Realized P&L
+$2.88K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.08K
Hit rate
66.2%
Resolved
3,268
Trades
32,766
lifetime
Volume
$155.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$3.87K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-31
last 10-27 06:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Other
78% 51% +$1,059
Crypto
13% 57% +$1,494
Politics
8% 73% +$291
Sports
1% 52% +$21
Tech
0% 67% +$12
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 1921 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +768 $407 98¢ $755 +$348 10-26 09:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +426 $263 92¢ $394 +$131 10-25 21:43
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +315 $224 98¢ $308 +$85 10-23 20:01
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +300 $170 84¢ $252 +$81 09-21 16:58
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +211 $126 98¢ $207 +$82 10-26 14:15
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +219 $107 82¢ $179 +$71 09-21 13:07
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +180 $110 86¢ $154 +$44 10-23 20:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +120 $78 96¢ $116 +$38 10-19 12:08
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +120 $92 96¢ $115 +$23 10-23 18:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +110 $88 100¢ $110 +$22 10-25 23:44
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +104 $55 95¢ $99 +$44 10-13 21:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +155 $76 63¢ $98 +$22 10-23 06:25
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +104 $63 84¢ $87 +$24 10-05 17:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +89 $62 96¢ $86 +$23 10-25 21:49
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +80 $50 94¢ $75 +$25 10-14 12:32
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +80 $64 94¢ $75 +$11 10-21 21:23
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +80 $51 89¢ $71 +$20 10-04 04:43
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +92 $73 77¢ $71 -$2 10-26 16:05
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +70 $50 97¢ $68 +$18 10-22 07:19
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +70 $44 88¢ $61 +$17 10-21 20:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +159 $76 37¢ $58 -$18 10-26 08:51
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +80 $48 69¢ $55 +$7 10-26 00:13
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +60 $40 91¢ $55 +$14 10-02 10:16
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +306 $118 16¢ $49 -$69 09-21 17:04
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +88 $44 54¢ $48 +$3 10-27 05:49
kanye west performs in russia by october 31 No +47 $40 100¢ $47 +$7 09-25 22:30
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +50 $44 89¢ $44 +$1 10-25 00:17
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +45 $41 97¢ $44 +$2 10-05 18:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +60 $39 72¢ $44 +$4 10-20 14:22
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +71 $42 60¢ $43 +$1 10-26 18:21