Realized P&L
+$56
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
94.5%
Resolved
4
Trades
97
lifetime
Volume
$827
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$188
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-08 00:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
51% 100% +$19
Other
29% 100% +$16
Crypto
20% 50% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -102 $-83 84¢ $-85 $-3 06-07 22:20
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -32 $-32 100¢ $-32 $-0 06-07 23:53
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +36 $18 50¢ $18 $-0 06-08 00:02
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +37 $10 29¢ $11 +$1 06-07 23:55
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +25 $10 38¢ $10 $-0 06-08 00:01
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +41 $15 24¢ $10 $-5 06-07 22:58
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +40 $10 24¢ $9 $-1 06-07 23:54
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +34 $10 26¢ $9 $-1 06-08 00:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +29 $5 18¢ $5 +$0 06-07 23:57