Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$797

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$727

12 positions

First seen

2026-10-26

last 11-11 14:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

84% 100% +$6

Tech

12% — —

Politics

4% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	+100	$98	99¢	$99	+$0	11-11 09:19
Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	+100	$98	99¢	$99	+$0	11-10 01:15
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$96	97¢	$97	+$1	11-11 09:17
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$96	96¢	$96	+$0	11-11 09:18
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	+100	$91	96¢	$96	+$5	11-09 02:43
Hegseth impeached and removed by December 31, 2026?	No	+59	$58	98¢	$58	$0	11-11 14:12
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?	No	+50	$49	98¢	$49	+$0	11-03 07:46
US recession by end of 2026?	No	+50	$47	98¢	$49	+$2	10-31 06:05
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?	No	+40	$36	94¢	$38	+$2	11-03 15:47
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	No	+25	$24	97¢	$24	+$1	11-09 02:47
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$19	99¢	$20	+$0	10-29 17:16
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	+5	$5	94¢	$5	+$0	11-01 02:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 14:12:37	Hegseth impeached and removed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0x8ec557…
11-11 09:46:03	Hegseth impeached and removed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x6cce7a…
11-11 09:19:39	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xda429b…
11-11 09:18:16	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xd3982c…
11-11 09:17:30	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x8e67aa…
11-11 09:16:39	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x33d533…
11-10 01:15:27	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x501754…
11-09 02:47:16	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x16a085…
11-09 02:43:28	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0x7317f8…
11-08 04:32:37	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xb1758c…
11-05 02:51:55	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xa96712…
11-05 01:51:22	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8238aa…
11-03 15:47:33	Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x93dda3…
11-03 07:46:55	Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x6c1038…
11-03 07:45:55	Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x02dcda…
11-03 06:49:31	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x1eb617…
11-03 04:52:52	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x0cbaba…
11-02 03:06:01	Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xc12a37…
11-01 02:07:13	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0b4e2d…
10-31 11:27:19	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x3b76c2…
10-31 06:05:18	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x5e2c1e…
10-31 05:20:07	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x517119…
10-31 04:59:54	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x3a52d3…
10-30 15:43:01	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x3b9961…
10-30 14:08:22	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xfc1492…
10-29 17:55:50	Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x66e37b…
10-29 17:47:46	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x994651…
10-29 17:33:29	Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x599e59…
10-29 17:17:20	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x3a9f4d…
10-29 17:16:20	Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x296f64…
10-29 07:58:10	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xaf2072…
10-29 05:09:37	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0fd707…
10-29 04:44:22	Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcbca4f…
10-29 03:42:56	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x798659…
10-28 14:39:38	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x491c75…
10-28 11:53:50	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4ab6f3…
10-28 06:17:40	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf146a2…
10-28 06:12:01	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x443359…
10-28 02:43:12	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x82a4ba…
10-26 13:41:50	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb04452…
10-26 09:25:33	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe8eebc…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Anthropic acquired before 2027?	2	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	11-10 01:15
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	5	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	11-11 09:19
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	3	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	11-11 09:18
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	4	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	11-11 09:17
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	4	$91	100	0	+100	open	—	11-09 02:43
Hegseth impeached and removed by December 31, 2026?	2	$58	59	0	+59	open	—	11-11 14:12
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?	2	$49	50	0	+50	open	—	11-03 07:46
US recession by end of 2026?	3	$47	50	0	+50	open	—	10-31 06:05
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?	2	$36	40	0	+40	open	—	11-03 15:47
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	4	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	11-05 02:51
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	11-09 02:47
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?	2	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	10-29 17:16
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	3	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	10-29 05:09
Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	2	$15	20	0	+20	No	+$5	10-29 17:33
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	10-30 14:08
Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	10-29 17:55
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	11-01 02:07