Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$88

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

77.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

157 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$981

$2.44K lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 11-10 14:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

70% 46% +$154

Politics

20% 25% -$210

Crypto

5% 0% -$56

Sports

3% 33% -$53

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No		+689	$30	2¢	$14	-$16	11-10 14:42
Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?	No		+91	$10	6¢	$6	-$4	11-10 14:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	7	$343	634	634	+0	open	—	09-01 04:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	4	$277	361	361	+0	No	+$97	08-24 09:30
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	3	$229	172	172	+0	No	+$83	08-10 07:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$97	131	131	+0	open	—	10-28 05:42
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	2	$96	66	66	+0	No	+$7	08-14 17:42
Will Hillary Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?	9	$90	1,338	0	+1,338	Yes	-$90	02-26 18:18
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	2	$71	283	283	+0	open	—	09-29 05:36
world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	5	$65	1,098	549	+549	Yes	-$51	07-06 19:14
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	2	$58	72	72	+0	No	+$23	08-15 20:13
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	2	$55	35	35	+0	No	+$15	07-01 18:01
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	4	$52	104	104	+0	Yes	+$2	02-24 06:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	2	$51	96	96	+0	open	—	11-02 03:59
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	5	$50	1,631	0	+1,631	No	-$50	03-01 13:50
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-08-14?	3	$41	90	32	+57	No	+$23	08-14 18:33
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	2	$39	93	0	+93	No	+$16	07-01 20:27
will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	3	$35	175	175	-0	Yes	+$0	08-20 19:50
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	2	$33	207	207	+0	open	—	09-29 05:37
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$32	309	0	+309	Yes	-$32	08-15 20:13
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	2	$30	689	0	+689	open	—	11-10 14:42
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	2	$28	135	135	+0	Yes	-$1	08-09 14:07
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	2	$28	166	166	+0	Yes	-$2	08-09 14:07
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	4	$28	250	250	+0	No	-$2	03-01 13:46
will ethereum reach 3000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	2	$28	125	125	+0	open	—	07-06 13:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$25	455	0	+455	No	-$25	10-28 06:18
Will Khamenei visit Russia by June 30?	3	$24	147	147	+0	No	-$4	02-25 14:43
will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711 376	1	$24	400	0	+400	Yes	-$24	08-19 18:23
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-15?	2	$21	45	0	+45	No	+$24	08-15 20:25
israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by march 31 2026 824	2	$20	98	0	+98	No	-$20	03-01 10:16
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	1	$20	33	0	+33	No	+$13	08-05 20:39
Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?	3	$20	232	0	+232	Yes	-$20	02-26 11:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 14:42:04	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	234	4¢	$10	0x997452…
11-10 14:30:21	Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?	No	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x4bb789…
11-10 14:06:01	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	455	4¢	$20	0x7d9385…
11-03 10:45:57	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe4f5b9…
11-03 10:10:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x63d5ef…
11-02 03:59:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	96	27¢	$26	0x73ef5f…
10-30 12:42:57	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	36	29¢	$10	0x975075…
10-30 06:52:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x10420a…
10-28 06:18:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x96144c…
10-28 05:42:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	131	50¢	$66	0xe4d196…
10-27 20:18:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	38	28¢	$11	0x6877ed…
10-27 15:49:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	56	19¢	$11	0xc41637…
10-27 10:56:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x1a5584…
10-27 06:22:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x22d6c6…
10-27 06:19:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0xa20950…
09-29 05:37:03	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	207	7¢	$15	0x0eb878…
09-29 05:36:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	268	4¢	$9	0xe28605…
09-29 05:36:15	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	283	12¢	$34	0x9e97d5…
09-01 04:04:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	38¢	$188	0x45a069…
08-24 09:30:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	47¢	$71	0xb35140…
08-21 15:04:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	No	SELL	150	58¢	$87	0xf010cf…
08-20 19:50:31	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	No	SELL	175	10¢	$18	0x64c95c…
08-19 18:27:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	63	17¢	$11	0x56ab6c…
08-19 18:25:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	No	SELL	73	30¢	$22	0x477586…
08-19 18:25:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	No	SELL	61	48¢	$29	0x0514eb…
08-19 18:23:54	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	No	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0xd101f3…
08-19 18:23:33	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711 376	No	BUY	400	6¢	$24	0x62c5ee…
08-19 18:22:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	No	SELL	61	30¢	$18	0x26e357…
08-19 18:22:28	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	9¢	$9	0xa6dc2b…
08-19 18:21:43	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	No	BUY	152	10¢	$15	0x7850ad…
08-19 18:17:03	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xcf1a0b…
08-17 08:18:43	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	6¢	$9	0xce4670…
08-16 19:21:51	mlb cws det 2026 08 16	Chicago White Sox	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe38eb1…
08-16 19:21:18	bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xaec42d…
08-16 16:12:52	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	283	13¢	$37	0x13f413…
08-15 20:53:01	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	207	9¢	$19	0xc582ee…
08-15 20:52:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	268	4¢	$10	0x38d909…
08-15 20:25:13	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-15?	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x1c0dc7…
08-15 20:15:06	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-15?	No	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x0476ba…
08-15 20:13:57	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	190	13¢	$25	0x59841c…
08-15 20:13:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	72	56¢	$40	0x119204…
08-15 20:12:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x3128de…
08-15 14:47:25	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x69be32…
08-15 14:46:51	Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-08-15?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6eaeb1…
08-14 22:09:27	Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-08-15?	Yes	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x1c9332…
08-14 22:09:13	Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-08-15?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x13fbfa…
08-14 22:06:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	154	22¢	$34	0xeee5e3…
08-14 19:24:21	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	9¢	$9	0x930324…
08-14 18:34:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	139	22¢	$30	0x657d3d…
08-14 18:33:31	Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-08-14?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x592fc6…
08-14 18:26:04	Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-08-14?	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0xcab7c1…
08-14 17:43:31	Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-08-14?	No	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0xe212c0…
08-14 17:42:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	66	78¢	$52	0xd11af8…
08-14 12:37:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x1c469d…
08-10 18:37:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	213	21¢	$44	0xeae3d7…
08-10 18:36:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	66	68¢	$45	0x1432fe…
08-10 07:52:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	BUY	361	25¢	$90	0xae4909…
08-10 07:51:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	172	91¢	$156	0xc1816f…
08-10 07:51:15	lol hle1 gen 2026 08 10	Gen.G	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x255de6…
08-09 14:10:15	Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-08-09?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0fbd3b…
08-09 14:07:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	166	8¢	$13	0x8e5363…
08-09 14:07:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	135	10¢	$13	0xc291d8…
08-09 14:06:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	135	11¢	$15	0x56d7ed…
08-09 12:09:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	166	9¢	$15	0x93416b…
08-09 12:08:55	Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-08-09?	No	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xd6f4e8…
08-09 07:42:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	BUY	72	24¢	$17	0xbd3e8a…
08-06 21:38:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	113	47¢	$53	0x5bbe34…
08-05 21:06:26	atp zverev grieksp 2026 08 06	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x8b379f…
08-05 21:04:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	471	2¢	$8	0xb317b2…
08-05 20:39:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x9c16f0…
08-05 20:39:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x218d18…
08-05 20:38:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	No	BUY	128	5¢	$6	0x514719…
07-06 19:15:04	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	6¢	$7	0x6dd583…
07-06 19:14:01	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	SELL	549	1¢	$7	0xc43068…
07-06 17:31:56	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	207	3¢	$6	0x73d170…
07-06 17:25:43	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	204	2¢	$5	0xa8a0a8…
07-06 15:27:23	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	452	7¢	$30	0x6743fc…
07-06 13:22:07	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	235	7¢	$17	0x450634…
07-06 13:21:52	ethereum above 1600 on july 10 2026	No	SELL	82	8¢	$7	0xcbdd42…
07-06 13:13:10	will ethereum reach 3000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	125	10¢	$12	0x739649…
07-03 21:49:46	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	656	1¢	$7	0xfc4ce1…
07-03 21:44:35	will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 3	Yes	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0x8a98f5…
07-03 21:44:22	will ethereum reach 1800 on july 3	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0xb81aa4…
07-03 21:43:04	will ethereum reach 3000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0xaabf14…
07-03 21:32:08	ethereum above 1600 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	82	10¢	$8	0xc8084f…
07-03 21:30:20	will ethereum reach 1800 in july 2026	No	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x104953…
07-03 20:44:35	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 3	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0xde21ed…
07-03 20:37:41	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	292	2¢	$5	0x843324…
07-03 20:37:26	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	323	3¢	$10	0x901eee…
07-03 04:07:43	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	No	BUY	76	10¢	$8	0x64a054…
07-02 19:58:20	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x40a978…
07-01 20:27:20	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	55	53¢	$29	0xe0adf5…
07-01 20:16:59	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xbdef01…
07-01 18:01:13	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x443535…
07-01 17:36:02	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xa5e04c…
03-01 13:50:17	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	667	3¢	$18	0xd386bc…
03-01 13:49:41	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$9	0x6a1f5b…
03-01 13:46:41	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	SELL	125	5¢	$6	0x939e69…
03-01 13:45:03	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	SELL	125	5¢	$6	0x72a8f2…
03-01 13:44:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x3dd22d…