Decisive-Lid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.49K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved

176

Trades

549

lifetime

Volume

$88.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$161

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 06-21 20:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

55% 37% -$1,846

Politics

41% 31% -$124

Sports

4% 50% +$485

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	36	$10.3K	9,405	9,405	+0	Yes	-$541	04-27 19:06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	8	$3.0K	1,798	1,798	+0	Yes	+$568	04-13 15:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	10	$2.8K	3,227	1,927	+1,300	No	-$100	04-21 17:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	6	$2.4K	1,374	1,374	+0	No	+$362	04-25 17:57
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	3	$2.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	-$41	04-16 17:35
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-04-27?	4	$1.8K	1,057	1,054	+3	Yes	-$75	04-27 18:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	6	$1.8K	2,889	2,889	-0	open	—	05-10 13:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$1.6K	1,193	1,193	+0	No	-$24	04-27 20:18
Konyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5	5	$1.5K	901	895	+6	Under	+$159	04-27 19:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$1.5K	1,424	1,424	+0	No	+$72	04-15 21:14
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	2	$1.5K	1,874	0	+1,874	No	+$404	04-20 13:57
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	12	$1.3K	895	895	+0	Yes	+$245	04-28 20:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	4	$1.3K	911	911	+0	No	+$204	04-25 18:30
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	5	$1.2K	792	792	+0	Yes	-$56	04-16 14:59
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	3	$1.2K	847	847	+0	Yes	+$521	06-20 22:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$1.2K	1,074	1,074	+0	No	+$573	05-22 21:45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	4	$1.1K	1,370	667	+703	Yes	+$327	05-03 19:28
Will Zamalek SC win on 2026-05-05?	3	$1.0K	645	645	+0	Yes	+$275	05-05 19:09
Will Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?	3	$979	785	768	+17	Yes	+$572	04-24 21:01
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	4	$962	761	761	+0	No	+$152	05-04 10:20
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	14	$919	2,539	2,539	+0	No	-$95	04-15 22:30
nba cle lal 2026 03 31	3	$905	587	579	+8	Lakers	+$260	04-01 07:53
SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5	2	$896	605	605	+0	Under	+$182	04-30 20:31
scop dfc cel 2026 04 05 cel	2	$836	1,306	0	+1,306	Yes	+$470	04-05 15:27
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	5	$823	823	823	+0	Yes	+$155	04-29 20:55
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	24	$820	2,386	1,554	+832	No	-$202	04-21 17:59
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	3	$754	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	06-05 09:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	2	$721	554	554	+0	No	+$321	04-26 14:43
Will Qatar vs. El Salvador end in a draw?	4	$719	590	590	+0	Yes	+$249	06-06 22:00
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5	2	$697	548	548	+0	Under	-$103	04-30 19:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 20:59:17	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	573	8¢	$44	0xe4426b…
06-21 20:56:38	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	114	88¢	$100	0xca5757…
06-21 20:56:38	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x60f79b…
06-21 20:56:38	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	108	88¢	$95	0x13a71d…
06-21 20:56:37	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x9fc60b…
06-21 20:56:37	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	43	88¢	$38	0x0738ad…
06-21 20:49:58	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 team total away 0pt5	Under	SELL	225	85¢	$191	0x6cfead…
06-21 20:49:35	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 team total away 0pt5	Under	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x9d554e…
06-21 20:11:23	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	271	28¢	$76	0x11c1a2…
06-21 19:16:47	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	230	54¢	$124	0x26081b…
06-20 22:02:02	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	847	100¢	$847	0x0582d7…
06-20 21:58:08	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	413	4¢	$17	0x772276…
06-20 21:37:31	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	187	40¢	$75	0x7c6e21…
06-20 21:37:05	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	413	47¢	$194	0x6f1675…
06-20 21:36:29	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	305	41¢	$125	0x1b8ea8…
06-20 21:15:17	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	460	28¢	$129	0x6bf5ea…
06-20 20:33:22	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	661	38¢	$251	0x926a16…
06-20 20:33:04	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	296	30¢	$89	0xb4f090…
06-20 20:30:29	Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	208	25¢	$52	0xf5476e…
06-20 20:22:52	Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	208	50¢	$105	0xd9a4e4…
06-20 20:19:53	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	296	49¢	$145	0x532d7b…
06-09 20:37:42	es2 alm cas 2026 06 09 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	183	51¢	$93	0x129e7e…
06-09 20:37:15	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	171	38¢	$65	0x9f60e8…
06-09 20:36:54	Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	SELL	328	2¢	$7	0x4177d3…
06-09 20:22:15	Will UD Almería vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xdc1e45…
06-09 20:21:46	es2 alm cas 2026 06 09 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0xdfa2cb…
06-09 20:21:27	Will UD Almería vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	267	48¢	$128	0x457c96…
06-09 19:46:52	Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	BUY	328	62¢	$203	0x37d5b4…
06-09 19:45:54	UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	254	2¢	$5	0x9454ed…
06-09 18:29:22	UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	254	41¢	$104	0x535df7…
06-09 17:50:19	Will Chile win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	SELL	276	96¢	$265	0x941c1a…
06-09 17:50:19	Will Chile win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0x395ee4…
06-09 17:41:49	Will Chile win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x531016…
06-09 17:25:46	DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	134	48¢	$64	0x0e9cc5…
06-09 17:19:37	Will Chile win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	BUY	338	66¢	$223	0x6fe229…
06-08 21:22:22	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	315	47¢	$148	0xdf3cca…
06-08 21:20:31	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread away 3pt5	Spurs	BUY	372	40¢	$149	0x95d679…
06-08 20:49:43	Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1,592	1¢	$23	0xabeb3d…
06-08 20:49:18	Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	521	6¢	$30	0xbce3bd…
06-08 18:55:07	Will Wydad Athletic Club win on 2026-06-08?	Yes	SELL	98	45¢	$44	0xcd6cf6…
06-08 10:26:39	Will Wydad Athletic Club win on 2026-06-08?	Yes	BUY	392	65¢	$255	0x8b68ed…
06-07 20:58:10	Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?	Yes	SELL	212	99¢	$210	0xd216a6…
06-07 20:39:45	Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?	Yes	SELL	212	70¢	$148	0xa45652…
06-07 17:30:31	Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?	Yes	BUY	424	33¢	$140	0x1de53b…
06-07 17:22:46	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Alexander Zverev	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0xec7ddc…
06-07 17:22:46	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Alexander Zverev	SELL	135	90¢	$122	0x9c1cd2…
06-07 17:22:46	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Alexander Zverev	SELL	172	90¢	$155	0x5ea335…
06-07 15:21:03	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Alexander Zverev	BUY	322	77¢	$248	0xb5038b…
06-06 22:00:36	Will Qatar vs. El Salvador end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	295	99¢	$292	0x7d18b0…
06-06 21:43:25	Will Qatar vs. El Salvador end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	295	65¢	$192	0x643990…
06-06 20:44:16	Will Qatar vs. El Salvador end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	250	41¢	$102	0x1f0b15…
06-06 20:38:45	Will Qatar vs. El Salvador end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	340	39¢	$133	0x10a5e0…
06-06 03:21:40	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	334	52¢	$173	0x276c3e…
06-05 21:16:31	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	668	33¢	$220	0x94dcca…
06-05 21:15:40	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	513	44¢	$226	0x36f0d3…
06-05 09:18:54	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,150	21¢	$242	0xa4358c…
05-31 16:09:40	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	550	22¢	$121	0x4143af…
05-31 16:08:48	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,388	4¢	$50	0x648bae…
05-31 16:08:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	11¢	$18	0x5f00c3…
05-27 13:56:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	37¢	$59	0x487905…
05-26 22:01:01	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	370	41¢	$152	0xd2bfb9…
05-25 20:21:23	Will Paderborn vs. Wolfsburg end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x84910d…
05-25 20:21:23	Will Paderborn vs. Wolfsburg end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	85	96¢	$81	0x4e2eff…
05-25 20:21:21	Will Paderborn vs. Wolfsburg end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xafd73f…
05-25 20:21:21	Will Paderborn vs. Wolfsburg end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x95ac97…
05-25 19:53:12	Will Paderborn vs. Wolfsburg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	220	44¢	$96	0xcf2147…
05-24 15:52:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	32¢	$192	0x812cdd…
05-24 14:35:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	37¢	$222	0x2772c5…
05-24 13:48:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,354	10¢	$135	0xb4b335…
05-24 13:48:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0x86d66e…
05-24 13:48:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x1c0936…
05-24 13:47:30	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x303efc…
05-24 13:46:53	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	70	48¢	$34	0x664aee…
05-24 13:46:53	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	77	48¢	$37	0x029162…
05-24 13:46:51	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	77	48¢	$37	0x2cd5e0…
05-24 13:44:40	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	80	48¢	$38	0xc627dd…
05-24 13:44:40	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	86	48¢	$41	0x6f4162…
05-24 13:44:40	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	74	48¢	$36	0x5b625d…
05-24 13:44:03	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x00d933…
05-24 13:39:44	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	80	48¢	$38	0x6fede5…
05-24 13:34:24	Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	355	99¢	$352	0x6fb99c…
05-24 13:27:59	Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0xa66167…
05-24 13:27:59	Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x3f67f9…
05-24 13:27:35	Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	260	75¢	$195	0xee7fa7…
05-24 13:27:31	Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x34c1f4…
05-24 13:24:40	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,700	23¢	$391	0xab5795…
05-24 13:23:52	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	117	48¢	$56	0xf5fc6b…
05-24 08:07:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	407	2¢	$8	0xd339ff…
05-24 08:07:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	440	0¢	$0	0xc3ca92…
05-23 23:19:07	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	318	44¢	$140	0x9c2361…
05-23 12:31:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	407	27¢	$110	0x2cad6e…
05-23 12:31:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	440	15¢	$66	0xca6d53…
05-22 22:44:15	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	600	47¢	$282	0x327263…
05-22 21:45:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	1,074	80¢	$863	0x895bf4…
05-20 15:36:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	866	9¢	$78	0xcfd65c…
05-20 14:37:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,050	4¢	$42	0x7652f0…
05-19 11:31:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	333	27¢	$90	0x90cdeb…
05-19 11:30:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,050	6¢	$60	0x69ddac…
05-19 11:30:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	866	17¢	$150	0x437071…
05-19 11:30:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	741	27¢	$200	0xc3ba27…