Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$68
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
163
lifetime
Volume
$3.06K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$719
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 06-18 11:30
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
65%
Crypto
24%
Politics
11%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +167 $134 79¢ $132 $-2 06-18 21:33
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +116 $103 90¢ $105 +$2 06-10 18:00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +160 $79 58¢ $94 +$15 06-14 17:44
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +101 $86 86¢ $86 +$0 06-12 03:59
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +105 $71 72¢ $75 +$4 06-16 12:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -152 $-28 42¢ $-65 $-36 06-14 13:22
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +147 $64 37¢ $54 $-10 06-15 07:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +46 $36 85¢ $39 +$3 06-15 18:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +207 $73 11¢ $22 $-51 06-15 00:37
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +78 $22 26¢ $21 $-1 06-07 22:05
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +83 $14 16¢ $14 $-1 06-16 18:03
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes +52 $6 $5 $-1 06-05 20:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 72¢ $4 +$3 06-10 20:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $-5 56¢ $4 +$9 06-11 18:30
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $3 79¢ $1 $-2 06-13 06:39