Substantial-Graph 0x2e87ce…243534
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
98.7%
Resolved
3
Trades
439
lifetime
Volume
$19.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$22
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 07-01 05:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
94% 67% +$1
Other
6% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +65 $16 16¢ $10 $-6 06-15 19:43
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +35 $9 18¢ $6 $-3 05-31 19:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +30 $3 10¢ $3 $-1 06-25 07:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 06-05 06:00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-05 05:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 82¢ $-1 $-0 06-25 07:09
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +10 $1 6¢ $1 $-1 05-29 19:29