Damp-Thigh 0x2d7823…a3f923 Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$12
Unrealized P&L
+$295
Hit rate
93.1%
Resolved (90d)
499
Trades (90d)
854
2,320 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$7.99K
$24.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$419
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 11-14 03:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Other
83% 84% +$166
Crypto
14% 55% -$52
Sports
3% 77% -$9
Politics
1% 42% -$16
Tech
0% 80% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +86 $80 94¢ $81 +$1 10-11 15:44
Will Canza launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +80 $43 84¢ $67 +$24 10-27 12:19
Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +68 $50 86¢ $58 +$8 10-14 13:50
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes +150 -$111 19¢ $28 +$140 10-24 15:55
Will N1 launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes +62 $27 42¢ $26 $0 11-03 07:12
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes +50 -$44 42¢ $21 +$65 10-28 15:07
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +15 $14 98¢ $15 +$1 10-14 13:55
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? No +15 $10 94¢ $14 +$4 10-15 15:35
Felix Protocol FDV above $5M one day after launch? No +14 $9 95¢ $14 +$5 09-28 12:59
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +105 $15 12¢ $13 -$2 10-14 13:50
Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes +90 $13 14¢ $13 +$1 10-14 00:51
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +11 $10 95¢ $11 +$1 10-10 15:26
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 10-11 15:46
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +12 $10 88¢ $10 +$0 10-11 15:50
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 86¢ $10 $0 10-11 15:50
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 +$0 05-26 08:51
Will LI.FI launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +50 $1 6¢ $3 +$2 11-04 01:53
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -5 -$3 50¢ $-3 +$0 06-06 02:03
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -2 -$2 100¢ $-2 $0 10-28 15:20
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 10-27 06:46
Will Fuse launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes +5 $1 42¢ $2 +$1 11-11 12:29
Felix Protocol FDV above $5M one day after launch? Yes +36 -$1 5¢ $2 +$3 11-13 20:00
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes +15 $5 12¢ $2 -$3 10-27 05:48
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? Yes -12 -$11 10¢ $-1 +$9 06-11 17:18
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-27 06:22
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 $0 06-10 05:40
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 -$35 5¢ $1 +$36 10-01 00:50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +2 $1 32¢ $1 $0 10-10 15:41
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +7 $1 8¢ $1 $0 10-10 15:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +3 $1 14¢ $0 -$1 10-10 15:41