Large-Replica — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.53K

Unrealized P&L

+$92

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved

Trades

199

lifetime

Volume

$41.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$210

Open exposure

$389

1 position

First seen

2026-05-16

last 06-02 01:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 96% -$1,632

Other

31% 100% +$76

Politics

15% — —

Tech

1% 100% +$22

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-02).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No		+400	$298	97¢	$389	+$92	05-25 23:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	50	$6.3K	4,300	4,300	+0	open	—	06-02 01:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	19	$5.1K	5,834	5,834	+0	No	-$1,673	06-01 13:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	9	$3.9K	1,800	2,100	-300	No	+$5	05-20 15:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	24	$3.2K	2,149	1,749	+400	open	—	05-25 23:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	12	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$25	06-01 12:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	5	$2.0K	899	1,099	-200	No	+$20	05-28 22:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	8	$1.7K	1,200	600	+600	No	+$26	05-22 21:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	3	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	No	+$2	05-22 15:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	17	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$1	05-16 15:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	3	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$2	05-19 10:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	2	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$2	05-23 03:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	1	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$2	05-21 03:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	2	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$2	05-16 06:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	2	$996	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$4	05-25 06:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	3	$613	614	0	+614	Yes	+$1	05-27 10:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	4	$596	600	0	+600	Yes	+$4	06-01 08:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	8	$578	600	0	+600	Yes	+$22	05-18 14:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?	5	$548	551	0	+551	No	+$3	06-01 02:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$0	05-26 02:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 23?	2	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$0	05-23 03:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	1	$500	500	0	+500	Yes	+$0	05-24 14:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	1	$500	500	0	+500	Yes	+$0	05-22 06:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	1	$499	500	0	+500	No	+$1	05-17 08:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	1	$499	500	0	+500	Yes	+$1	05-17 07:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	1	$499	500	0	+500	Yes	+$1	05-18 01:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	5	$499	500	0	+500	Yes	+$1	05-31 02:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	1	$499	500	0	+500	No	+$1	05-29 03:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	1	$498	500	0	+500	Yes	+$2	05-28 02:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	1	$498	500	0	+500	Yes	+$2	05-24 02:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	1	$498	500	0	+500	Yes	+$2	05-26 02:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 01:29:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	83¢	$830	0x188af5…
06-01 13:00:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,747	35¢	$1,311	0xe83ee1…
06-01 12:59:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	162	98¢	$158	0x059ead…
06-01 12:58:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x02d4e5…
06-01 12:57:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xb4476d…
06-01 12:57:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xccdf80…
06-01 12:57:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,747	43¢	$1,600	0x33db4c…
06-01 12:57:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	118	98¢	$116	0x3cbb93…
06-01 12:48:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,087	19¢	$397	0x6c2124…
06-01 08:56:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x1b11d4…
06-01 08:21:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0xf95273…
06-01 08:09:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x3e101e…
06-01 08:03:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xb82760…
06-01 02:00:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x37868e…
06-01 01:59:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x69536b…
06-01 01:59:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x0a4deb…
06-01 01:59:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xa39ed6…
06-01 01:59:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	267	99¢	$265	0x318635…
05-31 02:28:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0xd2494b…
05-31 02:10:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x62d48c…
05-31 02:00:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6d2196…
05-31 02:00:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x33674d…
05-31 02:00:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x098999…
05-29 04:04:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xfc14f8…
05-29 03:23:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xe745ba…
05-29 03:01:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$157	0x57cb9f…
05-29 02:42:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	79	77¢	$60	0xf27d7c…
05-29 02:29:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$165	0x83332f…
05-29 02:24:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xfc71f2…
05-29 02:24:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x962a3d…
05-29 02:24:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	86¢	$28	0xd302f6…
05-29 02:23:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xb5924a…
05-29 02:22:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	115	86¢	$99	0x89920b…
05-29 02:22:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	86¢	$33	0xca7e43…
05-28 22:31:37	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1,099	99¢	$1,093	0x9f77b6…
05-28 09:19:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	88¢	$52	0xe20660…
05-28 09:09:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	141	88¢	$124	0xcfc146…
05-28 03:26:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x1b6c4d…
05-28 03:11:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x0522d5…
05-28 02:37:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x7e85e8…
05-28 02:21:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x3fcd16…
05-27 23:11:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x82291a…
05-27 23:10:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x79117b…
05-27 19:53:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$187	0xdd3974…
05-27 12:28:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0x8cdeee…
05-27 10:20:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xac0e56…
05-27 09:25:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0x324311…
05-27 08:00:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	545	100¢	$544	0x9baf95…
05-27 07:49:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x9bba2f…
05-26 02:32:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x58d54f…
05-26 02:02:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x8d3b3a…
05-25 23:08:50	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x160a54…
05-25 21:39:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0x21f806…
05-25 06:50:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	750	100¢	$747	0x7b8334…
05-25 00:30:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x5d2e9c…
05-25 00:20:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xcf9861…
05-24 14:01:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x865aaa…
05-24 02:19:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0x427f9b…
05-24 02:10:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xf494ba…
05-24 02:08:03	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x9ababd…
05-24 02:06:08	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	299	98¢	$293	0x3a686a…
05-24 00:28:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	300	97¢	$291	0xe6c708…
05-23 18:20:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	312	86¢	$269	0x305651…
05-23 14:14:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$288	0xb15807…
05-23 14:13:56	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	312	85¢	$265	0xb71f90…
05-23 13:56:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	300	74¢	$222	0xdf2d9d…
05-23 13:42:02	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xc2886d…
05-23 04:49:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	300	73¢	$219	0xa9d1f7…
05-23 03:22:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x694313…
05-23 03:09:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	456	100¢	$455	0xc70f94…
05-23 02:41:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x02a5e3…
05-23 02:40:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x7b18b3…
05-22 22:35:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	400	69¢	$276	0x8a226c…
05-22 22:33:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x9aee9b…
05-22 21:46:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x3685d8…
05-22 21:35:23	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x5693a1…
05-22 16:04:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x2da0ac…
05-22 15:46:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x9d3ced…
05-22 13:01:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$288	0xccfc30…
05-22 06:17:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xed234c…
05-22 04:13:03	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	375	84¢	$315	0x3c6906…
05-22 04:06:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xda3ad4…
05-22 00:22:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xba8276…
05-21 14:11:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	115	74¢	$85	0xa3f5c4…
05-21 14:11:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	285	74¢	$211	0x9a5ca5…
05-21 12:43:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x3b7d6d…
05-21 12:43:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xfbed2a…
05-21 12:43:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	78	70¢	$55	0xc127af…
05-21 10:59:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x1a5fd9…
05-21 10:51:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xb4e50b…
05-21 10:19:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	300	75¢	$225	0x477341…
05-21 08:44:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x9fcd98…
05-21 04:22:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	307	100¢	$306	0x809125…
05-21 03:02:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x6cb477…
05-21 01:03:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0xcd19f0…
05-20 15:47:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	700	99¢	$694	0x9a995a…
05-20 14:18:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	300	70¢	$210	0xafe36a…
05-20 08:08:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x0df600…
05-19 21:01:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	400	99¢	$394	0x95e35b…
05-19 20:54:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x716c60…