Realized P&L
+$55
Unrealized P&L
-$76
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved
11
Trades
1,125
lifetime
Volume
$45.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$943
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-29 12:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
65% 33% $-187
Crypto
20% 100% +$135
Sports
11% 100% +$106
Politics
3%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +298 $121 42¢ $127 +$5 06-19 17:04
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +88 $72 94¢ $83 +$12 06-09 13:29
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +114 $83 70¢ $79 $-4 06-20 20:27
Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30? Yes +173 $80 39¢ $67 $-13 06-24 09:40
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No -70 $-49 90¢ $-62 $-14 06-08 11:08
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +86 $63 62¢ $53 $-10 06-21 12:36
Will Rabby launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +53 $45 97¢ $51 +$7 06-16 14:28
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes +55 $46 76¢ $42 $-4 06-26 12:11
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? Yes +61 $40 57¢ $35 $-5 06-20 11:58
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +132 $28 26¢ $35 +$7 06-17 02:55
Ledger IPO before 2027? No +37 $28 92¢ $34 +$6 06-28 07:09
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +70 $9 42¢ $29 +$20 06-18 09:10
Concrete FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +99 $44 24¢ $24 $-20 06-27 18:13
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +198 $52 10¢ $19 $-34 06-24 11:38
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +40 $9 46¢ $18 +$10 06-23 21:03
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +20 $13 89¢ $18 +$5 06-25 05:14
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +20 $14 87¢ $17 +$3 06-25 04:53
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +77 $27 22¢ $17 $-11 06-18 11:50
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +19 $14 88¢ $16 +$2 06-11 04:58
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +42 $30 39¢ $16 $-13 06-27 22:56
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +21 $13 74¢ $15 +$3 06-27 18:59
MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch? Yes +27 $12 49¢ $13 +$1 06-19 11:50
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +119 $15 10¢ $12 $-4 06-24 08:51
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +197 $47 $11 $-37 06-29 06:50
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes +109 $9 $10 +$1 06-29 04:06
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +15 $5 60¢ $9 +$4 06-15 03:56
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +10 $5 82¢ $8 +$3 06-02 23:32
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +14 $4 57¢ $8 +$4 05-31 08:57
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +8 $3 78¢ $6 +$3 06-18 12:39
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +27 $8 22¢ $6 $-2 06-12 13:29