Realized P&L
-$41
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
43.9%
Resolved
15
Trades
50
lifetime
Volume
$548
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$123
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 10:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
61% 56% -$56
Tech
29% 100% +$16
Politics
10% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +62 $50 96¢ $60 +$10 08-28 10:13
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +37 $32 90¢ $33 +$1 09-25 10:03
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +16 $15 97¢ $15 +$0 09-17 08:45
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 09-06 14:26
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 09-19 23:15