Verifiable-Level-Conviction 0x2e2f62…c56884 Create alert
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$190
Unrealized P&L
-$902
Hit rate
74.4%
Resolved (30d)
17
Trades (30d)
28
445 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.98K
$15.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$3.28K
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 11-12 23:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Tech
38% 78% -$427
Other
38% 79% +$370
Crypto
12% 83% -$127
Sports
10% 61% -$326
Politics
2% 83% +$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +905 $766 94¢ $846 +$81 11-05 10:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +575 $467 92¢ $531 +$64 11-07 19:17
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +509 $457 79¢ $402 -$55 10-02 00:23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,076 $788 20¢ $210 -$578 09-28 20:39
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No — +210 $185 96¢ $203 +$18 10-04 07:26
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +205 $188 92¢ $189 +$1 10-19 13:21
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +395 $350 44¢ $172 -$179 09-18 09:27
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +152 $132 93¢ $142 +$11 07-17 22:21
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? Yes +111 $100 95¢ $105 +$5 11-05 10:22
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +99 $89 93¢ $92 +$3 10-22 17:29
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +363 $298 20¢ $74 -$224 09-08 15:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +75 $68 98¢ $74 +$6 11-09 13:43
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +62 $50 97¢ $60 +$10 07-15 02:17
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +55 $50 93¢ $51 +$1 11-06 05:39
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +49 $40 99¢ $48 +$8 07-13 15:10
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? Yes +41 $35 97¢ $40 +$5 07-31 01:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +22 $20 78¢ $17 -$3 09-29 05:12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +130 $92 11¢ $14 -$78 06-23 20:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? Yes +12 $10 96¢ $12 +$2 11-07 15:22