First-Metaphor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

85.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$123

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-20 06:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 91% +$5

Other

31% 100% +$3

Sports

17% 100% +$2

Politics

6% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No		+6	$6	100¢	$6	$0	10-07 09:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	2	$802	410	410	+0	No	+$2	07-06 05:54
will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	2	$675	437	238	+199	No	$0	01-15 07:46
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	1	$417	419	0	+419	No	+$2	02-02 14:56
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	1	$409	410	0	+410	No	+$1	06-07 14:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	1	$402	404	0	+404	No	+$2	04-06 14:29
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	05-08 12:52
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$374	376	0	+376	No	+$2	03-04 07:59
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$290	232	58	+174	No	+$0	01-22 05:13
trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	2	$270	136	136	+0	No	+$1	08-10 16:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	3	$250	126	126	+0	open	—	10-20 06:12
will solana reach 140 in july 2026	1	$141	141	0	+141	No	+$0	07-27 12:22
Will Solana reach $200 in September?	1	$106	107	0	+107	No	+$1	09-16 07:35
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$61	61	0	+61	No	+$0	01-22 05:14
Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	08-21 09:43
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	02-02 14:58
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	03-21 15:54
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	06-21 14:43
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	03-21 15:54
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	06-14 07:33
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-22 13:34
will xagusd dip to 55 by june 29 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	07-03 09:38
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	09-16 07:38
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	08-21 09:45
Will BNB dip to $300 in May?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-15 13:22
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-21 06:57
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	03-04 08:00
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	10-07 09:27
will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in august 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	08-21 09:44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	08-02 12:15
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-15 13:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 06:12:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2a88c7…
10-20 06:04:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x21f95c…
10-07 09:27:51	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x91ce9b…
10-07 09:26:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0xc22968…
09-16 07:38:07	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe2f4d3…
09-16 07:37:07	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in september 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x899224…
09-16 07:35:57	Will Solana reach $200 in September?	No	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0x839ab6…
08-21 09:45:16	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x065774…
08-21 09:44:30	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x498d14…
08-21 09:43:52	Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xad29f4…
08-10 16:46:51	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	136	100¢	$135	0x208984…
08-02 12:15:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x66e143…
08-02 12:14:21	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	136	99¢	$135	0x7bb596…
07-27 12:22:46	will solana reach 140 in july 2026	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xf34633…
07-06 05:54:05	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	410	98¢	$402	0xff6cd5…
07-03 09:38:32	will xagusd dip to 55 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6d6b0f…
07-03 09:35:59	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	410	98¢	$400	0x52a858…
06-21 14:43:01	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x25db06…
06-14 07:33:19	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf0bba3…
06-07 14:26:16	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	410	100¢	$409	0xed92ce…
05-22 13:34:01	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x75970c…
05-15 13:23:35	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x607437…
05-15 13:22:39	Will BNB dip to $300 in May?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6cf7c7…
05-08 12:52:40	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xabc691…
04-21 06:57:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe63447…
04-06 14:29:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	404	100¢	$402	0x968bd8…
03-21 15:54:55	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbf7f10…
03-21 15:54:09	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2f98b7…
03-04 08:01:39	will iran strike bahrain in march	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe1e98c…
03-04 08:00:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9b45af…
03-04 07:59:03	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	376	100¢	$374	0xde2995…
02-02 14:58:18	Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x954c25…
02-02 14:56:56	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	419	100¢	$417	0xa82551…
01-22 05:14:02	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xb43ce1…
01-22 05:13:38	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x577b0c…
01-15 07:47:24	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	232	100¢	$232	0xd2cda4…
01-15 07:46:34	will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	No	SELL	238	100¢	$238	0x8d40e7…
01-13 13:57:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xbde1e2…
01-13 13:56:49	will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	No	BUY	437	100¢	$437	0xcaeb31…