(anonymous) 0x2e8f0e…2a5a92 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$81
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
33.9%
Resolved
22
Trades
53
lifetime
Volume
$222
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$72
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 09-17 15:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Politics
56% 46% -$20
Other
42% 0% -$58
Sports
2% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +15 $10 56¢ $8 -$2 09-17 15:11
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 09-17 15:12
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +7 $5 90¢ $6 +$1 09-17 15:12
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +6 $5 95¢ $6 +$1 09-17 15:12
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 09-17 15:09
USMCA extended in 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 09-17 15:08
Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? No +7 $5 77¢ $5 +$0 09-17 15:11
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 09-17 15:08
Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? No +5 $5 88¢ $5 $0 09-17 15:09
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +8 $5 54¢ $4 -$1 09-17 15:10
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +8 $5 51¢ $4 -$1 09-17 15:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -3 -$3 97¢ $-3 $0 07-14 19:10
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +25 $2 7¢ $2 $0 09-17 15:17
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +15 $2 10¢ $1 -$1 09-17 15:16
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +12 $2 11¢ $1 -$1 09-17 15:16
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +10 $4 12¢ $1 -$3 09-17 15:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 09-17 15:18
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 09-17 15:18
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $1 12¢ $1 $0 09-17 15:16
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 $0 09-17 15:13