Key-Vermicelli — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

93.8%

Resolved

Trades

400

lifetime

Volume

$7.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$71

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-22 12:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

60% — —

Crypto

39% 100% +$4

Politics

1% 0% $-10

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+36	$30	84¢	$31	+$1	06-07 03:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+21	$20	96¢	$20	+$0	05-30 12:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+21	$20	96¢	$20	+$0	05-30 12:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 380 399	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	04-07 14:43
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 440 459	2	$80	80	+80	open	—	04-04 03:09
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$60	61	+61	open	—	04-26 12:41
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	04-02 15:33
bitcoin above 82k on february 1	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-01 12:58
bitcoin above 68k on march 28	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-28 13:07
bitcoin above 68k on march 5	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-05 12:35
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 340 359	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	04-07 14:42
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 180 199	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	04-01 13:51
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 580plus	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-11 12:56
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 380 399	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	02-25 13:50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-26 12:41
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	02-01 12:59
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 160 179	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-28 13:08
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	04-26 12:40
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 340 359	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-29 14:44
bitcoin above 68k on april 9	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-09 13:54
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-26 12:40
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 360 379	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-01 13:50
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 400 419	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-09 13:57
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 400 419	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-28 13:08
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 220 239	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	02-18 03:22
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 360 379	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-07 14:43
bitcoin above 72k on march 22	2	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-22 08:04
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 480 499	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-28 13:09
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-15 14:55
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 500 519	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-18 03:22
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 165 189	2	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-04 03:10
bitcoin above 72k on february 25	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	02-25 13:49
bitcoin above 66k on february 22	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	02-22 12:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 12:13:05	bitcoin above 68k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb6d258…
06-22 12:12:49	bitcoin above 66k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x01ce80…
06-21 12:44:41	bitcoin above 66k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x47a1b9…
06-17 15:35:02	bitcoin above 70k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd4bd44…
06-17 15:34:53	bitcoin above 68k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x244285…
06-14 08:54:03	lol tes blg 2026 06 14	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x8d6888…
06-12 14:41:37	bitcoin above 64k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x2144d4…
06-10 14:23:36	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb60f2a…
06-09 12:19:42	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x994fbb…
06-07 03:10:15	will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x505003…
06-07 03:08:48	bitcoin above 66k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x8eeee3…
06-07 03:08:39	bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x671a76…
06-07 03:06:40	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x0a21a0…
06-07 03:03:37	bitcoin above 64k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x458152…
06-04 12:04:30	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x759492…
06-03 10:43:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x422882…
06-03 10:43:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd44f57…
06-02 13:22:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x8dac80…
06-01 12:26:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb81bf1…
05-30 12:55:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x263095…
05-30 12:55:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xa17aab…
05-30 12:53:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4634bd…
05-30 12:53:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x7de31b…
05-28 12:08:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4b2fa8…
05-27 13:40:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d1092…
05-26 13:32:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x637356…
05-26 13:32:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8df63c…
05-25 12:20:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xbf89c4…
05-24 15:15:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb53055…
05-24 15:15:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa9c6c8…
05-23 13:40:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5a0e5f…
05-21 15:10:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x66182f…
05-20 14:09:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x87aa21…
05-20 14:08:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x8029a1…
05-20 14:08:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbcccda…
05-20 14:01:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x9b9112…
05-19 12:51:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x5f5c82…
05-18 12:22:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xda8a87…
05-16 14:22:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa61295…
05-15 15:03:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x5dc4f9…
05-14 12:54:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x3f774a…
05-13 13:48:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb07fb5…
05-12 12:57:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x3b5709…
05-11 12:11:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xae7bf6…
05-10 13:34:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa7bf2f…
05-08 12:08:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xca2ac8…
05-07 12:52:48	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xb69d96…
05-07 12:51:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x567405…
05-07 12:49:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xc315b7…
05-06 13:58:58	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xc3f347…
05-06 13:58:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xf0a825…
05-06 13:56:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x40db84…
05-05 13:51:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xaa7c95…
05-04 11:40:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x512dfd…
05-03 11:58:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x22ef56…
05-02 10:44:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xaa16ff…
04-29 13:48:02	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x633e92…
04-29 13:47:54	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3d0965…
04-29 13:42:36	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x357f84…
04-26 12:41:32	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x134ea5…
04-26 12:41:24	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb607a7…
04-26 12:41:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x599f32…
04-26 12:40:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xbfc0ad…
04-26 12:40:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xcf70a3…
04-26 12:40:34	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x14b897…
04-26 12:40:20	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x5f0ea6…
04-24 13:21:32	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7e7204…
04-24 13:20:54	bitcoin above 80k on april 24	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6967d6…
04-23 11:46:38	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x438b13…
04-23 11:46:22	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6f740a…
04-23 11:46:14	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x763057…
04-23 11:46:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x69b58b…
04-23 11:45:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7f0cc9…
04-23 11:45:10	bitcoin above 80k on april 23	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x30bbfe…
04-21 13:10:56	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc648eb…
04-21 13:10:46	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x42ec66…
04-21 13:10:32	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x804dec…
04-20 13:02:08	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc4363e…
04-20 13:01:16	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x230cf4…
04-20 13:00:30	bitcoin above 78k on april 20	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x417b30…
04-19 14:14:50	bitcoin above 72k on april 20	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xd7c8a3…
04-18 03:22:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 480 499	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbe0772…
04-18 03:22:18	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 500 519	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdf5f48…
04-18 03:22:06	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3dc6cb…
04-18 03:21:58	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4ef565…
04-18 03:21:38	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6ad746…
04-18 03:21:24	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 380 399	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc22c71…
04-18 03:21:18	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 360 379	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xa0c95f…
04-18 03:21:10	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 380 399	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbe7f28…
04-18 03:20:42	bitcoin above 80k on april 18	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf4f639…
04-17 13:18:22	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 400 419	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfdf8d1…
04-17 13:15:00	bitcoin above 74k on april 17	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb6a36c…
04-17 13:14:52	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7f3e06…
04-16 13:32:20	bitcoin above 74k on april 16	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xec416e…
04-16 13:32:08	bitcoin above 76k on april 16	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6a13e2…
04-15 14:58:08	bitcoin above 74k on april 15	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xaeef69…
04-15 14:56:02	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 420 439	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0fd171…
04-15 14:55:50	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 440 459	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa1ceda…
04-15 14:55:36	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xb4e589…
04-15 14:55:26	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 160 179	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x7b101c…