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Realized P&L (7d)
-$345
Unrealized P&L
-$529
Hit rate
42.9%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
4
429 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$247
$14.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$2.67K
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 10-29 06:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Tech
40% 78% -$427
Other
36% 78% +$316
Crypto
13% 83% -$127
Sports
9% 59% -$327
Politics
2% 100% +$61
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +656 $546 82¢ $535 -$12 10-19 13:20
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +509 $457 92¢ $468 +$11 10-02 00:23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,076 $788 38¢ $414 -$374 09-28 20:39
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +395 $350 81¢ $320 -$31 09-18 09:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +331 $267 72¢ $240 -$27 10-28 13:34
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +363 $298 64¢ $234 -$64 09-08 15:48
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +152 $132 66¢ $100 -$32 07-17 22:21
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +99 $89 90¢ $90 +$1 10-22 17:29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +130 $92 63¢ $82 -$10 06-23 20:12
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +62 $50 96¢ $59 +$9 07-15 02:17
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +49 $40 97¢ $47 +$7 07-13 15:10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +27 $23 83¢ $22 -$1 10-27 14:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +22 $20 94¢ $21 +$1 09-29 05:12
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes +26 $20 78¢ $20 $0 09-28 20:13
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +32 $28 61¢ $20 -$8 08-01 02:03