Giant-Bolero — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.23K

Hit rate

51.8%

Resolved

657

Trades

2,054

lifetime

Volume

$846.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$412

Open exposure

$2.05K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-05 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Other

50% 31% +$14,045

Politics

25% 33% -$13,390

Crypto

16% 37% -$11,758

Sports

8% 35% -$11,157

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+5,158	$3,500	38¢	$1.9K	-$1,563	10-31 19:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+532	$775	21¢	$110	-$665	10-28 23:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	41	$52.0K	77,588	77,056	+532	open	—	10-28 23:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	22	$23.8K	71,509	71,509	+0	Yes	-$2,240	06-16 12:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$21.6K	13,727	13,727	+0	No	+$1,280	06-01 06:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	24	$16.2K	29,603	28,191	+1,411	Yes	-$3,502	06-15 13:53
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$15.1K	31,898	31,898	+0	No	+$2,878	07-07 05:10
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?	9	$14.4K	11,401	11,401	+0	Yes	+$8,390	05-04 16:20
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	18	$14.2K	7,919	7,919	+0	No	+$847	03-03 22:35
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$13.9K	360,427	232,725	+127,701	No	-$1,918	07-08 18:42
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	4	$11.9K	10,047	10,047	+0	Yes	+$7,946	05-06 20:59
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$11.6K	57,674	57,663	+11	No	-$6,707	07-12 16:41
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	22	$11.5K	615,512	240,129	+375,383	No	-$5,338	07-03 01:46
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	14	$10.4K	24,319	23,856	+463	No	-$996	04-28 20:55
trump renames ai by september 30	18	$10.2K	10,523	10,523	+0	Yes	-$965	09-29 14:41
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	2	$8.4K	6,197	6,080	+117	Yes	+$3,898	04-14 21:07
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	4	$8.3K	7,697	14,863	-7,166	Yes	-$4,848	01-22 15:45
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-10?	9	$8.0K	9,771	9,771	+0	No	+$5,624	05-10 17:48
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-14?	10	$8.0K	14,347	14,347	+0	No	+$483	05-14 18:50
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02?	3	$7.4K	6,250	6,250	+0	Yes	+$3,941	11-02 21:53
Will Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	7	$7.0K	5,954	5,954	+0	Yes	+$3,549	05-14 19:55
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	8	$7.0K	8,514	3,261	+5,254	Yes	-$465	04-08 18:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$6.9K	24,569	24,569	+0	open	—	06-12 00:52
fl1 psg lyo 2026 04 19 draw	4	$6.5K	20,630	20,142	+488	No	-$2,289	04-19 20:34
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?	2	$6.0K	6,383	6,383	+0	Yes	+$0	05-13 19:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$5.8K	15,325	15,325	-0	open	—	05-26 12:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	3	$5.8K	4,257	4,257	+0	No	+$492	05-28 14:25
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	6	$5.6K	6,635	6,635	+0	Yes	-$288	04-14 11:55
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$5.4K	5,612	5,612	+0	Yes	+$233	01-24 22:08
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	5	$5.4K	4,643	4,643	+0	Yes	+$2,764	06-14 21:51
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 draw	5	$5.3K	6,176	6,022	+154	No	+$3,233	04-15 20:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	3	$5.3K	3,931	3,931	+0	No	+$278	05-10 22:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 14:24:58	Will Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,852	27¢	$500	0x5ce49b…
11-05 14:21:36	Will FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,000	25¢	$500	0x6e5667…
11-05 14:18:52	Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3,571	7¢	$250	0xc26522…
11-05 14:18:16	Will Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,710	9¢	$250	0x6bf173…
11-04 17:16:10	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	903	81¢	$732	0x701b44…
11-04 13:35:03	Will FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3,846	26¢	$1,000	0x37d26e…
11-04 13:31:16	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	903	28¢	$250	0x9dd7a0…
11-04 13:30:34	Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	3,226	31¢	$1,000	0x47626a…
11-03 21:54:10	Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,923	100¢	$1,921	0x9c075d…
11-03 18:05:54	Will Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,371	21¢	$500	0x8c8674…
11-03 18:05:45	Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,923	26¢	$500	0xe480af…
11-03 17:48:54	Will Esteghlal FC Tehran vs. Al-Shamal end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	967	3¢	$32	0xfeb2d8…
11-03 17:48:19	Will FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,923	25¢	$481	0x673e6f…
11-03 17:17:25	Will Al Hussein Irbid vs. Al Shorta SC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,775	9¢	$163	0x446910…
11-03 15:58:15	Will Al Hussein Irbid vs. Al Shorta SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,775	31¢	$550	0xda8746…
11-03 15:54:22	Will Esteghlal FC Tehran vs. Al-Shamal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,994	31¢	$625	0x0a0e1e…
11-03 15:10:49	Will FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,923	26¢	$500	0x45baa6…
11-02 23:08:28	Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. Santos FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,626	21¢	$550	0x7f221b…
11-02 23:07:06	Will Santos FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	4,063	13¢	$534	0x308ef8…
11-02 23:06:22	Will Santos FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	1,027	22¢	$226	0x83e075…
11-02 22:01:55	Will Santos FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	893	28¢	$250	0xaf0d2d…
11-02 22:01:10	Will Santos FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	2,143	28¢	$600	0x6e44ef…
11-02 21:53:58	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	6,250	91¢	$5,691	0x00b2ee…
11-02 20:21:31	Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Haifa FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,051	10¢	$100	0x3f7e07…
11-02 20:18:37	Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Haifa FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2,506	8¢	$196	0x146ffe…
11-02 19:49:07	Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Haifa FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,506	20¢	$500	0xdcc9ae…
11-02 19:37:33	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	893	28¢	$250	0xacbe26…
11-02 19:34:34	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	5,357	28¢	$1,500	0xd4d6aa…
11-02 19:28:34	Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Haifa FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3,750	7¢	$263	0x235b61…
11-02 19:28:25	Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	1,154	100¢	$1,153	0xb4652d…
11-02 17:29:07	Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	1,154	52¢	$600	0x9deb4e…
11-02 17:26:43	Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	2,128	51¢	$1,085	0x2b6059…
11-02 16:10:25	Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	2,128	47¢	$1,000	0xefb0ea…
11-02 16:00:58	Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Haifa FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3,750	27¢	$1,000	0x722f88…
11-01 20:25:07	Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4,167	9¢	$375	0xb8715b…
11-01 19:18:51	Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,732	29¢	$500	0xda1a6b…
11-01 19:15:24	Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4,167	24¢	$1,000	0x9b5c30…
11-01 18:13:21	Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x60fe84…
11-01 18:11:07	Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,190	21¢	$250	0x0d8ff3…
11-01 18:05:13	Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2,242	22¢	$493	0xfb7720…
11-01 18:04:55	Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	79	23¢	$18	0x933904…
11-01 15:59:00	Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	750	20¢	$150	0x21a8ae…
11-01 15:58:22	Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,500	20¢	$500	0x160339…
11-01 15:58:07	Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,321	28¢	$650	0x00db35…
11-01 15:50:18	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	1,038	95¢	$986	0x944d17…
11-01 14:54:25	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	1,038	53¢	$550	0x4f935b…
10-31 21:58:06	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	339	100¢	$338	0x2b9dd8…
10-31 21:37:07	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xfb513e…
10-31 20:32:42	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	160	30¢	$48	0x834e43…
10-31 19:43:28	Will Coritiba FBC vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,316	38¢	$500	0x13d9d3…
10-31 19:43:01	Will EC Vitória win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	SELL	2,174	19¢	$414	0x72dadb…
10-31 19:18:00	Will EC Vitória win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	2,174	23¢	$500	0x7d2563…
10-31 19:01:24	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5,158	68¢	$3,500	0xdbc367…
10-31 16:51:40	Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,667	8¢	$133	0xd72a2c…
10-31 15:42:33	Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,667	30¢	$500	0x5a7c8a…
10-31 15:40:51	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	1,786	28¢	$500	0xcba01f…
10-28 23:36:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	532	47¢	$250	0x7b01a2…
10-28 23:34:37	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	17,954	44¢	$7,901	0xe72c19…
10-28 21:18:31	Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2,083	80¢	$1,661	0x7d124e…
10-28 19:24:49	Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,083	24¢	$500	0xe73e5d…
10-28 19:18:43	Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,230	91¢	$1,113	0xb3c2cc…
10-28 19:18:08	Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	304	87¢	$265	0x14a637…
10-28 19:08:37	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	1,055	88¢	$928	0x64f618…
10-28 18:35:35	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	246	61¢	$150	0x35aeda…
10-28 17:49:10	Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,251	20¢	$250	0x14a0c0…
10-28 17:48:52	Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,535	33¢	$500	0x7dbe13…
10-28 17:48:28	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	809	69¢	$555	0x040781…
10-28 17:45:20	Will Chelsea FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,474	10¢	$250	0x8ee4df…
10-28 17:36:16	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	1,053	57¢	$600	0xd0ce09…
10-28 09:23:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,222	45¢	$1,000	0xc017f3…
10-23 20:48:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,448	29¢	$1,000	0x5d29af…
10-22 09:45:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	19,213	26¢	$4,995	0xc9fbae…
10-14 16:49:52	Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,083	23¢	$479	0x134fd2…
10-14 16:49:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,658	30¢	$497	0x2fe47a…
10-13 20:54:39	Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Ilias Bulaid	BUY	1,380	55¢	$759	0x0ef4f4…
10-13 11:35:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,384	32¢	$443	0x511e8a…
10-13 11:29:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,562	32¢	$500	0xfafca5…
10-06 15:39:00	Will Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	959	32¢	$307	0x865167…
10-06 15:36:54	Will Jordan vs. Venezuela end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,174	28¢	$329	0x1c2b9b…
10-06 15:34:41	Will Jordan vs. Venezuela end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,174	29¢	$340	0x1fb057…
10-06 15:27:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,778	36¢	$1,000	0xe5d38d…
10-06 15:26:12	Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	1,621	84¢	$1,362	0x466940…
10-06 14:14:51	Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	1,621	24¢	$389	0x5bc65d…
10-06 14:13:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,143	35¢	$400	0x5366c0…
10-05 22:57:37	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,294	36¢	$1,186	0xea739f…
10-05 22:53:10	Will Cuba vs. St. Kitts and Nevis end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	326	100¢	$326	0x005c91…
10-05 22:47:49	Will Cuba vs. St. Kitts and Nevis end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	697	76¢	$530	0xa414cb…
10-05 21:59:16	Will Cuba vs. St. Kitts and Nevis end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,023	29¢	$300	0x0175a8…
10-05 21:54:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,778	36¢	$1,000	0x21346a…
10-05 21:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	215	100¢	$215	0x498995…
10-05 21:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	833	3¢	$25	0x8941db…
10-05 21:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	215	46¢	$100	0x662fca…
10-05 21:22:04	Will Montenegro vs. Armenia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,563	100¢	$1,561	0x6c7c88…
10-05 18:19:35	Will Montenegro vs. Armenia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,563	20¢	$313	0x384682…
10-05 18:16:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	938	35¢	$328	0x30f9b4…
10-05 17:52:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	6,069	36¢	$2,185	0x772c94…
10-05 17:49:11	Will Cyprus vs. Latvia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2,413	91¢	$2,194	0x76a4ba…
10-05 16:54:26	Will Latvia win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	1,202	10¢	$120	0xdd1458…
10-05 16:53:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	354	35¢	$124	0x7a7672…
10-05 16:52:52	Will Latvia win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	2,461	10¢	$246	0xdbc9bd…