Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$551

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-08-13

last 11-09 07:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 75% +$8

Tech

7% — —

Other

7% 25% $0

Politics

6% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+5	$3	46¢	$2	-$1	10-24 15:12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	+2	$2	97¢	$2	+$0	10-24 14:42
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Yes	+21	$2	4¢	$1	-$1	10-30 13:12
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	+19	$2	4¢	$1	-$1	10-29 21:11
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	+1	$1	10¢	$0	-$1	10-14 09:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$39	29	29	+0	open	—	09-16 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$30	39	0	+39	Up	+$9	10-28 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$30	33	0	+33	Down	+$3	10-28 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$20	26	0	+26	Up	-$20	10-28 14:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	2	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	10-28 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$20	24	0	+24	Down	+$4	10-28 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	4	$19	21	21	+0	Down	-$1	11-05 17:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	6	$15	20	15	+5	open	—	10-24 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$15	19	0	+19	Up	+$4	10-28 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$15	18	0	+18	Down	+$3	10-27 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	10-28 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	10-28 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	Down	+$3	10-28 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	10-28 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	10-28 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	Down	+$3	10-27 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	Down	+$3	10-28 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	-$10	10-28 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	10-28 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	10-29 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	10-27 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	10-27 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	10-29 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	10-28 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	10-27 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	-$10	10-29 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	10-27 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	10-28 14:17
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-09-20?	2	$10	0	20	-20	No	$0	09-20 08:28
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	8	$10	32	32	+0	open	—	09-06 06:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 07:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x048326…
11-09 07:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb69b06…
11-09 07:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9fb4d6…
11-09 07:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8209d9…
11-09 07:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a57de…
11-09 07:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc23f59…
11-09 07:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc021d0…
11-09 06:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc9bf36…
11-06 12:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x40be53…
11-05 17:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0xfe2c92…
11-05 17:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x684e4f…
11-05 16:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x1746e6…
11-05 16:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7267e3…
11-05 14:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2b2882…
10-30 13:12:04	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x3f1f88…
10-30 01:54:00	HYPE Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	1	58¢	$0	0x25afdf…
10-29 21:45:34	HYPE Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x825489…
10-29 21:14:06	HYPE Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8aec94…
10-29 21:11:34	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0xcc5366…
10-29 17:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf32f14…
10-29 17:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xad6e81…
10-29 06:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x9ba33d…
10-29 06:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf592f5…
10-29 06:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x972fac…
10-28 21:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x9a89c9…
10-28 14:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x6939e6…
10-28 14:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa3f77a…
10-28 14:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdf4a53…
10-28 14:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x43a35f…
10-28 14:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xeb0ebd…
10-28 13:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xb4d9e1…
10-28 13:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xaaac98…
10-28 11:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x81f80c…
10-28 11:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xd3c41e…
10-28 11:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xbe1a64…
10-28 10:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xa005da…
10-28 10:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xaf56c1…
10-28 10:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x08d1dc…
10-28 09:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x33216d…
10-28 09:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xb53b04…
10-28 09:19:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa0489c…
10-28 09:17:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x9d104b…
10-28 09:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xb12fe2…
10-28 08:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x595eb4…
10-27 13:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xc73109…
10-27 13:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xde4e9f…
10-27 13:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x3e5408…
10-27 13:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x4e52f6…
10-27 13:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x180e8e…
10-27 13:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x09d83d…
10-27 13:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf41ea2…
10-27 13:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0d4870…
10-27 12:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x0fc13f…
10-27 12:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x44d402…
10-27 12:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xbf2d75…
10-27 12:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xc3b2f3…
10-27 12:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x39c5d4…
10-27 12:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x032779…
10-27 12:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x82db85…
10-26 13:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x01ab54…
10-24 15:12:30	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0be5ec…
10-24 15:09:47	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x7ac2d6…
10-24 15:08:17	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xdca3c8…
10-24 14:42:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x282f24…
10-24 14:33:09	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa0bd8a…
10-24 14:25:03	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x98df1d…
10-24 14:24:47	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x23f6bf…
10-24 14:24:20	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x213dde…
10-24 07:58:53	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x02a4e7…
10-17 14:56:44	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x39d742…
10-14 09:48:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x0b9756…
10-14 09:08:14	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe29576…
10-14 06:44:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xcb5fcb…
10-11 10:02:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb18c04…
09-28 05:52:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x96b705…
09-23 15:49:07	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x30138d…
09-23 15:40:08	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1a4916…
09-20 08:28:39	Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x7d350c…
09-20 08:28:24	Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-09-20?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x9ab4ef…
09-20 06:32:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x62b312…
09-17 13:11:21	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xc0d13b…
09-17 13:10:28	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x54fcc5…
09-17 13:01:33	Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat?	No	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x62d4da…
09-17 12:45:45	Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8e4063…
09-16 12:47:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	29	68¢	$20	0x90cc02…
09-16 12:42:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xcc2fde…
09-16 01:24:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa5a41c…
09-15 12:59:55	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x82d8ca…
09-15 12:59:18	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	23	19¢	$4	0xfb2f3a…
09-15 09:34:03	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x4d0943…
09-06 06:39:37	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x3db1a0…
09-06 06:39:04	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0x8f3cf4…
08-28 07:23:01	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe8d314…
08-28 06:32:16	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0xd68f4e…
08-27 09:39:28	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0849cc…
08-22 12:29:25	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0xfd1887…
08-18 09:13:10	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf4dc0c…
08-18 09:12:51	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x4e3c89…
08-18 08:14:28	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x7ffebf…
08-18 08:05:45	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdb4e2b…