Realized P&L (7d)
-$24
Unrealized P&L
-$30
Hit rate
28.3%
Resolved (7d)
12
Trades (7d)
0
1,822 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$5.18K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$121
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 10-19 23:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Other
53% 37% +$42
Politics
32% 43% -$22
Tech
9% 44% +$5
Crypto
3% 100% +$7
Pop-Culture
2% 0% -$12
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +14 $11 90¢ $13 +$2 05-27 23:12
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 Yes +15 $31 82¢ $12 -$19 07-17 00:29
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +38 $11 26¢ $10 -$1 09-18 01:30
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +24 $3 28¢ $7 +$3 10-15 12:16
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$0 09-13 12:52
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +8 $7 70¢ $6 -$1 09-28 07:36
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +12 $4 44¢ $5 +$1 09-19 00:07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +6 $4 86¢ $5 +$1 05-27 06:31
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +7 $5 66¢ $5 -$1 10-08 13:59
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +6 $5 72¢ $4 -$1 10-16 19:51
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6 $3 72¢ $4 +$1 09-15 18:15
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +6 $3 69¢ $4 +$1 10-14 12:40
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +18 $5 22¢ $4 -$1 09-20 15:33
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 10-15 16:53
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +14 $2 27¢ $4 +$2 09-28 06:55
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $9 15¢ $3 -$6 10-07 12:58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +6 $4 56¢ $3 -$1 09-17 22:29
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? Yes +16 $3 20¢ $3 $0 10-16 16:27
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +9 $3 35¢ $3 $0 10-08 11:26
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $4 64¢ $3 -$1 10-18 00:09
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +24 $3 11¢ $3 -$1 10-19 00:32
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +14 $3 12¢ $2 -$1 10-14 06:39
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +2 $1 97¢ $1 +$1 07-30 16:01
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 10-03 05:01
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +18 $4 6¢ $1 -$3 09-05 21:17
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? Yes +24 $1 4¢ $1 $0 06-30 12:29
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +18 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 09-16 22:18
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +24 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 06-25 14:00
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +14 $0 5¢ $1 +$0 10-14 14:32
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +1 $1 56¢ $1 $0 07-02 18:17