Verifiable-Level-Conviction 0x2e2f62…c56884 Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$14
Unrealized P&L
-$852
Hit rate
83.2%
Resolved (90d)
37
Trades (90d)
90
445 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$7.64K
$15.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$3.15K
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 11-12 23:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Tech
38% 78% -$427
Other
38% 79% +$370
Crypto
12% 83% -$127
Sports
10% 61% -$326
Politics
2% 83% +$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +905 $766 94¢ $846 +$81 11-05 10:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +575 $467 92¢ $531 +$64 11-07 19:17
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +509 $457 81¢ $412 -$45 10-02 00:23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,076 $788 18¢ $199 -$589 09-28 20:39
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +395 $350 50¢ $197 -$153 09-18 09:27
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +205 $188 92¢ $189 +$1 10-19 13:21
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +152 $132 92¢ $141 +$9 07-17 22:21
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +363 $298 32¢ $118 -$180 09-08 15:48
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? Yes +111 $100 95¢ $105 +$5 11-05 10:22
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +99 $89 94¢ $93 +$4 10-22 17:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +75 $68 98¢ $74 +$6 11-09 13:43
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +62 $50 97¢ $60 +$10 07-15 02:17
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +55 $50 94¢ $51 +$1 11-06 05:39
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +49 $40 99¢ $48 +$8 07-13 15:10
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? Yes +41 $35 97¢ $40 +$5 07-31 01:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +22 $20 84¢ $18 -$2 09-29 05:12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +130 $92 10¢ $12 -$80 06-23 20:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? Yes +12 $10 96¢ $12 +$2 11-07 15:22