Giant-Bolero — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$2.32K

Unrealized P&L

-$546

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

1,998 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$49.5K

$808.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$405

Open exposure

$229

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-28 23:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Other

48% 31% +$15,125

Politics

26% 33% -$13,390

Crypto

17% 37% -$11,758

Sports

9% 35% -$11,157

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+532	$775	43¢	$229	-$546	10-28 23:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	41	$52.0K	77,588	77,056	+532	open	—	10-28 23:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	22	$23.8K	71,509	71,509	+0	Yes	-$2,240	06-16 12:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$21.6K	13,727	13,727	+0	No	+$1,280	06-01 06:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	24	$16.2K	29,603	28,191	+1,411	Yes	-$3,502	06-15 13:53
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$15.1K	31,898	31,898	+0	No	+$2,878	07-07 05:10
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?	9	$14.4K	11,401	11,401	+0	Yes	+$8,390	05-04 16:20
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	18	$14.2K	7,919	7,919	+0	No	+$847	03-03 22:35
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$13.9K	360,427	232,725	+127,701	No	-$1,918	07-08 18:42
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	4	$11.9K	10,047	10,047	+0	Yes	+$7,946	05-06 20:59
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$11.6K	57,674	57,663	+11	No	-$6,707	07-12 16:41
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	22	$11.5K	615,512	240,129	+375,383	No	-$5,338	07-03 01:46
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	14	$10.4K	24,319	23,856	+463	No	-$996	04-28 20:55
trump renames ai by september 30	18	$10.2K	10,523	10,523	+0	Yes	-$965	09-29 14:41
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	2	$8.4K	6,197	6,080	+117	Yes	+$3,898	04-14 21:07
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	4	$8.3K	7,697	14,863	-7,166	Yes	-$4,848	01-22 15:45
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-10?	9	$8.0K	9,771	9,771	+0	No	+$5,624	05-10 17:48
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-14?	10	$8.0K	14,347	14,347	+0	No	+$483	05-14 18:50
Will Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	7	$7.0K	5,954	5,954	+0	Yes	+$3,549	05-14 19:55
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	8	$7.0K	8,514	3,261	+5,254	Yes	-$465	04-08 18:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$6.9K	24,569	24,569	+0	open	—	06-12 00:52
fl1 psg lyo 2026 04 19 draw	4	$6.5K	20,630	20,142	+488	No	-$2,289	04-19 20:34
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?	2	$6.0K	6,383	6,383	+0	Yes	+$0	05-13 19:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$5.8K	15,325	15,325	-0	open	—	05-26 12:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	3	$5.8K	4,257	4,257	+0	No	+$492	05-28 14:25
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	6	$5.6K	6,635	6,635	+0	Yes	-$288	04-14 11:55
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$5.4K	5,612	5,612	+0	Yes	+$233	01-24 22:08
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	5	$5.4K	4,643	4,643	+0	Yes	+$2,764	06-14 21:51
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 draw	5	$5.3K	6,176	6,022	+154	No	+$3,233	04-15 20:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	3	$5.3K	3,931	3,931	+0	No	+$278	05-10 22:42
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24?	6	$5.2K	7,889	7,889	+0	Yes	+$3,728	05-24 20:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 23:36:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	532	47¢	$250	0x7b01a2…
10-28 23:34:37	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	17,954	44¢	$7,901	0xe72c19…
10-28 21:18:31	Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2,083	80¢	$1,661	0x7d124e…
10-28 19:24:49	Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,083	24¢	$500	0xe73e5d…
10-28 19:18:43	Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,230	91¢	$1,113	0xb3c2cc…
10-28 19:18:08	Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	304	87¢	$265	0x14a637…
10-28 19:08:37	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	1,055	88¢	$928	0x64f618…
10-28 18:35:35	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	246	61¢	$150	0x35aeda…
10-28 17:49:10	Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,251	20¢	$250	0x14a0c0…
10-28 17:48:52	Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,535	33¢	$500	0x7dbe13…
10-28 17:48:28	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	809	69¢	$555	0x040781…
10-28 17:45:20	Will Chelsea FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,474	10¢	$250	0x8ee4df…
10-28 17:36:16	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	1,053	57¢	$600	0xd0ce09…
10-28 09:23:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,222	45¢	$1,000	0xc017f3…
10-23 20:48:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,448	29¢	$1,000	0x5d29af…
10-22 09:45:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	19,213	26¢	$4,995	0xc9fbae…
10-14 16:49:52	Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,083	23¢	$479	0x134fd2…
10-14 16:49:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,658	30¢	$497	0x2fe47a…
10-13 20:54:39	Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Ilias Bulaid	BUY	1,380	55¢	$759	0x0ef4f4…
10-13 11:35:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,384	32¢	$443	0x511e8a…
10-13 11:29:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,562	32¢	$500	0xfafca5…
10-06 15:39:00	Will Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	959	32¢	$307	0x865167…
10-06 15:36:54	Will Jordan vs. Venezuela end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,174	28¢	$329	0x1c2b9b…
10-06 15:34:41	Will Jordan vs. Venezuela end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,174	29¢	$340	0x1fb057…
10-06 15:27:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,778	36¢	$1,000	0xe5d38d…
10-06 15:26:12	Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	1,621	84¢	$1,362	0x466940…
10-06 14:14:51	Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	1,621	24¢	$389	0x5bc65d…
10-06 14:13:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,143	35¢	$400	0x5366c0…
10-05 22:57:37	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,294	36¢	$1,186	0xea739f…
10-05 22:53:10	Will Cuba vs. St. Kitts and Nevis end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	326	100¢	$326	0x005c91…
10-05 22:47:49	Will Cuba vs. St. Kitts and Nevis end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	697	76¢	$530	0xa414cb…
10-05 21:59:16	Will Cuba vs. St. Kitts and Nevis end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,023	29¢	$300	0x0175a8…
10-05 21:54:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,778	36¢	$1,000	0x21346a…
10-05 21:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	215	100¢	$215	0x498995…
10-05 21:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	833	3¢	$25	0x8941db…
10-05 21:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	215	46¢	$100	0x662fca…
10-05 21:22:04	Will Montenegro vs. Armenia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,563	100¢	$1,561	0x6c7c88…
10-05 18:19:35	Will Montenegro vs. Armenia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,563	20¢	$313	0x384682…
10-05 18:16:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	938	35¢	$328	0x30f9b4…
10-05 17:52:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	6,069	36¢	$2,185	0x772c94…
10-05 17:49:11	Will Cyprus vs. Latvia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2,413	91¢	$2,194	0x76a4ba…
10-05 16:54:26	Will Latvia win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	1,202	10¢	$120	0xdd1458…
10-05 16:53:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	354	35¢	$124	0x7a7672…
10-05 16:52:52	Will Latvia win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	2,461	10¢	$246	0xdbc9bd…
10-05 16:52:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	738	35¢	$258	0x827743…
10-05 15:05:41	Will Cyprus vs. Latvia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	779	25¢	$195	0x7b033e…
10-05 15:05:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	571	35¢	$200	0x05fdf2…
10-05 14:57:23	Will Cyprus vs. Latvia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,634	25¢	$408	0x9954bd…
10-05 14:56:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,215	35¢	$425	0x86eebf…
10-04 17:49:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,968	37¢	$1,098	0xc4e3e0…
10-04 17:48:13	Will Kosovo vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,360	81¢	$1,105	0x163871…
10-04 14:26:44	Will Kosovo vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,360	28¢	$381	0x49eae0…
10-04 14:26:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,103	36¢	$397	0x003781…
10-04 07:55:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,270	37¢	$470	0x612168…
10-03 17:55:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,742	36¢	$987	0xdce43a…
10-03 17:23:33	Will Estonia vs. Luxembourg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,519	21¢	$319	0x26de08…
10-03 16:36:35	Will Iceland vs. Bulgaria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	630	31¢	$194	0x4eb888…
10-02 15:09:41	Will Kazakhstan vs. Moldova end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,879	11¢	$207	0xaa3470…
10-02 12:41:44	Will Kazakhstan vs. Moldova end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,879	30¢	$564	0xac261f…
10-02 12:41:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,776	33¢	$586	0xaa72b5…
10-01 15:20:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,315	33¢	$1,094	0xe69d45…
10-01 10:56:18	Will Syria win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5,428	11¢	$594	0x5f7759…
10-01 10:55:44	Will Uzbekistan vs. Syria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,617	21¢	$550	0x1b3a64…
09-30 20:53:51	mlb bos nyy 2026 09 30	New York Yankees	BUY	382	56¢	$214	0x7001e4…
09-30 20:50:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x11ee80…
09-30 20:50:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	242	41¢	$100	0x2cdc32…
09-30 20:46:30	Will Malta vs. Gibraltar end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2,779	16¢	$445	0xf37720…
09-30 20:44:02	mlb bos nyy 2026 09 30	New York Yankees	BUY	811	56¢	$454	0xb2e497…
09-30 20:43:12	Will Israel win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	SELL	1,667	29¢	$483	0x487c39…
09-30 18:48:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,567	33¢	$517	0xf390a3…
09-30 18:47:26	Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2,037	26¢	$530	0x6a311a…
09-30 18:45:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,030	33¢	$1,000	0x153b55…
09-30 18:43:29	Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,037	27¢	$550	0xda65fd…
09-30 18:41:15	Will Malta vs. Gibraltar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,779	18¢	$500	0x8c9b54…
09-30 18:38:26	Will Israel win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	1,667	30¢	$500	0xc38992…
09-29 20:52:36	Will Bulgaria vs. Estonia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,964	100¢	$1,962	0x9793df…
09-29 14:47:45	Will Zambia vs. Togo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,586	32¢	$500	0x69c152…
09-29 14:41:42	trump renames ai by september 30	No	SELL	1,040	20¢	$209	0x87f65a…
09-29 08:49:41	Will Luxembourg vs. Iceland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,667	30¢	$500	0xda4c16…
09-29 08:15:48	Will San Marino vs. Albania end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9,414	5¢	$501	0xb33925…
09-29 08:15:03	Will Bulgaria vs. Estonia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,964	28¢	$550	0xc193e9…
09-29 08:14:39	Will Slovenia vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,852	27¢	$500	0xd2400e…
09-29 08:13:18	Will Slovakia vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,941	17¢	$500	0x199f75…
09-29 08:05:17	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	SELL	33	49¢	$16	0xb02d0f…
09-29 07:59:53	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1,040	50¢	$520	0x2fcd43…
09-28 23:26:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	641	16¢	$100	0x04c91e…
09-28 23:25:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:20 UTC	Up	SELL	417	99¢	$412	0xaece3b…
09-28 23:24:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x21f942…
09-28 23:24:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	621	4¢	$25	0xe60062…
09-28 23:23:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0xa52b12…
09-28 23:22:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x1de409…
09-28 23:08:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1,526	2¢	$25	0xab9637…
09-28 23:07:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2,506	1¢	$25	0xf5686d…
09-28 23:00:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0x9453cb…
09-28 23:00:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x60fa86…
09-28 22:55:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	164	26¢	$42	0xfa40e4…
09-28 22:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	408	99¢	$404	0xd21272…
09-28 22:54:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	866	12¢	$100	0x57fcf9…
09-28 22:53:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x5a0aee…
09-28 22:52:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xe6b48d…