Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$635

Unrealized P&L

+$22

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

Trades

419

lifetime

Volume

$7.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$248

1 position

First seen

2026-03-27

last 07-02 11:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Politics

79% 46% -$404

Other

19% 55% -$211

Crypto

2% 44% -$19

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		-300	-$270	82¢	$-248	+$22	06-14 22:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	45	$894	1,100	1,210	-110	Yes	+$16	04-14 09:12
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	25	$580	530	580	-50	Yes	+$61	04-16 14:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	12	$500	320	425	-105	No	+$21	04-18 02:41
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	16	$426	300	300	+0	No	-$2	04-15 21:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	11	$329	380	380	+0	Yes	+$20	04-13 22:48
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	18	$324	304	304	+0	No	-$18	04-21 21:10
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	8	$307	676	676	+0	Yes	-$76	04-05 06:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	10	$300	370	262	+108	No	+$44	07-02 11:28
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	10	$280	300	140	+160	Yes	+$4	04-09 01:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	10	$272	281	330	-49	No	+$7	04-21 16:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$270	0	300	-300	open	—	06-14 22:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	12	$263	220	220	+0	No	+$9	04-17 06:08
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$254	859	859	+0	Yes	-$251	04-05 06:43
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	4	$253	100	200	-100	No	-$10	04-14 23:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$242	258	100	+158	No	-$72	04-22 00:25
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	10	$166	224	224	+0	No	-$14	04-21 19:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$163	115	115	+0	Yes	+$16	04-07 22:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	5	$149	779	779	+0	Yes	-$3	04-08 00:09
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	6	$102	90	90	+0	No	-$21	04-19 12:47
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	8	$98	157	187	-30	Yes	-$77	04-15 18:34
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	9	$94	200	0	+200	No	-$94	04-18 12:09
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	11	$88	350	0	+350	No	-$88	06-28 09:12
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$87	54	54	+0	Yes	-$1	04-19 19:59
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	11	$81	140	120	+20	No	+$8	04-20 16:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	9	$81	130	130	+0	Yes	-$12	06-19 13:17
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$81	66	66	+0	Yes	+$20	04-07 22:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$80	138	138	+0	Yes	+$0	04-08 20:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$79	117	117	+0	Yes	+$9	03-31 17:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	21	$64	370	372	-2	No	-$1	04-21 06:03
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$62	125	0	+125	No	-$62	04-21 13:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 11:28:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x5b870f…
07-01 19:09:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x09e6dc…
06-28 09:12:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x3e580c…
06-27 21:50:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x1d4ee1…
06-27 16:34:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xb417d4…
06-26 23:53:10	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	70	50¢	$35	0x978d53…
06-26 13:50:15	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	70	17¢	$12	0xdb3fc2…
06-25 22:04:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xac5847…
06-25 13:38:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x3fbfea…
06-25 13:38:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	160	71¢	$114	0x206144…
06-25 12:16:02	Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x486410…
06-25 08:15:52	Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x016a28…
06-25 08:10:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0xb30dcf…
06-24 17:32:37	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	11	79¢	$9	0x1e0195…
06-24 12:42:19	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	29	79¢	$23	0xe5392d…
06-23 12:48:02	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xf22457…
06-23 12:37:29	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xaeac2e…
06-23 12:15:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x98cbbd…
06-23 12:04:08	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcc5cc2…
06-23 11:54:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$0	0xc84ae4…
06-21 07:26:16	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0xc14696…
06-20 09:32:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	80	5¢	$4	0x1ace41…
06-19 15:48:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xf67f3d…
06-19 14:38:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	60	43¢	$26	0x5057ce…
06-19 14:25:32	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$11	0xecd719…
06-19 13:55:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0xbfa9a9…
06-19 13:55:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0x7768fb…
06-19 13:39:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x621869…
06-19 13:17:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	80	32¢	$26	0x7e78d0…
06-18 20:57:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0xe9ff7c…
06-18 20:57:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x583209…
06-18 20:56:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	24	52¢	$13	0x8e5dcc…
06-18 20:56:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x0e52f5…
06-18 20:55:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3ca7fb…
06-18 13:41:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	44	18¢	$8	0x66ae8d…
06-18 13:41:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x150cd0…
06-16 00:30:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc219c1…
06-14 22:43:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	262	90¢	$236	0xa93416…
06-14 22:36:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	38	90¢	$34	0x4b809f…
06-14 21:13:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x53b388…
06-14 21:13:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x415852…
06-14 21:10:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x65f50c…
06-14 21:02:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0x2535f8…
06-14 20:59:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14	Yes	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0xfd49b9…
06-14 13:49:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x753d39…
06-14 02:11:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xd2b5fd…
06-13 18:16:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x3e27c8…
06-13 18:11:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x7aca4d…
06-13 17:59:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x386571…
06-13 17:34:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x44b913…
06-13 16:48:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0x917dc7…
06-13 16:46:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	120	23¢	$28	0x697fcf…
06-12 15:08:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	57	36¢	$20	0xee5447…
06-12 15:07:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x886334…
06-12 15:07:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x8525ac…
06-12 15:07:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x83047a…
06-12 15:07:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x59c550…
06-12 15:07:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x4742bc…
06-12 15:07:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x073a96…
06-12 15:07:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x2a636f…
06-12 15:07:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xea76ea…
06-12 15:07:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xcc49d2…
06-12 15:07:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x6a3ec5…
06-12 15:07:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x4c6b8b…
06-12 15:07:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x337f54…
06-12 15:07:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x189aba…
06-12 15:07:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xf3387e…
06-12 15:07:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xc4f5d0…
06-12 15:07:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xbe5b0b…
06-12 15:07:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x011ed0…
06-12 13:41:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	60	26¢	$16	0xc264f3…
06-06 10:33:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x5ee985…
06-06 10:25:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2c5f31…
06-06 10:25:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x48691d…
06-04 05:57:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0x62e5bc…
06-01 20:29:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x763b9b…
06-01 14:57:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	120	17¢	$20	0x475f4d…
06-01 14:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x3befd2…
06-01 14:21:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	150	38¢	$57	0xbd26bd…
04-22 00:25:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	158	59¢	$93	0xb0d14f…
04-21 21:10:02	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0x76bff5…
04-21 21:10:00	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xa8dae8…
04-21 21:10:00	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x84dea6…
04-21 21:10:00	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	38	60¢	$23	0x6d1394…
04-21 19:41:22	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	84	80¢	$67	0x3ba7ab…
04-21 19:38:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x8f39bd…
04-21 19:38:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	Yes	SELL	105	50¢	$53	0x19d998…
04-21 19:37:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x2fcd6d…
04-21 17:59:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	45	59¢	$26	0x6992b8…
04-21 17:55:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	89	60¢	$53	0x2c85c9…
04-21 16:38:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x242f00…
04-21 16:26:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	21¢	$23	0x8d9e33…
04-21 15:29:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0x477855…
04-21 15:26:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x738167…
04-21 15:26:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x363787…
04-21 15:26:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xbc2c3f…
04-21 15:04:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	59¢	$35	0x2fb6ca…
04-21 14:53:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0x54bf4a…
04-21 13:30:14	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x1bc9b0…
04-21 09:50:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	SELL	80	20¢	$16	0x32092d…