Funny-Mustard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$584

Unrealized P&L

-$508

Hit rate

90.7%

Resolved

226

Trades

3,710

lifetime

Volume

$274.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

$2.44K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-13 16:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

80% 63% +$939

Sports

18% 59% -$364

Politics

2% 71% +$8

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+27,451	$2,402	4¢	$961	-$1,442	11-13 16:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+1,000	$425	42¢	$415	-$10	11-12 15:42
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+3,000	$369	6¢	$195	-$174	11-09 06:10
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+1,050	$207	16¢	$173	-$34	10-13 19:18
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+1,150	$306	14¢	$155	-$151	10-03 04:41
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+1,100	$182	12¢	$138	-$44	10-13 19:18
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+1,100	$208	12¢	$137	-$70	10-13 19:16
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+1,148	$164	10¢	$109	-$55	11-13 09:10
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+600	$143	18¢	$108	-$35	10-03 04:53
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+2,240	-$1,474	2¢	$39	+$1,513	11-12 07:51
Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	+61	$10	8¢	$5	-$6	10-20 03:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	509	$88.3K	272,287	270,047	+2,240	open	—	11-12 07:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	101	$26.5K	27,781	27,781	+0	Yes	+$21	09-29 18:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	282	$22.3K	72,241	44,790	+27,451	open	—	11-13 16:38
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	38	$18.3K	10,553	10,553	+0	Yes	+$1,039	07-17 13:46
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	146	$12.1K	40,398	40,398	+0	No	+$735	07-15 19:29
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	114	$7.8K	23,585	23,585	+0	Yes	+$611	07-11 17:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	34	$7.1K	18,664	18,664	+0	open	—	11-09 19:54
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	168	$5.9K	50,779	50,779	+0	No	+$303	07-06 14:12
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-21?	23	$5.0K	2,519	2,519	+0	Yes	+$57	10-21 20:37
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	59	$4.7K	25,743	25,743	+0	No	+$50	07-05 22:24
will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	50	$4.4K	5,298	5,198	+100	No	+$49	06-27 07:57
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	52	$3.9K	60,900	60,900	+0	No	-$1,888	07-05 22:03
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?	68	$3.9K	4,290	3,990	+300	No	+$202	06-24 18:29
Fed rate hike in 2026?	9	$3.7K	2,647	2,647	+0	Yes	+$27	09-04 10:11
over 25m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325651	9	$3.2K	1,647	1,647	+0	Yes	+$115	07-15 03:25
over 20m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325650	7	$2.4K	1,250	1,250	+0	Yes	+$89	07-14 04:33
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	53	$2.4K	4,773	4,773	+0	No	+$293	07-14 20:51
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	94	$2.1K	19,488	19,488	+0	No	+$114	06-29 13:23
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-10-14?	9	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	+$58	10-14 20:09
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?	23	$1.9K	1,155	1,155	+0	open	—	06-22 20:39
over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	44	$1.8K	1,541	1,541	+0	Yes	+$328	07-17 15:58
will ng reach 3 40 in july 2026	37	$1.8K	3,780	1,611	+2,169	No	-$420	07-30 18:02
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-10-22?	7	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$50	10-22 20:34
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22?	45	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$170	10-22 19:29
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	77	$1.5K	3,400	3,400	+0	No	+$101	10-23 07:15
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in August?	64	$1.1K	1,394	1,394	+0	No	+$126	08-27 01:04
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	2	$1.1K	560	560	+0	Yes	+$57	01-10 08:10
will trump speak to mark carney in june	9	$1.0K	541	541	+0	Yes	+$32	06-15 18:29
will ng dip to 3 00 in july 2026	24	$999	994	994	+0	Yes	+$48	07-09 13:26
Will AZ win on 2026-10-22?	6	$986	500	500	+0	Yes	+$13	10-22 18:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 16:38:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$34	0xe8c0f1…
11-13 09:10:16	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	364	8¢	$29	0x90571d…
11-13 03:24:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$32	0x452d41…
11-12 21:58:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$14	0xc895e3…
11-12 18:24:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xffb958…
11-12 18:24:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	109	2¢	$2	0x701740…
11-12 18:24:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xb5fb9c…
11-12 18:23:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x14e2e1…
11-12 18:23:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x906281…
11-12 18:23:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xc4e1b1…
11-12 18:22:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x1699a3…
11-12 18:22:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xe42331…
11-12 15:42:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	115	42¢	$48	0x0a40af…
11-12 14:38:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	85	42¢	$36	0xf9cf88…
11-12 14:38:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	42¢	$126	0x1d7578…
11-12 14:22:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x55be79…
11-12 14:07:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x52cfdf…
11-12 14:07:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9f9a46…
11-12 14:06:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xc91c56…
11-12 14:06:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	450	43¢	$193	0x6e7337…
11-12 07:51:16	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$9	0x1f03d2…
11-10 13:44:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,000	2¢	$72	0x15e5fe…
11-10 13:01:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0xc475ae…
11-10 09:57:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0xdf0341…
11-10 09:54:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	8¢	$160	0xa4c6ea…
11-10 09:38:36	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x36f12e…
11-10 09:38:36	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x23e35f…
11-10 09:38:34	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	13¢	$4	0x216ef2…
11-10 09:23:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	9¢	$180	0x89fee7…
11-10 09:21:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0xe8bba2…
11-10 09:21:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	920	12¢	$110	0xdac045…
11-10 09:21:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	10¢	$200	0xd94c31…
11-10 09:21:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0x62f55c…
11-10 09:20:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	208	13¢	$27	0xc23427…
11-10 09:20:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0x9450f1…
11-10 09:20:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x944ecd…
11-10 09:20:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	449	13¢	$58	0x8d6ed3…
11-10 09:20:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	13¢	$32	0x56fd5c…
11-10 09:11:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	14¢	$56	0xfc2d8f…
11-10 09:07:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0xff5971…
11-10 09:07:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	14¢	$11	0xdbe239…
11-10 09:07:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	285	14¢	$40	0xaf9245…
11-10 09:07:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xa18c3a…
11-10 09:07:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	364	14¢	$51	0x7f3fbd…
11-10 09:07:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	49	14¢	$7	0x5cd6fd…
11-10 09:07:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x995057…
11-10 09:07:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x3b1b1d…
11-10 09:02:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	95	16¢	$15	0xe02567…
11-10 09:02:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0xd4ff90…
11-10 09:02:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xc714aa…
11-10 09:02:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	16¢	$13	0xadd159…
11-10 09:02:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x82c559…
11-10 09:02:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x455013…
11-10 09:02:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x21aaef…
11-10 09:02:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x1a2e2b…
11-10 09:02:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x7bb53c…
11-10 09:02:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	163	16¢	$26	0x630e82…
11-10 09:02:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x571858…
11-10 09:02:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	354	16¢	$57	0x9e3edc…
11-10 09:02:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	16¢	$5	0x92e107…
11-10 09:02:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x49e0b3…
11-10 09:01:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	18¢	$180	0x86dc61…
11-09 20:19:34	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xf957f9…
11-09 20:19:34	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xe0ad22…
11-09 19:54:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4,164	16¢	$666	0x0c82e5…
11-09 19:50:51	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x4002b4…
11-09 19:34:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x0361cd…
11-09 19:10:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x210e58…
11-09 18:51:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xf78901…
11-09 18:44:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	17¢	$6	0xb74192…
11-09 18:38:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x45dd1c…
11-09 18:20:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	73	17¢	$12	0x2f9898…
11-09 18:14:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	18¢	$4	0xe0b163…
11-09 18:09:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	439	18¢	$79	0x1d8388…
11-09 16:49:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	19¢	$380	0x766e3c…
11-09 12:29:00	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x66ba3e…
11-09 11:18:12	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x2a4f59…
11-09 06:10:45	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0xa2704c…
11-08 06:47:54	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x460b35…
11-08 06:47:46	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x5f11e7…
11-07 14:37:01	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x60f020…
11-06 21:39:09	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x4f8cb3…
11-06 16:26:54	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	481	2¢	$12	0xad7b89…
11-06 16:00:19	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x9f10c4…
11-06 15:54:25	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x803370…
11-06 13:33:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xa9928f…
11-06 13:33:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x1ef677…
11-06 13:32:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xa2ab99…
11-06 13:32:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x3e380a…
11-06 13:32:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x2ca652…
11-06 13:31:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	332	20¢	$66	0xc6e1e3…
11-06 13:31:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	281	20¢	$56	0x6475d0…
11-06 13:30:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	37	20¢	$7	0x586a43…
11-06 13:30:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	350	20¢	$70	0x9fa276…
11-06 09:37:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	29¢	$290	0xd41817…
11-06 09:31:52	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x018bfd…
11-06 09:31:46	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0x772c2d…
11-06 08:12:34	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x17e1fc…
11-06 08:08:39	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xa0fc1b…
11-05 21:04:27	Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x3fcb84…