Realized P&L (30d)
-$193
Unrealized P&L
-$890
Hit rate
74.3%
Resolved (30d)
13
Trades (30d)
23
440 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.93K
$15.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$3.07K
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 11-09 13:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Tech
38% 78% -$427
Other
38% 79% +$370
Crypto
12% 83% -$127
Sports
10% 59% -$328
Politics
2% 83% +$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +905 $766 94¢ $855 +$90 11-05 10:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +575 $467 88¢ $503 +$36 11-07 19:17
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +509 $457 82¢ $414 -$42 10-02 00:23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,076 $788 22¢ $231 -$556 09-28 20:39
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +205 $188 92¢ $189 +$1 10-19 13:21
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +395 $350 44¢ $172 -$179 09-18 09:27
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +152 $132 88¢ $134 +$2 07-17 22:21
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? Yes +111 $100 96¢ $107 +$7 11-05 10:22
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +363 $298 26¢ $93 -$205 09-08 15:48
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +99 $89 84¢ $84 -$5 10-22 17:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +75 $68 97¢ $73 +$5 11-09 13:43
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +62 $50 97¢ $60 +$10 07-15 02:17
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +55 $50 93¢ $51 +$1 11-06 05:39
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +49 $40 98¢ $48 +$8 07-13 15:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +130 $92 26¢ $34 -$58 06-23 20:12
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +22 $20 80¢ $18 -$2 09-29 05:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? Yes +12 $10 88¢ $11 +$1 11-07 15:22