Vivid-Departure 0x2e346a…599434
cold 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.06K
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
63.3%
Resolved
421
Trades
1,504
lifetime
Volume
$67.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$985
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-29 12:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 110 days
Categories
Other
67% 57% -$1,439
Crypto
14% 51% -$956
Sports
13% 67% +$23
Politics
4% 61% +$440
Tech
2% 46% -$128
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +488 $205 67¢ $327 +$122 05-21 01:26
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +114 $83 96¢ $109 +$26 06-20 20:27
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +88 $72 96¢ $85 +$13 06-09 13:29
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +67 $49 94¢ $63 +$13 04-30 18:03
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? Yes +61 $40 99¢ $60 +$21 06-20 11:58
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +57 $13 80¢ $45 +$32 05-26 06:02
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +49 $26 90¢ $44 +$17 05-20 11:45
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +37 $34 98¢ $37 +$3 04-30 08:08
Ledger IPO before 2027? No +37 $28 96¢ $35 +$8 06-28 07:09
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +387 $182 6¢ $24 -$157 06-18 11:50
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +23 $15 96¢ $22 +$7 06-08 11:08
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +20 $8 98¢ $20 +$11 06-02 23:32
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +16 $5 97¢ $15 +$10 05-20 16:33
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +70 $9 19¢ $13 +$4 06-18 09:10
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +439 $97 3¢ $13 -$84 06-06 01:13
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +15 $5 80¢ $12 +$7 06-15 03:56
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +13 $8 90¢ $12 +$3 05-05 15:48
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +10 $4 90¢ $9 +$6 05-03 06:28
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +132 $28 6¢ $8 -$20 06-17 02:55
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes +121 $10 5¢ $6 -$4 06-29 04:06
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes +105 $13 5¢ $6 -$7 06-16 04:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +162 $40 3¢ $5 -$35 06-10 09:07
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? Yes +93 $20 4¢ $4 -$16 05-15 21:33
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +99 $7 4¢ $4 -$3 06-10 13:31
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +51 $4 4¢ $2 -$1 06-03 22:58
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +11 $2 10¢ $1 -$1 06-13 16:18
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +9 $1 12¢ $1 $0 05-07 06:40
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -1 -$1 81¢ $-1 $0 06-15 15:32
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +4 $1 18¢ $1 $0 05-24 18:58
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +12 $3 6¢ $1 -$3 04-30 05:44