Realized P&L
-$880
Unrealized P&L
+$417
Hit rate
58.7%
Resolved
608
Trades
3,456
lifetime
Volume
$39.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$212
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 10-29 15:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Other
58% 41% -$891
Crypto
33% 67% -$192
Politics
8% 43% +$252
Sports
1% 25% -$26
Tech
0% 33% -$20
Pop-Culture
0% 75% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 245 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +70 -$303 99¢ $69 +$372 10-09 14:52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +125 -$24 52¢ $64 +$88 09-30 20:56
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -75 -$32 24¢ $-18 +$15 05-02 23:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15 $13 82¢ $12 $0 06-19 17:23
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,150 $29 1¢ $10 -$18 10-09 15:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -296 -$48 3¢ $-10 +$39 05-02 23:28
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? Yes +20 $13 45¢ $9 -$4 05-26 12:42
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? Yes +15 $10 40¢ $6 -$4 05-28 12:31
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +77 $20 6¢ $4 -$16 09-04 19:03
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +600 $5 0¢ $2 -$3 10-02 21:33
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? Yes +25 $12 6¢ $2 -$10 05-29 07:59
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 Yes +18 $3 8¢ $1 -$1 07-23 19:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +17 $10 7¢ $1 -$9 05-26 05:19
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +5 $3 16¢ $1 -$2 05-27 11:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -4 -$1 18¢ $-1 +$1 05-01 05:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +33 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 07-23 19:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -11 -$2 6¢ $-1 +$2 05-01 05:07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +71 $24 0¢ $0 -$24 09-30 20:30
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? Yes +0 $6 7¢ $0 -$6 05-18 17:21