Stupendous-Kick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$211

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-13 21:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 100% +$0

Other

29% 100% +$0

Politics

14% 100% +$0

Sports

7% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+220	$183	88¢	$192	+$10	06-13 11:44
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	-90	$-15	12¢	$-11	+$4	06-02 09:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+49	$8	12¢	$6	$-2	06-13 21:54
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	-1	$-1	94¢	$-1	+$0	06-02 09:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$190	269	0	+269	open	—	06-13 21:54
bitcoin above 68k on march 18	1	$159	159	0	+159	open	—	03-17 18:33
bitcoin above 66k on march 22	1	$150	151	0	+151	open	—	03-21 18:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$145	145	0	+145	open	—	05-15 09:50
bitcoin above 70k on april 4	1	$143	143	0	+143	open	—	04-04 08:44
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	04-20 19:22
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	04-18 19:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	1	$120	120	0	+120	Yes	+$0	05-07 20:58
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	03-27 08:56
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	03-20 09:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	1	$85	85	0	+85	No	+$0	05-07 20:58
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 29c	1	$80	80	0	+80	open	—	04-18 19:45
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 190 214	1	$65	65	0	+65	open	—	04-20 18:49
bitcoin above 68k on april 12	1	$58	58	0	+58	open	—	04-12 11:16
cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	1	$55	56	0	+56	open	—	03-20 09:21
ethereum above 1800 on march 27	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	03-27 08:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	04-27 10:30
btc updown 5m 1773997800	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	03-20 09:14
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 0 39	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	03-21 18:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-27 10:27
dota2 tundra ty 2026 03 29	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-29 20:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-04 08:38
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	03-29 20:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-30 20:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-27 10:25
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-12 11:16
btc updown 5m 1774602300	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-27 09:10
nba nyk bkn 2026 03 20	1	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	03-20 09:20
highest temperature in chicago on april 13 2026 55forbelow	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-12 11:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-27 10:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 21:54:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	49	16¢	$8	0xfacf6d…
06-13 11:44:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0x4017e8…
06-13 11:37:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	118	83¢	$98	0xf7cf97…
06-13 10:54:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x858106…
06-13 10:37:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	44	83¢	$36	0x99fa0a…
06-02 09:07:20	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x598927…
06-02 09:06:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x359bc4…
06-02 09:06:17	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	90	17¢	$15	0x387d49…
06-02 09:06:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	120	15¢	$18	0xa873b6…
05-29 21:55:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	120	14¢	$17	0xef9d70…
05-15 09:51:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x594158…
05-15 09:50:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x283698…
05-07 20:59:13	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47b013…
05-07 20:58:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xd2971a…
05-07 20:58:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x8658b4…
05-07 20:44:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xecf993…
04-30 21:02:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x473a4e…
04-30 20:44:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x5f7fc7…
04-30 20:42:46	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed871e…
04-27 10:30:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x495ad2…
04-27 10:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4a5a97…
04-27 10:27:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf7cc12…
04-27 10:26:46	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3d8517…
04-27 10:25:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x68d401…
04-27 10:25:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xaa3452…
04-27 10:23:36	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x35e812…
04-27 10:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xcc182b…
04-20 19:22:14	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x52c280…
04-20 18:50:30	Madrid Open, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Francesco Maestrelli	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x06cc2c…
04-20 18:49:38	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 190 214	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xf7b033…
04-18 19:53:56	cs2 furia vit 2026 04 18	Vitality	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6987e2…
04-18 19:46:46	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x67bc3f…
04-18 19:45:58	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 29c	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xa820d1…
04-18 19:44:04	spx up or down on april 20 2026	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7c7874…
04-18 19:42:22	Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xe6aa1e…
04-18 19:41:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbb6b5e…
04-12 13:38:57	highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 13corbelow	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf9ae81…
04-12 11:16:55	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x4f8ccc…
04-12 11:16:45	bitcoin above 68k on april 12	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xd20c66…
04-12 11:15:35	dota2 l1ga re 2026 04 12	L1ga Team	BUY	4	71¢	$2	0x82b958…
04-12 11:15:11	lol omg lgd 2026 04 12	LGD Gaming	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x252b7b…
04-12 11:14:45	lol bro2 kt 2026 04 12	KT Rolster	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9542e…
04-12 11:13:45	sea gen sas 2026 04 12 gen	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb06b04…
04-12 11:13:05	atp cerund jong 2026 04 12	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe5f75c…
04-12 11:12:29	highest temperature in chicago on april 13 2026 55forbelow	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x1dd67a…
04-04 08:44:41	bitcoin above 70k on april 4	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x2330d0…
04-04 08:41:45	ethereum up or down april 4 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x023e8d…
04-04 08:39:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x820fa2…
04-04 08:38:57	lol tes ig1 2026 04 04	Invictus Gaming	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9b2703…
04-04 08:38:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x20a4cd…
04-04 08:37:11	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 540 559	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd1cd79…
04-04 08:36:33	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 480 499	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x991353…
04-04 08:34:39	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x183b3c…
03-29 20:18:54	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x697890…
03-29 20:17:42	dota2 tundra ty 2026 03 29	Tundra Esports	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x112c5a…
03-27 09:10:41	btc updown 5m 1774602300	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xb17e5b…
03-27 09:09:13	btc updown 5m 1774602300	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x46893f…
03-27 09:00:29	btc updown 5m 1774601700	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xaf4f38…
03-27 08:59:33	btc updown 5m 1774601700	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xeb2509…
03-27 08:57:43	ethereum above 1800 on march 27	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xa16635…
03-27 08:56:51	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2ab512…
03-27 08:55:33	will alabama win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb0ac16…
03-23 21:34:07	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfa5b55…
03-21 18:26:59	bitcoin above 66k on march 22	Yes	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0xe63729…
03-21 18:23:59	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 0 39	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x5dc322…
03-20 09:21:51	cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xf3a8bf…
03-20 09:20:57	nba nyk bkn 2026 03 20	Knicks	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xaec3ed…
03-20 09:16:57	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xd968cb…
03-20 09:14:33	btc updown 5m 1773997800	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x7672dc…
03-17 18:41:13	nba det was 2026 03 17	Pistons	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf7772a…
03-17 18:33:57	bitcoin above 68k on march 18	Yes	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x4320eb…