Thorny-Vice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

Trades

418

lifetime

Volume

$3.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 06-11 18:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

41% 0% $-4

Crypto

37% — —

Politics

18% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on january 23 2026	20	$181	204	91	+113	open	—	01-23 21:01
btc updown 15m 1770147000	22	$145	168	140	+28	open	—	02-03 19:45
bitcoin above 90k on january 23	4	$137	107	107	+0	open	—	01-23 17:06
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	4	$132	91	90	+0	open	—	02-23 21:54
will the patriots win the afc championship 1	2	$124	75	75	+0	open	—	01-25 23:28
bitcoin above 88k on january 26	12	$110	165	165	+0	open	—	01-26 16:54
btc updown 15m 1770132600	14	$109	114	113	+1	open	—	02-03 15:43
will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	4	$97	71	71	+0	open	—	02-11 13:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$95	103	103	+0	open	—	03-01 16:22
gc settle above 5100 jan 2026	5	$88	154	0	+154	open	—	01-27 21:21
btc updown 15m 1770840000	18	$84	90	50	+40	open	—	02-11 20:15
btc updown 15m 1770138900	15	$69	166	103	+62	open	—	02-03 17:28
btc updown 15m 1770905700	24	$66	86	31	+55	open	—	02-12 14:30
btc updown 15m 1770130800	4	$65	49	49	+1	open	—	02-03 15:16
will sp 500 spx hit 7000 high in february 2026	2	$63	38	38	+0	open	—	02-27 17:50
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	9	$56	120	45	+75	open	—	02-01 14:39
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	5	$51	54	54	+0	open	—	03-30 20:43
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	4	$50	102	0	+102	open	—	02-27 18:07
btc updown 15m 1770145200	10	$49	81	18	+63	open	—	02-03 19:10
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	1	$49	0	211	-211	open	—	05-28 16:22
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	2	$48	32	32	+0	open	—	03-12 13:50
will sp 500 spx hit 7040 high in february 2026	2	$47	29	29	+0	open	—	02-24 18:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$47	29	29	+0	open	—	03-10 17:22
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	1	$42	0	43	-43	open	—	06-11 18:09
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$41	33	33	+0	open	—	03-12 13:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$38	28	28	+0	open	—	01-30 12:40
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	1	$37	0	40	-40	open	—	05-29 17:46
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	3	$37	23	23	+0	open	—	01-26 13:33
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$36	72	25	+47	open	—	02-19 17:22
will gold gc hit high 5300 by end of january 386 158	2	$35	25	25	+0	open	—	01-28 22:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 18:09:16	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xe9cb11…
05-29 18:58:34	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x36af55…
05-29 18:53:24	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xee99d9…
05-29 18:44:10	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x6b3d23…
05-29 18:22:10	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x9a26c0…
05-29 18:10:27	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x219a3e…
05-29 17:47:17	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe64487…
05-29 17:46:58	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4bed9e…
05-29 17:46:51	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xbe3251…
05-29 17:46:00	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$37	0x3c6bf1…
05-28 16:22:25	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	211	23¢	$49	0x847c0e…
05-06 22:51:56	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x78b227…
05-06 16:07:44	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x990522…
05-05 15:49:52	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x366951…
05-05 01:43:58	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xe9f959…
04-29 13:37:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8e6ef5…
04-23 00:27:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x4a901f…
04-23 00:27:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9814f4…
04-08 15:15:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	13	72¢	$9	0xb1e097…
03-30 21:04:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x699677…
03-30 20:43:45	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	28	56¢	$15	0x326149…
03-30 20:38:55	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	27	41¢	$11	0x809bef…
03-30 20:19:21	fif bra hrv 2026 03 31 bra	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xcf64ec…
03-30 20:14:37	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x080d38…
03-30 19:54:43	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x81d386…
03-26 14:56:37	fif bra fra 2026 03 26 bra	Yes	BUY	21	31¢	$6	0x9d1c68…
03-25 13:40:29	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0x57829b…
03-23 14:17:37	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	No	SELL	27	77¢	$21	0xe74747…
03-16 21:43:57	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x82f34b…
03-16 21:43:49	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x0f89fb…
03-13 22:19:11	nba min gsw 2026 03 13	Warriors	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x7c4546…
03-12 19:44:57	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe40a6f…
03-12 19:43:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	92	5¢	$4	0x8e6227…
03-12 13:50:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	33	75¢	$25	0x2bd211…
03-12 13:50:01	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	32	87¢	$28	0x6dc61e…
03-10 21:04:23	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0x66ddd1…
03-10 17:34:41	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x8d6487…
03-10 17:22:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	29	94¢	$27	0x111633…
03-05 14:24:33	Will Les Wexner Testify to Congress about Epstein?	Yes	SELL	16	90¢	$15	0x20ce40…
03-02 22:15:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x4c5d1c…
03-02 22:14:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0xbeb349…
03-01 16:22:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xd8b2e7…
02-28 13:53:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	51	49¢	$25	0x93851a…
02-27 20:42:15	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3c9022…
02-27 18:07:49	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x60cddd…
02-27 17:50:39	will sp 500 spx hit 7000 high in february 2026	No	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0xae925a…
02-26 14:18:14	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x5b215f…
02-26 14:18:06	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xb803da…
02-25 22:26:12	ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 rma1	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xb4b6d1…
02-25 14:23:02	ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 rma1	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x676ff6…
02-24 19:40:32	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x03a425…
02-24 18:59:08	will sp 500 spx hit 7040 high in february 2026	No	SELL	29	92¢	$27	0xc49c61…
02-23 23:46:00	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	75¢	$17	0xbdf151…
02-23 23:45:06	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x172f80…
02-23 23:44:30	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa795aa…
02-23 23:44:16	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xe1d7fa…
02-23 21:54:34	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0xbfe6ba…
02-19 21:04:06	Prince Andrew released by February 19?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9aa5a1…
02-19 21:03:54	Prince Andrew released by February 19?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x47e927…
02-19 17:38:18	will sp 500 spx hit 6600 low in february 2026 326 643 359 148 891	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x2c6bdc…
02-19 17:37:52	will sp 500 spx hit 7000 high in february 2026	No	BUY	38	69¢	$26	0xb3fbe4…
02-19 17:36:06	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x12350e…
02-19 17:34:04	nba den lac 2026 02 19	Nuggets	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x7064e9…
02-19 17:22:18	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xea7fc6…
02-19 17:22:04	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x6d5d12…
02-18 17:46:50	epl wol ars 2026 02 18 ars	Yes	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x60fe19…
02-13 13:30:21	will sp 500 spx hit 6600 low in february 2026 326 643 359 148 891	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4bdb8e…
02-12 20:24:53	cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x3fb6f2…
02-12 20:20:33	cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x32005b…
02-12 19:57:19	will sp 500 spx hit 7040 high in february 2026	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xfd78c4…
02-12 19:08:41	epl bre ars 2026 02 12 ars	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xde67eb…
02-12 18:54:59	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0x18308a…
02-12 18:54:41	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x2917b9…
02-12 18:27:35	cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 atm	No	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x3ee3f6…
02-12 18:15:25	epl bre ars 2026 02 12 btts	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9974d7…
02-12 18:15:03	epl bre ars 2026 02 12 ars	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xa24c4e…
02-12 18:14:49	epl bre ars 2026 02 12 draw	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd70131…
02-12 18:14:39	epl bre ars 2026 02 12 ars	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xf37ecb…
02-12 17:01:11	cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7b2f90…
02-12 16:46:29	cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	Yes	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x343c36…
02-12 16:39:01	cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xa547ce…
02-12 14:50:59	cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x77a2ee…
02-12 14:50:49	cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 draw	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x3f22e9…
02-12 14:46:39	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x8ee89f…
02-12 14:40:15	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x3943fd…
02-12 14:31:45	btc updown 5m 1770906600	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x8a77dc…
02-12 14:30:27	btc updown 15m 1770905700	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xfac5c3…
02-12 14:29:27	btc updown 15m 1770905700	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe2da5b…
02-12 14:29:13	btc updown 15m 1770905700	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc77031…
02-12 14:28:13	btc updown 15m 1770905700	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9c9af8…
02-12 14:27:45	btc updown 15m 1770905700	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xe6ac21…
02-12 14:26:13	btc updown 15m 1770905700	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x012ce1…
02-12 14:25:41	btc updown 15m 1770905700	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0d4191…
02-12 14:24:25	btc updown 15m 1770905700	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf0b562…
02-12 14:24:03	btc updown 15m 1770905700	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc7a547…
02-12 14:23:51	btc updown 15m 1770905700	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd20983…
02-12 14:22:41	btc updown 15m 1770905700	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x14187d…
02-12 14:22:13	btc updown 15m 1770905700	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbb0c2b…
02-12 14:21:39	btc updown 15m 1770905700	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x516f64…
02-12 14:21:25	btc updown 15m 1770905700	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8cdd6a…