Growling-Jade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$3.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 07-08 12:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% — —

Crypto

24% 92% +$33

Politics

8% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$189	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 04:10
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	2	$160	791	756	+35	open	—	04-06 15:11
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	2	$141	121	119	+2	open	—	04-10 09:07
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	2	$139	78	78	+0	open	—	06-15 16:59
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?	2	$138	74	74	+0	open	—	06-20 06:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$138	70	70	+0	open	—	05-12 16:19
spacex vs tesla higher valuation on june 30	2	$117	60	60	+0	open	—	06-18 04:58
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	2	$116	60	60	+0	open	—	06-18 04:58
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	3	$116	60	60	+0	open	—	06-16 05:19
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	2	$116	62	62	+0	open	—	06-19 05:40
starmer out by july 31 2026	2	$116	60	60	+0	open	—	06-22 04:18
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$112	60	60	+0	open	—	06-16 05:19
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	2	$110	58	58	+0	open	—	07-06 13:01
Human moon landing in 2026?	2	$109	56	56	+0	open	—	06-19 17:24
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	2	$106	54	54	+0	open	—	06-22 16:12
Fed abolished before 2027?	2	$104	53	53	+0	open	—	06-23 10:12
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	2	$103	54	54	+0	open	—	07-08 12:16
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$102	55	55	+0	open	—	07-06 13:01
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	06-20 06:34
NATO dissolves before 2027?	2	$94	49	49	+0	open	—	06-15 16:59
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	2	$94	55	55	+0	open	—	07-08 12:16
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	2	$89	48	48	+0	open	—	06-21 06:08
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	4	$86	488	0	+488	open	—	04-15 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	05-20 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$78	40	40	+0	open	—	05-20 13:41
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	2	$65	140	134	+6	open	—	04-10 09:07
EU dissolves before 2027?	2	$64	66	0	+66	open	—	06-14 16:09
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$56	100	200	-100	open	—	05-11 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	05-19 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$52	30	30	+0	open	—	05-19 16:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 12:16:40	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	SELL	55	77¢	$42	0xd722b6…
07-08 12:16:31	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	SELL	54	94¢	$51	0xf80cbd…
07-07 15:16:38	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x21c12a…
07-07 15:13:37	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x55f012…
07-06 13:01:38	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	91¢	$50	0x4081a5…
07-06 13:01:28	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	58	93¢	$54	0xd33124…
07-04 14:22:50	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0xc42b4b…
07-04 14:22:02	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0x1aa2e4…
06-23 10:12:38	Fed abolished before 2027?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x15d099…
06-22 17:32:13	Fed abolished before 2027?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x65a2a4…
06-22 16:12:04	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0xf43b08…
06-22 05:33:14	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0xead9af…
06-22 04:18:08	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x2c142b…
06-21 15:23:04	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xda5096…
06-21 06:08:16	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	48	91¢	$44	0x81e86e…
06-20 13:14:40	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0xfdb95f…
06-20 13:11:53	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	211	11¢	$23	0xf92e68…
06-20 06:34:22	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x1fb0ad…
06-20 06:34:08	Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	74	91¢	$67	0xe1ce6e…
06-19 17:25:47	Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	74	95¢	$70	0xfdec4b…
06-19 17:24:52	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x4bdc02…
06-19 17:24:10	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0xd88680…
06-19 06:53:20	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x519425…
06-19 05:40:34	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	62	93¢	$58	0xb51fb4…
06-18 16:08:23	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0x222198…
06-18 04:58:31	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x6f596b…
06-18 04:58:19	spacex vs tesla higher valuation on june 30	SpaceX	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x946103…
06-17 16:21:23	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x9e7eae…
06-17 16:19:04	spacex vs tesla higher valuation on june 30	SpaceX	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x971404…
06-16 05:19:31	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0xb93fce…
06-16 05:19:24	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0xd439c7…
06-16 05:14:30	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x5f23a2…
06-15 17:01:40	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x28e515…
06-15 17:00:06	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x9eb247…
06-15 16:59:25	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x77792e…
06-15 16:59:12	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	78	88¢	$68	0x728d57…
06-15 05:58:22	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	78	90¢	$70	0x44a015…
06-15 05:56:15	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x8eaa26…
06-14 16:09:06	EU dissolves before 2027?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x4d7eb7…
06-14 16:07:57	EU dissolves before 2027?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x830424…
05-28 04:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x4eae93…
05-28 04:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1e3009…
05-28 04:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x64db1b…
05-28 04:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xfeabf0…
05-28 04:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xda4ac3…
05-28 04:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0xb04f20…
05-28 04:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x268719…
05-28 04:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xed6271…
05-28 04:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb19a19…
05-28 04:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x86970e…
05-20 13:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x0dd866…
05-20 13:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xfdec1d…
05-20 13:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xf28cfe…
05-20 13:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x685bae…
05-20 13:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xc998f1…
05-20 13:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x480885…
05-20 13:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x919e95…
05-20 13:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xb2c183…
05-20 13:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x8b8d6a…
05-20 13:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x09c012…
05-20 13:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x283a9b…
05-20 13:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xcc9964…
05-20 13:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x8a783d…
05-20 13:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x76b681…
05-20 13:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x1fa819…
05-20 13:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xda3745…
05-20 12:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x873455…
05-20 12:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0xb4a5bb…
05-20 12:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xb3ad7f…
05-20 04:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x5329da…
05-20 04:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x4d4112…
05-20 04:10:47	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x19541b…
05-19 16:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0x741822…
05-19 16:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x4157ea…
05-19 16:00:13	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xfc74c2…
05-19 15:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x2a8dd9…
05-19 15:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	82¢	$13	0x390cf3…
05-19 15:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x12e372…
05-19 15:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xe8d87c…
05-19 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb35d83…
05-19 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x280a0d…
05-19 15:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xc33432…
05-19 15:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xdb4671…
05-19 15:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x33cf00…
05-12 16:19:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0xff56a2…
05-12 05:25:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0xbfa229…
05-11 16:36:20	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0xf578ea…
05-11 16:31:59	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x1ed6e3…
05-08 06:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x760a49…
05-08 06:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xdafad7…
05-08 06:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x3778aa…
05-08 06:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x11dae3…
05-08 05:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x527c50…
05-07 17:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x5de55e…
05-07 17:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x7bbbb1…
05-07 16:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6e1c30…
05-07 16:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xd2ad68…
05-07 16:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x9d9f27…
05-07 16:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x084510…
05-07 16:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x8976e3…