Imaginary-Supplier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$449

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,541

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 07-23 19:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

81% 48% +$189

Crypto

9% 0% $-100

Politics

9% 100% +$355

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	64	$547	436	501	-65	open	—	05-12 09:00
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	15	$546	600	400	+200	open	—	05-01 10:54
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	10	$512	400	300	+100	open	—	05-01 11:31
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	10	$458	400	400	+0	open	—	05-01 11:36
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	29	$333	238	352	-114	Up	$-24	05-04 15:00
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage	12	$319	302	200	+102	open	—	05-01 11:38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 8?	26	$295	179	450	-271	No	+$133	05-08 17:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$269	12	290	-278	Yes	+$247	04-30 13:56
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	27	$266	150	275	-125	Down	+$83	05-04 14:41
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	31	$261	300	250	+50	Up	$-101	05-07 20:41
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage	19	$258	193	156	+37	open	—	05-01 17:27
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	8	$247	384	298	+86	open	—	05-01 16:28
Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	12	$236	125	175	-50	Yes	$-4	05-05 10:34
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	29	$234	325	350	-25	Down	+$4	05-08 16:22
Valorant: VARREL vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega	12	$234	300	100	+200	open	—	05-01 11:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	52	$228	486	345	+141	Yes	+$107	05-02 23:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	19	$211	200	225	-25	open	—	05-12 02:23
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	10	$203	400	200	+200	open	—	05-01 10:50
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	15	$202	125	225	-100	Down	+$79	05-07 15:46
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	8	$196	200	100	+100	open	—	05-01 11:36
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	17	$182	175	200	-25	No	+$11	05-07 16:01
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	15	$180	300	100	+200	open	—	05-01 11:37
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	11	$177	109	125	-16	Up	$-0	05-05 21:06
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 8?	15	$168	150	200	-50	No	+$25	05-08 20:33
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	12	$156	133	150	-17	Up	$-5	05-08 02:57
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	5	$150	98	150	-52	open	—	05-13 14:38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 4?	12	$149	168	75	+93	open	—	05-04 15:20
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	15	$143	141	100	+41	open	—	05-01 11:09
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?	17	$143	175	150	+25	Yes	$-9	05-08 19:47
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Season	2	$143	100	83	+17	open	—	05-01 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 19:07:30	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x195828…
07-23 19:06:10	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x8aa336…
07-23 19:05:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x597e1c…
07-03 22:38:53	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xe54210…
07-03 22:21:13	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	54	39¢	$21	0x3a5d27…
07-03 22:05:26	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x0ddd85…
06-19 17:23:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe1a831…
06-16 22:33:44	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x114d1d…
06-16 22:33:43	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xd78717…
06-16 19:53:10	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xe03632…
06-16 12:46:16	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x103555…
06-16 10:04:52	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc85031…
06-16 05:37:19	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x96ce45…
06-16 05:35:51	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xcc5f93…
06-16 05:35:43	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xfc1b29…
06-16 05:35:13	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe6f44e…
06-16 01:51:36	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x85e1fc…
06-16 01:47:21	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd43ea8…
06-16 01:47:12	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x0f8f33…
06-16 01:10:52	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xc7bebf…
06-15 20:34:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x17237c…
06-15 20:33:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xb27776…
06-14 23:23:06	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xf159ee…
06-14 20:36:30	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x49e55f…
06-14 15:20:37	will spirit reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa3c08b…
06-14 14:22:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xcee6a4…
06-14 12:15:46	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xff32af…
06-14 11:56:49	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x833da5…
06-14 11:22:12	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbe5da8…
06-14 11:22:10	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xeb0e28…
06-14 11:21:57	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x99b2ce…
06-14 11:11:46	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7a9603…
06-14 11:06:43	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x783c74…
06-14 10:54:19	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x3d666a…
06-14 10:50:55	bukayo saka 20260609175104685	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf1e9b3…
06-14 10:34:18	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xed7325…
06-14 10:34:18	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xaea74b…
06-14 10:33:48	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa9f8fa…
06-14 10:26:03	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xb82b46…
06-14 10:21:16	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x370c23…
06-14 09:43:39	memphis depay 20260609173030761	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x41dc83…
06-14 08:53:00	memphis depay 20260609173030761	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xce7284…
06-14 08:52:39	memphis depay 20260609173030761	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa1d7f0…
06-14 08:24:16	will jd vance sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950068	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x111779…
06-14 08:16:06	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x39c6f6…
06-08 02:40:42	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0xe11eaf…
06-08 02:19:06	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xa504c4…
06-08 00:31:55	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in june	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x890f1a…
06-07 11:26:19	btc updown 5m 1780831500	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2d3743…
06-07 11:22:13	btc updown 5m 1780831200	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x4cea6b…
06-07 11:01:04	btc updown 5m 1780830000	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x9f5e89…
06-05 21:02:22	btc updown 5m 1780693200	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf119d3…
06-04 16:26:15	btc updown 5m 1780590300	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd1c1a9…
06-04 15:41:24	btc updown 5m 1780587600	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xbf0369…
06-04 15:32:07	btc updown 5m 1780587000	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x79a2e1…
06-04 15:12:33	btc updown 5m 1780585800	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb5af0d…
06-04 15:12:21	btc updown 5m 1780585800	Down	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x79485a…
06-04 15:11:18	btc updown 5m 1780585800	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x14c9f6…
06-03 19:40:48	btc updown 5m 1780515600	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x54aafa…
06-03 19:39:31	btc updown 5m 1780515300	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x7093dc…
06-03 19:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0d2b17…
06-03 19:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x0755d6…
06-03 17:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x19f5e4…
06-03 17:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x350808…
06-03 17:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb124aa…
06-03 17:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4e933b…
06-03 17:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x84b13c…
06-03 17:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xdeaf51…
06-03 17:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf8e125…
06-03 17:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x2674a6…
06-03 17:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3978b1…
06-03 16:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x96bc63…
06-03 16:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x00f68a…
06-03 16:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1df6d8…
06-03 16:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf91304…
06-03 15:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	82¢	$6	0xf4cdef…
06-03 15:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x290289…
06-03 15:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xaaa391…
06-03 15:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd10d9e…
06-03 15:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xfe1dbf…
06-03 13:28:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x96492f…
06-03 10:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x61291b…
06-03 10:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x429a07…
06-03 10:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x0dca7c…
06-03 10:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x36b8f7…
06-03 10:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb09e05…
06-03 10:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb7c5ce…
06-03 10:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0f865c…
06-03 07:13:12	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x005be8…
06-02 21:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xa66594…
06-02 20:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x1e9719…
06-02 20:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xb9a2af…
06-02 19:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x394de2…
06-02 19:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xf3dd2f…
06-02 19:18:25	Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?	Yes	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x7fba77…
06-02 19:18:00	Will Peter Verbica advance from the CA-19 primary election?	Yes	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0x38cf3f…
06-02 19:17:48	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x942833…
06-02 19:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xbf0b90…
06-02 19:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xdd75d5…
06-02 18:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xceca64…