Realized P&L
-$1.96K
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
71.1%
Resolved
1,168
Trades
5,661
lifetime
Volume
$253.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$2.06K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-28 20:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 157 days
Categories
Other
65% 54% -$126
Sports
25% 52% -$1,606
Politics
8% 68% -$402
Crypto
2% 64% +$43
Tech
0% 100% +$131
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +816 $648 86¢ $706 +$58 09-23 05:53
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -336 -$320 98¢ $-328 -$8 06-26 07:58
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +300 $255 94¢ $280 +$26 10-28 20:31
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +200 $166 86¢ $172 +$6 07-06 10:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $160 79¢ $158 -$2 07-14 19:34
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +161 $131 75¢ $121 -$10 07-30 02:36
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +172 $132 64¢ $110 -$22 10-20 03:41
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$49 96¢ $-96 -$47 06-06 01:07
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -200 -$39 18¢ $-35 +$4 06-29 13:57
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +36 $30 82¢ $30 +$0 09-23 12:19
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -200 -$60 8¢ $-17 +$43 07-19 11:45
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +25 $14 18¢ $5 -$9 10-21 07:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +0 -$6 92¢ $0 +$6 05-15 22:59
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +0 $60 8¢ $0 -$60 07-18 12:07