Flawed-Enemy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$464

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.8%

Resolved

Trades

232

lifetime

Volume

$1.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-27 01:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

69% 8% -$259

Crypto

20% 31% -$160

Other

10% 15% -$43

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	18	$342	125,117	112,117	+13,000	No	-$70	04-28 22:15
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	12	$248	10,445	10,445	+0	No	-$70	04-15 17:15
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	8	$109	1,927	1,927	+0	No	-$4	04-18 19:02
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	5	$99	4,083	4,083	+0	No	-$16	04-14 21:03
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	2	$87	4,632	4,632	+0	No	-$27	04-14 16:19
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	3	$66	66,060	0	+66,060	Yes	-$66	04-19 00:29
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$62	1,399	1,399	+0	No	-$6	04-15 12:12
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	5	$44	256	256	+0	No	+$20	05-04 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	4	$39	40	39	+1	Down	-$3	04-25 04:24
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	7	$32	196	0	+196	Down	-$32	04-28 22:13
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	4	$30	164	164	+0	No	+$2	04-18 19:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	4	$29	259	1,528	-1,269	No	+$20	04-26 14:44
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	2	$28	109	109	+0	No	-$15	06-27 00:46
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$27	272	0	+272	Down	-$27	04-26 13:58
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	6	$20	130	0	+130	Up	-$20	04-27 03:43
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	6	$19	34	12	+21	Up	+$1	04-28 22:22
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	2	$19	48	48	+0	No	-$1	04-14 18:38
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	1	$19	18,810	0	+18,810	Yes	-$19	04-15 17:22
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	2	$19	125	125	+0	No	-$1	04-14 23:34
Will 6–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	4	$18	90	90	+0	No	-$1	04-18 19:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$18	111	111	+0	No	-$2	05-05 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$17	44	0	+44	Down	-$17	04-25 04:25
Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	2	$17	62	62	+0	Yes	-$9	04-18 19:28
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$17	25	25	+0	Yes	$0	04-25 04:14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$16	225	225	+0	No	$0	04-18 13:56
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	5	$16	57	0	+57	Down	+$5	04-27 03:34
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$15	112	0	+112	Up	-$15	05-05 23:13
atp sharipo uchiyam 2026 04 13	2	$15	44	43	+1	Marat Sharipov	+$1	04-14 06:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 05:45 UTC	2	$14	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	04-14 05:50
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?	2	$13	347	347	+0	No	-$3	04-18 18:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 01:44:20	Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 3 Spain?	Yes	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0x82a0d6…
06-27 00:58:44	Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0x3d9287…
06-27 00:57:52	Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	164	2¢	$3	0x3b0c64…
06-27 00:46:43	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	109	6¢	$7	0xc3f50b…
06-27 00:37:35	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	109	20¢	$22	0x580299…
06-27 00:34:26	Uruguay to score first vs. Spain?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x15528a…
05-05 23:13:18	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	11¢	$4	0xa1e4bc…
05-05 23:12:50	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0x82ddba…
05-05 23:12:36	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0xaaa54d…
05-05 23:12:02	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	16¢	$6	0x8471a6…
05-05 23:08:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x9042ba…
05-05 23:05:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x2b45e6…
05-05 23:04:38	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x0476b8…
05-05 23:03:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd198b8…
05-05 23:02:44	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x592acb…
05-05 22:56:26	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	429	0¢	$2	0xfd5398…
05-05 22:56:24	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x9ea8da…
05-05 22:56:20	Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	350	0¢	$1	0x369965…
05-05 22:56:16	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	207	1¢	$1	0xbad7b5…
05-05 22:50:32	Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	293	0¢	$1	0x7fcca6…
05-05 22:50:26	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0x4159b5…
05-05 15:25:42	Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	293	1¢	$2	0x0dc53e…
05-05 15:25:24	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	207	1¢	$1	0xc4e2bf…
05-05 15:25:00	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0xfda698…
05-05 15:24:30	Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	0¢	$1	0x917b41…
05-05 15:24:08	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$3	0x50583e…
05-05 15:24:00	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xf5d1e7…
05-05 15:11:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	111	7¢	$8	0xffc6a1…
05-05 03:19:14	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	182	1¢	$2	0x5d52eb…
05-05 03:19:10	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	59	3¢	$2	0x709890…
05-05 03:19:06	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	320	1¢	$2	0x32d498…
05-05 01:59:16	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	320	1¢	$3	0xede7d3…
05-05 01:58:04	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0xeda0f6…
05-05 01:57:50	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0xf3c72f…
05-05 01:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x6ff9cc…
05-05 01:41:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	231	1¢	$3	0xa24adb…
05-05 01:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	57	11¢	$6	0x006485…
05-04 23:11:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x902f06…
05-04 22:58:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	231	4¢	$9	0x7a9499…
05-04 22:50:48	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x2c35b2…
05-04 22:50:34	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa8484f…
05-04 22:49:30	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x245336…
05-04 22:49:18	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	14¢	$6	0xb98ceb…
05-04 22:30:24	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0x0e75d5…
05-04 21:54:54	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	202	12¢	$25	0xeeec6a…
05-04 21:51:52	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0xcc4ad1…
05-04 21:51:04	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	350	0¢	$0	0x8f019d…
05-04 21:50:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	55	3¢	$2	0xf47f26…
05-04 21:50:40	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	6¢	$2	0x7b6d82…
05-04 21:50:28	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?	Yes	SELL	35	6¢	$2	0xb72841…
05-04 21:49:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x6b6039…
05-04 16:50:46	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	202	1¢	$2	0xd8fcbc…
05-04 16:50:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x1c20ba…
05-04 16:47:42	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	0¢	$1	0x2d31d6…
05-04 16:47:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x886432…
05-04 16:47:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0x9a2aa2…
05-04 16:43:56	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x14f7e8…
05-04 16:43:20	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0xf5b4cd…
05-04 16:40:18	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$2	0x66d59e…
05-04 16:40:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	49	3¢	$2	0x71f892…
05-04 16:37:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	128	3¢	$4	0x0aa511…
05-04 16:37:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	59	7¢	$4	0x1d44e4…
05-04 16:36:52	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	9¢	$3	0x442672…
05-04 16:36:26	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	10¢	$4	0x5dbc14…
04-28 22:27:04	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0x3605e7…
04-28 22:22:42	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xbc2bed…
04-28 22:22:26	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0xd703ea…
04-28 22:21:04	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x822fe2…
04-28 22:20:54	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x931b03…
04-28 22:20:18	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x04af89…
04-28 22:20:12	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6cb02e…
04-28 22:17:08	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc65230…
04-28 22:15:20	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	3,986	0¢	$8	0xecfa08…
04-28 22:13:46	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	65	9¢	$6	0x464705…
04-28 22:13:28	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0x9efad0…
04-28 22:12:56	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xcfbbbb…
04-28 22:11:02	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x957ae5…
04-28 22:10:50	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xa409ba…
04-28 22:10:44	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x27d01d…
04-28 22:10:28	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0x18ac09…
04-28 22:09:40	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,750	0¢	$5	0x54ed46…
04-28 22:07:48	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20,121	0¢	$40	0xed3fd6…
04-28 18:54:18	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	22,357	0¢	$67	0xc089ce…
04-28 18:49:34	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xa74b6b…
04-27 03:43:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	62	7¢	$4	0x4e687a…
04-27 03:43:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xec9d56…
04-27 03:42:34	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x21ab86…
04-27 03:42:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x3bab4d…
04-27 03:41:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xe7d68e…
04-27 03:41:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xa1fa29…
04-27 03:37:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x728218…
04-27 03:36:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xfa5c87…
04-27 03:34:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0c2d7f…
04-27 03:33:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x759a97…
04-27 03:32:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x1c1c57…
04-27 03:32:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x2e068a…
04-27 03:31:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0xcc8f4a…
04-27 03:29:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6100ca…
04-27 03:28:46	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x7ab9bb…
04-27 03:23:24	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x17956c…