Realized P&L
+$19.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$157
Hit rate
97.2%
Resolved
192
Trades
2,731
lifetime
Volume
$1.17M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$429
Open exposure
$12.7K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-28 19:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Other
50% 90% -$178
Politics
23% 93% +$2,161
Crypto
20% 95% +$17,234
Sports
5% 100% +$60
Tech
2% 67% +$23
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +5,880 $5,826 100¢ $5.9K +$42 10-14 12:12
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +3,992 $3,398 97¢ $3.9K +$472 10-26 06:42
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? No +1,000 $978 100¢ $996 +$18 10-21 21:34
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026 No +861 $289 84¢ $726 +$438 10-26 18:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? No +500 $495 100¢ $499 +$4 10-01 11:16
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +440 $281 66¢ $292 +$11 10-26 06:49
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +440 $154 34¢ $152 -$2 10-26 06:49
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? No +862 $554 15¢ $128 -$425 10-26 18:49
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +3,994 $502 2¢ $92 -$410 10-26 06:42
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +69 $8 98¢ $67 +$60 10-04 08:59
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +50 $48 97¢ $49 +$0 10-28 19:27
will the next google gemini pro model be released by october 31 2026 Yes +69 $51 2¢ $1 -$50 10-04 10:29