(anonymous) 0x2bf30e…2eae28
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
732
lifetime
Volume
$2.69K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$415
17 positions
First seen
2026-06-16
last 07-10 18:55
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
60% — —
Politics
40% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +85 $80 94¢ $80 $-0 07-07 05:32
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +73 $67 94¢ $68 +$1 07-05 01:32
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +52 $50 94¢ $49 $-1 07-10 19:53
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +45 $42 94¢ $42 +$0 07-10 09:44
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +34 $30 88¢ $30 $-1 07-10 19:55
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +28 $27 97¢ $27 +$1 07-04 20:14
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +24 $21 91¢ $22 +$1 07-02 17:43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +23 $21 90¢ $21 +$0 07-05 19:02
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +16 $13 90¢ $15 +$2 06-18 18:47
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +13 $13 97¢ $13 +$0 07-09 08:52
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +11 $11 95¢ $10 $-0 07-03 05:36
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +10 $10 94¢ $10 $-0 07-10 03:47
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 06-17 18:42
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +9 $8 88¢ $8 +$0 06-18 19:14
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 07-03 13:04
OPEC dissolves in 2026? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 $-0 06-23 09:16
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 $-0 07-09 21:10