 11-10 10:30
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +500 $486 95¢ $476 -$10 10-25 08:08
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +442 $374 90¢ $396 +$22 11-05 18:05
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? Yes +407 $375 95¢ $385 +$11 11-12 06:43
Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026? Yes +404 $176 93¢ $375 +$199 11-11 19:27
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? No +400 $268 90¢ $360 +$92 11-11 13:09
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +350 $264 86¢ $301 +$38 11-05 13:22
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +300 $288 99¢ $296 +$8 11-04 17:03
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +301 $280 94¢ $283 +$3 11-05 12:25
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +300 $276 92¢ $278 +$2 11-05 02:17
Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by December 31, 2026? No +300 $236 89¢ $267 +$31 11-12 14:58
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +305 $1 82¢ $252 +$250 11-10 08:54
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +300 $213 75¢ $225 +$12 11-09 07:32
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +200 $187 95¢ $190 +$4 11-11 10:40
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +200 $178 92¢ $184 +$6 11-04 17:03
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +200 $174 90¢ $179 +$5 11-07 22:59
Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond? No +200 $160 86¢ $172 +$12 11-12 16:09
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +181 $171 95¢ $171 -$1 11-05 12:35
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? No +201 $167 84¢ $170 +$3 11-12 08:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +200 $116 78¢ $156 +$40 11-08 10:56
Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026? Yes +318 $85 39¢ $124 +$39 11-12 11:08
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +124 -$48 99¢ $123 +$171 11-09 15:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? Yes +200 $84 51¢ $102 +$18 11-07 15:20