Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$106
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
172
lifetime
Volume
$3.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$888
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 06-21 18:59
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
64%
Crypto
25%
Politics
11%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +167 $134 90¢ $150 +$16 06-18 21:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -152 $-28 96¢ $-145 $-117 06-14 13:22
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +116 $103 96¢ $111 +$8 06-10 18:00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +147 $64 64¢ $94 +$30 06-15 07:29
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +101 $86 92¢ $93 +$7 06-12 03:59
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +105 $71 76¢ $80 +$8 06-16 12:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +207 $73 36¢ $73 +$1 06-15 00:37
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +184 $92 29¢ $52 $-39 06-19 02:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +113 $50 42¢ $48 $-2 06-21 14:30
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes +186 $19 $16 $-3 06-21 18:59
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +78 $22 18¢ $14 $-8 06-07 22:05
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +83 $14 10¢ $8 $-6 06-16 18:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 60¢ $3 +$3 06-10 20:51
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $3 64¢ $1 $-3 06-13 06:39