Realized P&L
+$55
Unrealized P&L
+$153
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved
11
Trades
1,125
lifetime
Volume
$45.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$2.25K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-29 12:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
65% 33% $-187
Crypto
20% 100% +$135
Sports
11% 100% +$106
Politics
3%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? No +724 $685 100¢ $724 +$38 06-24 20:32
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? No +363 $314 99¢ $361 +$46 06-24 08:02
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? No +137 $127 100¢ $137 +$10 06-18 12:11
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +298 $121 46¢ $136 +$14 06-19 17:04
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +114 $83 86¢ $98 +$15 06-20 20:27
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +88 $72 92¢ $82 +$10 06-09 13:29
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +86 $63 69¢ $59 $-4 06-21 12:36
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No -70 $-49 84¢ $-59 $-10 06-08 11:08
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +197 $47 29¢ $57 +$10 06-29 06:50
Will Rabby launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +53 $45 94¢ $50 +$5 06-16 14:28
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +132 $28 35¢ $46 +$18 06-17 02:55
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes +55 $46 80¢ $44 $-2 06-26 12:11
Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30? Yes +173 $80 24¢ $42 $-39 06-24 09:40
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +70 $9 57¢ $40 +$31 06-18 09:10
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +77 $27 50¢ $38 +$11 06-18 11:50
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? Yes +61 $40 62¢ $38 $-2 06-20 11:58
Concrete FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +99 $44 34¢ $34 $-10 06-27 18:13
Ledger IPO before 2027? No +37 $28 84¢ $31 +$3 06-28 07:09
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +198 $52 16¢ $31 $-22 06-24 11:38
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +20 $13 89¢ $18 +$5 06-25 05:14
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +40 $9 43¢ $17 +$9 06-23 21:03
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +20 $14 86¢ $17 +$3 06-25 04:53
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +21 $13 76¢ $16 +$3 06-27 18:59
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +119 $15 12¢ $14 $-1 06-24 08:51
MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch? Yes +27 $12 52¢ $14 +$2 06-19 11:50
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +19 $14 73¢ $14 $-1 06-11 04:58
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes +109 $9 10¢ $11 +$2 06-29 04:06
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +27 $8 38¢ $10 +$2 06-12 13:29
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +10 $5 82¢ $8 +$3 06-02 23:32
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +15 $5 52¢ $8 +$3 06-15 03:56