Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$318

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

90.8%

Resolved

118

Trades

259

lifetime

Volume

$44.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$173

Open exposure

$208

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-22 08:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

46% 93% -$309

Politics

23% 89% -$12

Crypto

18% 71% +$2

Tech

13% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+206	$190	95¢	$195	+$6	06-09 19:03
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	+206	$16	5¢	$11	-$6	06-10 10:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+12	$6	16¢	$2	-$4	05-21 05:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	4	$3.5K	1,728	1,726	+2	Yes	+$0	03-06 02:55
trump out as president by march 31	11	$2.5K	1,267	1,267	+0	No	+$4	03-02 16:51
will hillary say bill clinton during her epstein testimony	4	$2.2K	1,116	1,116	+0	No	+$9	03-05 14:21
Block Street FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$1.8K	918	918	+0	Yes	+$1	03-06 09:56
will iran strike israel on march 4	3	$1.8K	918	910	+8	Yes	+$0	03-08 02:03
will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 5	2	$1.8K	918	910	+8	No	+$0	03-07 02:23
will hillary say president 5 times during her epstein testimony	6	$1.8K	898	898	+0	No	+$3	03-05 13:59
will japans january 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt7	4	$1.6K	783	783	+0	Yes	+$2	03-04 01:24
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$1.4K	706	706	+0	No	+$0	01-13 06:46
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	4	$1.4K	702	702	+0	No	+$0	01-10 13:13
will hillary say daughter during her epstein testimony	2	$1.2K	615	615	+0	No	+$1	03-05 14:22
idOS FDV above $80M one day after launch?	2	$1.2K	602	602	+0	No	+$0	03-07 05:02
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	15	$1.0K	541	541	+0	Yes	+$3	04-23 14:39
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	3	$988	640	350	+290	No	+$1	01-03 15:58
will gas hit high 3pt35 by march 31	1	$908	909	0	+909	Yes	+$1	03-07 11:58
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$898	452	452	+0	No	+$4	06-29 13:19
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$893	450	450	+0	No	+$0	02-14 23:38
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$717	718	0	+718	Yes	+$1	03-07 05:04
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$704	357	357	+0	Yes	+$0	01-23 17:06
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	2	$700	351	351	+0	No	+$0	01-07 12:39
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	3	$700	351	351	+0	No	+$0	01-09 09:05
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	2	$696	351	351	+0	No	+$0	01-12 08:17
will edgex launch a token in 2025	2	$694	348	348	+0	Yes	+$1	01-02 05:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	17	$676	345	345	+0	No	+$2	04-13 22:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	6	$656	332	332	+0	No	+$2	05-17 12:17
Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$562	288	275	+13	Yes	+$0	02-28 10:44
will the us next strike iran on february 14 2026 et	1	$428	428	0	+428	No	+$0	02-16 16:48
will the dhs shutdown end between february 20 23 2026	1	$426	426	0	+426	No	+$0	02-23 02:19
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	2	$407	206	206	+0	No	+$3	06-21 02:43
will the 2026 state of the union address be less than 60 minutes long	1	$406	407	0	+407	No	+$0	02-25 03:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 08:27:03	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xee1817…
07-22 06:28:43	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe5221e…
07-18 04:38:43	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	233	1¢	$3	0x9fd7a0…
07-14 13:14:32	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	233	98¢	$228	0x411a57…
06-29 13:25:31	will wti reach 105 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x789d67…
06-29 13:19:53	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0x05bcc7…
06-27 14:52:59	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	230	99¢	$228	0xc91f9a…
06-27 04:29:26	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$221	0xf8eea8…
06-23 12:40:22	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	222	99¢	$219	0x98315a…
06-21 02:43:56	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$205	0xfdefe4…
06-11 15:53:42	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	206	98¢	$202	0x518175…
06-10 10:43:06	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	206	8¢	$16	0xd5dbda…
06-09 19:03:18	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	206	92¢	$190	0xbb35fe…
06-03 21:24:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x17cffd…
06-03 05:08:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x81c112…
06-03 05:07:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	205	1¢	$3	0xb0400a…
06-01 13:22:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	205	98¢	$202	0x1622fe…
05-29 09:05:26	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	203	0¢	$1	0x3ed196…
05-26 02:00:09	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$199	0x448582…
05-22 11:41:42	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	No	SELL	201	100¢	$200	0xeec68c…
05-21 11:56:44	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	No	BUY	192	98¢	$189	0xfcaed7…
05-21 05:03:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x247ec1…
05-20 02:52:56	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0xef7888…
05-20 02:51:56	Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x6af249…
05-20 02:22:13	Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$21	0xa2d95d…
05-20 02:21:57	Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	170	11¢	$18	0x5b2ab7…
05-20 02:21:56	Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xb6d804…
05-19 14:30:03	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x9a8cee…
05-19 14:29:13	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	90	28¢	$25	0x0e4b13…
05-19 14:15:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xb61c22…
05-17 12:17:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc2ba05…
05-17 12:05:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x0be13b…
05-17 12:02:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x9bb6eb…
05-17 03:17:00	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x58f277…
05-17 03:15:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xe37dce…
05-15 02:46:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$151	0x4c8363…
05-14 04:50:12	Will Trump Leave China after May 18?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0x7997e3…
05-14 04:02:41	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	SELL	180	99¢	$178	0x49d1bc…
05-13 05:11:34	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	180	98¢	$177	0x672b44…
05-10 05:31:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	178	98¢	$174	0x0ddb24…
05-09 02:32:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	178	97¢	$173	0x898133…
05-08 14:46:39	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x050c2a…
05-06 13:10:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	180	99¢	$178	0x6cb3b4…
05-04 10:31:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	180	98¢	$176	0xe1d35e…
05-02 07:03:28	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	165	99¢	$164	0x6608a0…
04-30 15:38:44	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	165	98¢	$162	0x464ca8…
04-25 12:52:36	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x655958…
04-23 14:39:36	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	38	94¢	$36	0x9615d2…
04-23 14:29:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0x44d88b…
04-23 14:26:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0x07e8d5…
04-23 14:25:04	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x2f5274…
04-23 14:25:04	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x02e806…
04-23 14:19:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xabaa89…
04-23 13:49:54	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0x47bad9…
04-23 13:38:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	37	94¢	$35	0xcfd407…
04-23 13:37:50	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x29fd6a…
04-21 07:42:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	179	94¢	$168	0x469df4…
04-20 17:49:18	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	182	94¢	$172	0xb967be…
04-19 13:13:42	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	182	94¢	$171	0x9fc397…
04-17 04:07:42	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0x780b0a…
04-17 03:54:14	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x16db51…
04-15 21:53:22	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0x3b7475…
04-15 03:51:34	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x2cae42…
04-13 22:36:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	175	99¢	$173	0x00b1a8…
04-12 15:41:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	175	98¢	$172	0xfd9ba2…
04-11 03:40:25	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	175	94¢	$165	0x2ab7c5…
04-11 03:22:49	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x5c9dcd…
04-10 17:05:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	180	94¢	$168	0xb73b9a…
04-09 05:46:37	will jd vance say biden 5 times during meetings with orbn	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd5b837…
04-09 05:45:49	will jd vance say rigged during meetings with orbn	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0x1c3ac6…
04-08 13:45:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x541ad8…
04-07 23:38:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	170	98¢	$167	0xbddaba…
04-07 12:41:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4a46be…
04-05 04:13:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xfc813c…
04-05 04:13:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xdf8c4c…
04-05 04:13:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x308e97…
04-05 04:13:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x34a94f…
04-05 04:12:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x717f14…
04-05 04:12:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x4e2eb0…
04-05 04:10:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xe284f4…
04-05 04:10:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x6575c3…
04-05 04:08:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9950f0…
04-05 04:07:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa664d0…
04-05 04:07:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3aa225…
04-05 04:07:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xd1282e…
04-05 04:07:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1be0ef…
04-05 04:06:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x5ef9bf…
03-29 15:08:22	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xbff13d…
03-29 14:09:48	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x217a63…
03-27 13:23:19	Will EdgeX launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb9387e…
03-27 13:22:39	will russia join the board of peace	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf84bff…
03-27 13:21:45	will bnb dip to 400 in march	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf65ea0…
03-27 13:21:19	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xbf477b…
03-27 13:20:51	will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1b394b…
03-27 13:20:13	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfc6a52…
03-27 13:19:43	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf2bba7…
03-27 13:19:01	will gas hit low 3pt00 by march 31	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe7df82…
03-27 13:18:39	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb56f1c…
03-27 13:18:15	maduro exiled to russia by march 31	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x48878d…
03-27 13:17:55	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt0 by march 31	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe24481…