Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$55

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

4.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

289

303 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$8.95K

$9.18K lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-06 03:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

51% 12% -$39

Politics

41% 20% -$20

Tech

7% 50% $0

Crypto

1% 67% $0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-2	-$2	98¢	$-2	$0	10-03 02:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	14	$781	680	680	+0	open	—	10-06 01:07
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$661	400	400	+0	open	—	10-05 01:03
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	10	$570	600	600	+0	No	-$4	10-02 16:20
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Flare?	7	$404	250	250	+0	No	-$16	10-04 05:18
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?	2	$389	200	200	+0	open	—	10-03 01:14
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	4	$384	200	200	+0	open	—	10-03 09:25
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$351	200	200	+0	open	—	10-05 19:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	4	$348	397	397	+0	Yes	-$8	10-04 21:22
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$248	300	300	+0	Yes	-$1	10-02 18:39
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	6	$243	201	201	+0	open	—	10-05 06:26
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	6	$214	220	220	+0	open	—	10-02 07:24
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	4	$210	237	237	+0	Yes	-$2	10-02 18:45
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	4	$209	160	160	+0	No	$0	10-02 19:29
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	10	$207	200	200	+0	No	-$5	10-03 02:24
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$200	200	200	+0	open	—	10-03 09:17
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	2	$191	100	100	+0	No	-$1	10-05 01:40
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?	6	$190	200	200	+0	No	-$2	10-05 02:34
Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?	2	$189	100	100	+0	open	—	10-02 07:18
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	3	$186	100	100	+0	open	—	10-05 04:46
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?	2	$184	100	100	+0	open	—	10-04 22:45
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$184	100	100	+0	No	$0	04-26 09:44
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	2	$183	200	200	+0	open	—	10-02 17:20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	4	$182	200	200	+0	Yes	-$2	10-02 16:42
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$171	100	100	+0	open	—	10-05 00:41
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	2	$160	100	100	+0	open	—	10-06 03:30
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	6	$147	250	250	+0	No	-$2	10-05 01:34
Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?	4	$121	65	65	+0	open	—	10-04 22:02
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	4	$119	120	120	+0	Yes	+$1	10-03 02:24
Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	10-01 19:51
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$94	100	100	+0	open	—	10-02 07:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 03:30:48	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x3d6c75…
10-06 03:30:45	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x312c39…
10-06 01:07:02	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x222090…
10-06 01:06:59	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x24cca8…
10-05 23:29:56	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x4bb1f4…
10-05 23:29:55	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xa8bdad…
10-05 22:00:44	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x06efa1…
10-05 22:00:43	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x40d2df…
10-05 21:27:17	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x72eafd…
10-05 21:27:16	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x9511ca…
10-05 21:21:49	Will Elon Musk attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x83bffd…
10-05 21:21:47	Will Elon Musk attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0da571…
10-05 20:45:01	Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xc66fca…
10-05 20:44:58	Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x7c5167…
10-05 20:44:58	Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x06d5a2…
10-05 20:27:41	Will the Democratic Party win the SD-AL House seat?	Yes	SELL	80	5¢	$4	0x2c69d9…
10-05 20:27:40	Will the Democratic Party win the SD-AL House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc7d288…
10-05 20:27:40	Will the Democratic Party win the SD-AL House seat?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x910c06…
10-05 19:56:28	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xb68bc4…
10-05 19:56:26	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xf37434…
10-05 08:53:55	Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?	Yes	SELL	87	5¢	$4	0xdbc617…
10-05 08:53:52	Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?	Yes	BUY	61	5¢	$3	0x2d835a…
10-05 08:53:52	Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x15933e…
10-05 07:58:26	Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x5bba6c…
10-05 07:58:23	Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb829b5…
10-05 06:26:10	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	51	59¢	$30	0x9684ec…
10-05 06:26:07	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xb56515…
10-05 04:46:01	Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x2c2b83…
10-05 04:45:59	Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	No	BUY	81	93¢	$76	0x9249a6…
10-05 04:45:59	Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$17	0x02bd46…
10-05 03:59:47	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$29	0x492d9d…
10-05 03:59:46	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x4d82ee…
10-05 02:59:14	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$33	0x6d6b16…
10-05 02:59:13	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$33	0xbe353a…
10-05 02:34:08	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x575efe…
10-05 02:34:01	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x390067…
10-05 01:40:16	Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xd6da51…
10-05 01:40:14	Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x68afda…
10-05 01:34:16	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xb9f02e…
10-05 01:34:14	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x83d559…
10-05 01:03:19	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	200	82¢	$165	0x8f78b6…
10-05 01:03:17	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$165	0x6d57c7…
10-05 00:56:01	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-14 House seat?	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x1e44e1…
10-05 00:55:55	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-14 House seat?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xc9ab9d…
10-05 00:41:32	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0xd40e9a…
10-05 00:41:29	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x6f3e01…
10-04 22:47:56	Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	5¢	$3	0x1496ae…
10-04 22:47:53	Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0xb1b0b3…
10-04 22:45:23	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x4866bb…
10-04 22:45:22	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x9c1cb4…
10-04 22:02:40	Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	45	93¢	$42	0xa11102…
10-04 22:02:37	Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0xd2fbc3…
10-04 21:50:49	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0x3dcd34…
10-04 21:50:46	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x847cd8…
10-04 21:22:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	SELL	197	10¢	$20	0xa753af…
10-04 21:22:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	197	10¢	$20	0x819547…
10-04 21:17:43	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	No	SELL	60	23¢	$14	0xe89b20…
10-04 21:17:40	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	No	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xd8ea16…
10-04 21:06:25	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xbbfc83…
10-04 21:06:23	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x1787ba…
10-04 19:45:56	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0xc3eed1…
10-04 19:45:53	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x588006…
10-04 19:13:28	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x623454…
10-04 19:13:25	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x01fc4e…
10-04 09:40:56	America.gov removed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xffa37d…
10-04 09:40:55	America.gov removed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x6c35fd…
10-04 08:31:01	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	5¢	$3	0x2c0fb0…
10-04 08:30:59	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xffb45a…
10-04 08:30:59	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x3d8b24…
10-04 08:12:40	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	200	82¢	$165	0x488d7e…
10-04 08:12:38	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x661783…
10-04 07:58:16	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x213e68…
10-04 07:58:14	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x1c4efa…
10-04 06:59:56	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0xe23ae4…
10-04 06:59:55	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x4a6d43…
10-04 05:43:20	Will Donald Trump visit North Carolina before the midterms?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xd6279c…
10-04 05:18:22	Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Flare?	No	SELL	45	66¢	$30	0xba99f2…
10-04 05:18:14	Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Flare?	No	SELL	55	75¢	$41	0x1976b4…
10-04 05:18:13	Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Flare?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xa52f2b…
10-04 04:48:26	Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x16e9f3…
10-04 04:48:25	Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x688e45…
10-04 04:36:05	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0xed4d26…
10-04 04:36:04	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x164baf…
10-04 04:31:35	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x0762d0…
10-04 04:31:34	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x27328b…
10-04 04:18:31	Will Donald Trump visit North Carolina before the midterms?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x73dbf7…
10-04 04:09:20	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xe1b6aa…
10-03 09:49:54	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xb9ac14…
10-03 09:32:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0x5b0fb6…
10-03 09:32:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x0b7195…
10-03 09:25:11	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x756e66…
10-03 09:25:09	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x720078…
10-03 09:17:32	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x3a605b…
10-03 09:17:30	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x2133a9…
10-03 08:47:59	Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x182041…
10-03 08:26:27	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0xb5741c…
10-03 08:26:26	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xf38ec1…
10-03 08:23:35	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x2798ea…
10-03 08:23:33	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0xb0a0f4…
10-03 08:06:14	Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x021b0e…