Imaginary-Supplier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$449

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,482

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-04-19

last 06-08 02:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

82% 48% +$189

Crypto

9% 0% $-100

Politics

9% 100% +$355

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$6

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 205 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes		+15	$15	99¢	$15	+$0	06-08 02:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	64	$547	436	501	-65	open	—	05-12 09:00
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	15	$546	600	400	+200	open	—	05-01 10:54
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	10	$512	400	300	+100	open	—	05-01 11:31
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	10	$458	400	400	+0	open	—	05-01 11:36
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	29	$333	238	352	-114	Up	$-24	05-04 15:00
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage	12	$319	302	200	+102	open	—	05-01 11:38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 8?	26	$295	179	450	-271	No	+$133	05-08 17:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$269	12	290	-278	Yes	+$247	04-30 13:56
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	27	$266	150	275	-125	Down	+$83	05-04 14:41
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	31	$261	300	250	+50	Up	$-101	05-07 20:41
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage	19	$258	193	156	+37	open	—	05-01 17:27
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	8	$247	384	298	+86	open	—	05-01 16:28
Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	12	$236	125	175	-50	Yes	$-4	05-05 10:34
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	29	$234	325	350	-25	Down	+$4	05-08 16:22
Valorant: VARREL vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega	12	$234	300	100	+200	open	—	05-01 11:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	52	$228	486	345	+141	Yes	+$107	05-02 23:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	19	$211	200	225	-25	open	—	05-12 02:23
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	10	$203	400	200	+200	open	—	05-01 10:50
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	15	$202	125	225	-100	Down	+$79	05-07 15:46
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	8	$196	200	100	+100	open	—	05-01 11:36
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	17	$182	175	200	-25	No	+$11	05-07 16:01
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	15	$180	300	100	+200	open	—	05-01 11:37
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	11	$177	109	125	-16	Up	$-0	05-05 21:06
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 8?	15	$168	150	200	-50	No	+$25	05-08 20:33
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	12	$156	133	150	-17	Up	$-5	05-08 02:57
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	5	$150	98	150	-52	open	—	05-13 14:38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 4?	12	$149	168	75	+93	open	—	05-04 15:20
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	15	$143	141	100	+41	open	—	05-01 11:09
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?	17	$143	175	150	+25	Yes	$-9	05-08 19:47
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Season	2	$143	100	83	+17	open	—	05-01 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 02:40:42	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0xe11eaf…
06-08 02:19:06	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xa504c4…
06-08 00:31:55	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in june	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x890f1a…
06-07 11:26:19	btc updown 5m 1780831500	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2d3743…
06-07 11:22:13	btc updown 5m 1780831200	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x4cea6b…
06-07 11:01:04	btc updown 5m 1780830000	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x9f5e89…
06-05 21:02:22	btc updown 5m 1780693200	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf119d3…
06-04 16:26:15	btc updown 5m 1780590300	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd1c1a9…
06-04 15:41:24	btc updown 5m 1780587600	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xbf0369…
06-04 15:32:07	btc updown 5m 1780587000	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x79a2e1…
06-04 15:12:33	btc updown 5m 1780585800	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb5af0d…
06-04 15:12:21	btc updown 5m 1780585800	Down	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x79485a…
06-04 15:11:18	btc updown 5m 1780585800	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x14c9f6…
06-03 19:40:48	btc updown 5m 1780515600	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x54aafa…
06-03 19:39:31	btc updown 5m 1780515300	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x7093dc…
06-03 19:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0d2b17…
06-03 19:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x0755d6…
06-03 17:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x19f5e4…
06-03 17:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x350808…
06-03 17:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb124aa…
06-03 17:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4e933b…
06-03 17:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x84b13c…
06-03 17:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xdeaf51…
06-03 17:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf8e125…
06-03 17:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x2674a6…
06-03 17:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3978b1…
06-03 16:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x96bc63…
06-03 16:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x00f68a…
06-03 16:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1df6d8…
06-03 16:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf91304…
06-03 15:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	82¢	$6	0xf4cdef…
06-03 15:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x290289…
06-03 15:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xaaa391…
06-03 15:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd10d9e…
06-03 15:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xfe1dbf…
06-03 13:28:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x96492f…
06-03 10:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x61291b…
06-03 10:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x429a07…
06-03 10:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x0dca7c…
06-03 10:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x36b8f7…
06-03 10:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb09e05…
06-03 10:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb7c5ce…
06-03 10:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0f865c…
06-03 07:13:12	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x005be8…
06-02 21:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xa66594…
06-02 20:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x1e9719…
06-02 20:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xb9a2af…
06-02 19:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x394de2…
06-02 19:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xf3dd2f…
06-02 19:18:25	Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?	Yes	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x7fba77…
06-02 19:18:00	Will Peter Verbica advance from the CA-19 primary election?	Yes	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0x38cf3f…
06-02 19:17:48	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x942833…
06-02 19:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xbf0b90…
06-02 19:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xdd75d5…
06-02 18:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xceca64…
06-02 18:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x603443…
06-02 18:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x57416e…
06-02 18:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x3c6a92…
06-02 18:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x9fc6b4…
06-02 18:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x5ede9b…
06-02 17:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe0e5cf…
06-02 17:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x1fe242…
06-02 17:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	42	84¢	$35	0xe0c56e…
06-02 17:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xd796a2…
06-02 17:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x9679ab…
06-02 17:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x0149e4…
06-02 17:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x97cfee…
06-02 16:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xfeb4a9…
06-02 15:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x2c34f0…
06-02 15:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xb79844…
06-02 15:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x15ee12…
06-02 14:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0xaab159…
06-02 14:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x450390…
06-02 14:08:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xb15bb5…
06-02 13:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	97	43¢	$42	0xe18ba6…
06-02 12:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x53215d…
06-02 12:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc40f64…
06-02 12:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xe02282…
06-02 12:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x941243…
05-31 20:17:11	Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xe08cf3…
05-31 20:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x92bb6c…
05-31 20:03:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x22e7bb…
05-31 19:53:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x431473…
05-31 19:17:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x0e6eb5…
05-31 19:10:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x612420…
05-31 19:04:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x620aef…
05-31 19:02:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf13070…
05-31 18:59:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb76348…
05-31 12:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x59ce6a…
05-31 12:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb2ec68…
05-31 12:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x7a28e4…
05-31 12:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9740fb…
05-31 12:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf8c22a…
05-31 12:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x799d82…
05-30 14:05:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x553628…
05-30 13:53:49	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x0f1808…
05-30 13:25:13	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x93b851…
05-30 11:14:48	Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6282c1…
05-30 11:13:17	Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xceba41…
05-30 11:02:44	Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x210efd…