Realized P&L
-$349
Unrealized P&L
+$85
Hit rate
59.4%
Resolved
64
Trades
4,532
lifetime
Volume
$189.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$2.22K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 07-20 08:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
62% 51% $-240
Sports
29% 61% +$52
Politics
8% 0% $-160
Crypto
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +751 $543 84¢ $635 +$92 07-06 17:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +400 $342 90¢ $358 +$16 07-10 18:16
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -336 $-320 96¢ $-323 $-3 06-26 07:58
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No -250 $-227 97¢ $-244 $-17 06-18 12:43
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $176 92¢ $183 +$7 07-03 06:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $160 72¢ $145 $-15 07-14 19:34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -600 $-136 22¢ $-129 +$7 07-18 12:07
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-49 76¢ $-75 $-26 06-06 01:07
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -200 $-60 32¢ $-65 $-5 07-19 11:45
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -150 $-22 26¢ $-40 $-17 06-29 13:57
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026? No -20 $-17 94¢ $-19 $-2 06-30 10:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -200 $-50 $-2 +$48 07-14 13:49